Southern Miss vs South Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Southern Miss vs South Alabama

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles face the South Alabama Jaguars, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Friday, February 27.

We’re excited to see South Alabama at -4.5 on the spread and think it’s a great number for the favorites to cover against Southern Miss at odds of -120.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Arkansas State Red Wolves claimed a 89-84 win.

South Alabama Jaguars were winners last time out. It was a 89-54 home victory against Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks.

Head-to-Head Statistics

South Alabama won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 84-78 victory was registered against Southern Miss. It’s been seven wins on the bounce for South Alabama when playing Southern Miss. On the head-to-head front, they have won 9 of the past 10.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	21-9	2247	2072	175	12-3	9-6	2W
Southern Miss	15-15	2224	2222	2	12-3	3-12	1L

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Southern Miss vs South Alabama Prediction & Picks

Explore our best Southern Miss vs South Alabama picks, including a main match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

There’s a strong case for backing South Alabama on the spread in this college contest. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -120 when it comes to the favorites at -4.5.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming college hoops action along with the current form of each team. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball predictions.

Key Southern Miss vs South Alabama stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by South Alabama in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by South Alabama in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by South Alabama in 2 consecutive games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Southern Miss in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Southern Miss in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by South Alabama in 3 consecutive games against Southern Miss.

South Alabama -4.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 54.6% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be the way forward. Take South Alabama to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Our Game Prediction

South Alabama -4.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Southern Miss 71 - 79 South Alabama

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Jags to achieve a 79-71 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Southern Miss vs South Alabama Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

South Alabama are -244 favorites and that means a 71% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Southern Miss are the underdogs at +198 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 143.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you want to wager Over 143.5, there are odds of -110.

If you’re wagering on college basketball, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many game lines and team props. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Southern Miss

+198

South Alabama

-244

Point Spread

Southern Miss +4.5

-102

South Alabama -4.5

-120

Total Points

Under 143.5

-110

Over 143.5

-110

If you have a view on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Double-Doubles or Triple-Doubles, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Southern Miss Stats

South Alabama Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 147.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 143.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.50 pts and allowed 75.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.20 pts and allowed 79.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 144.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 140.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 143.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 143.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.20 pts and allowed 69.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.80 pts and allowed 65.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	21-9	2247	2072	175	12-3	9-6	2W
Appalachian State	19-11	2175	1968	207	12-4	7-7	1W
Troy	19-11	2414	2216	198	9-4	10-7	1W
Marshall	19-11	2436	2316	120	13-3	6-8	1W
Arkansas State	19-11	2497	2333	164	10-4	9-7	3W
Texas State	18-12	2228	2133	95	15-2	3-10	1L
Coastal Carolina	18-12	2205	2159	46	8-5	10-7	2W
James Madison	17-13	2225	2210	15	12-3	5-10	6W
Southern Miss	15-15	2224	2222	2	12-3	3-12	1L
Georgia Southern	15-15	2394	2394	0	9-6	6-9	3L
Georgia State	10-20	2105	2226	-121	7-7	3-13	2L
Louisiana	10-20	1887	2089	-202	7-8	3-12	1L
Old Dominion	10-20	2262	2329	-67	7-6	3-14	2L
UL Monroe	4-26	2173	2518	-345	3-12	1-14	6L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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