Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Feb 2026

A-League Betting Preview: Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United

Fifth-placed Melbourne Victory go head-to-head with fourth-placed Adelaide United at AAMI Park, with kick-off set for 03:35 on Friday 27 February.

Melbourne Victory could land the money against Adelaide and we’ll take this pick on the Full-Time Result market. There are appealing odds of -161 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

Melbourne Victory won last time out by a 3-1 scoreline. It was on the road against Melbourne City at AAMI Park. The Boys in Blue enjoyed 49% possession and had seven shots on target, with Juan Mata getting two goals and Clarismario Rodrigus scoring the other.

Adelaide United made it back-to-back A-League victories after a 4-0 home win over Perth Glory at Coopers Stadium. Airton Andrioli's team were 51% in the possession stakes and managed six shots on goal, with Juan Muniz, Jonny Yull, Luka Jovanovic and Luke Duzel finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Adelaide won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 2-1 home victory was recorded against Melbourne at Coopers Stadium. The previous 10 H2H games have featured five Melbourne wins, three draws and two Adelaide victories.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Adelaide United	24	10	7	7	41	34	7	41:34	37
5	Melb Victory	24	10	6	8	40	31	9	40:31	36

View Full Table

Victory have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.1 goals from 13.0 attempts and 5.9 shots on goal. Arthur Diles' men have averaged 52.1% possession and 7.4 corners per game, conceding 1.1 goals and 3.8 corners from 6.7 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.

Top goalscorer Clarismario Rodrigus has found the net 5 times, Nikolaos Vergos 3, with Juan Mata and two other players on 2. Juan Mata is the top assists maker on 8.

United have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, averaging 4.8 shots on goal, 9.2 attempts and 2.0 goals. The South Australia side average 49.4% possession, 4.9 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 12.4 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal.

Jonny Yull, Luka Jovanovic and Brody Burkitt have scored 3 goals, followed by Juan Muniz with 2. Yaya Dukuly has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Warshawsky (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Sebastian Esposito, Roderick Miranda, Jason Davidson, Jordi Valadon, Denis Genreau, Nishan Velupillay, Juan Mata, Keegan Jelacic, Charles Nduka.

Adelaide United confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Joshua Smits (GK), Jay Barnett, Bart Vriends, Panagiotis Kikianis, Ryan Kitto, Jonny Yull, Ethan Alagich, Ryan White, Yaya Dukuly, Juan Muniz, Luka Jovanovic.

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

Melbourne Victory should be able to deliver a return when they line up in this A-League game, with odds of -161 looking really appealing. We are confident that this is the best way to play this wager.

The first port of call is to check out the injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United league stats:

• Victory have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Victory have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Adelaide have lost 9 of their last 16 games on the road.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 61.7% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you can correctly predict that Victory will triumph along with the number of goals, then you are able to combine the two options and getting bigger odds on the Match Result & Total market.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Our Match Prediction

Victory To Win @ -161 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 25, 09:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Victory 3 - 1 Adelaide

A 3-1 win in favor of the Boys in Blue can be backed at odds of +700. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikos Vergos to Score -135

Nikos Vergos (Victory) has scored three goals in his past five A-League home games. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the -135 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Nikos Vergos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-135

First

+230

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Victory Over 6.5 Corners +104

Melbourne Victory have covered the 6.5 corners line in four straight home games. If you agree with our verdict that the Melbourne Team Corners line is too low, go for odds of +104 that they go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Victory

Total

11.20 7.40 3.80

Home

9.70 6.50 3.20

Away

12.10 6.50 5.60

Adelaide

Total

9.10 4.90 4.20

Home

9.20 5.20 4.00

Away

10.10 4.70 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-132

Under 10.5

-108

Victory Corners

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-154

Adelaide Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+750

2

+188

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Melbourne Victory odds are -161 which leads to them being favourites in this A-League clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 62% prospect of securing a victory. If you’re interested in wagering Adelaide United, you can get +360 for the underdog.

A 2+ goal margin of victory for Melbourne against Adelaide means a full payout at -135 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -227.

All of the A-League matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

-161

X

+310

2

+360

Half-Time Result

1

+106

X

+160

2

+340

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-526

X2

+110

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+235

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-135

2 Hcp +0.75

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+165

Over 2.5

-250

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-227

No

+155

Those interested in favourite Nikos Vergos to find the net first are able to get +230. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is -135.

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

-135

Anytime

+230

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+170

Anytime

+480

Luka Jovanovic (United)

First

+185

Anytime

+525

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+245

Anytime

+650

Yaya Dukuly (United)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Jonny Yull (United)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Austin Ayoubi (United)

First

+390

Anytime

+1100

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Ethan Alagich (United)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Ryan Kitto (United)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Adama Traoré (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Brendan Hamill (Victory)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Jay Barnett (United)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Melbourne Victory have collected four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Adelaide haven’t been beaten in four straight games away from home. United have finished with five losses, three victories and two draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Melbourne beat Adelaide 2-1 when the teams last met at AAMI Park. In the past 7 H2H games at AAMI Park, we have seen three Melbourne wins, one Adelaide victory and three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Melbourne Victory Home Stats		4-3-3	2.60	1.60	1.00	4	6	5	5
Adelaide United Away Stats		3-2-5	3.00	1.40	1.60	8	2	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Victory vs Adelaide team news before wagering. Get the latest predicted and confirmed A-League lineups and injury news right here.

Melbourne Victory Team Page Adelaide United Team Page

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