Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Tennessee vs Mississippi State

The Tennessee Volunteers battle the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Wednesday, February 11.

We think a wager on the totals provides value after finding that the line is set at a generous 147.5. Expect Tennessee and Mississippi State to surpass this number at -110.

If you're backing our Totals call, take a minute to check out our BetMGM review, then grab the promo code before placing your bet.

Tennessee Volunteers were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 74-71 reverse against Kentucky Wildcats.

Mississippi State Bulldogs lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 88-68 at home to Arkansas Razorbacks.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Tennessee who came out on top when they last played Mississippi State. A 68-56 win was recorded. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Tennessee victories.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Tennessee	16-7	1880	1605	275	13-3	3-4	1L
Mississippi State	11-12	1780	1808	-28	8-7	3-5	2L

View Full Standings

Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Head into Tennessee vs Mississippi State with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, best correct score pick and a value-driven bet builder. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

The teams are capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 147.5 as a great pick at -110 for this college matchup.

We only publish our basketball picks once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every college hoops prediction we make.

Key Tennessee vs Mississippi State stats:

• The 147.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Tennessee games.
• The 147.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Tennessee games on the road.
• The 147.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 MS State games.
• The 147.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 MS State games.
• The 147.5 line has been covered in the last 2 MS State games.

Over 147.5 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting apps suggest our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There are ways to get bigger odds by betting Over on the Totals. Bettors often look to move the line so they can land a more profitable return if the selection wins.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 147.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Tennessee 83 - 71 MS State

There is a speculative wager that can be enjoyed on the Vols when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 83-71 should provide some entertainment.

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Tennessee vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Tennessee odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -333 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 77% chance of winning. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +265 about Mississippi State.

The spread is calculated to be 7.5, while total points comes in at 147.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you want to back Over 147.5, it’s -110.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Tennessee

-333

MS State

+265

Point Spread

Tennessee -7.5

-102

MS State +7.5

-120

Total Points

Under 147.5

-110

Over 147.5

-110

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Points, Assists, Rebounds, Steals and Three-Pointers. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tennessee Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 147.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 147.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 147.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.90 pts and allowed 77.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.10 pts and allowed 76.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 147.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 147.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 147.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 82.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 73.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	20-4	2128	1771	357	12-2	8-2	1W
Arkansas	18-6	2131	1837	294	13-3	5-3	2W
Florida	17-6	1984	1637	347	13-2	4-4	3W
Texas A&M	17-6	2091	1796	295	12-2	5-4	2L
Georgia	17-6	2114	1779	335	12-4	5-2	1W
Kentucky	17-7	1958	1712	246	14-4	3-3	3W
Tennessee	16-7	1880	1605	275	13-3	3-4	1L
Alabama	16-7	2112	1918	194	11-5	5-2	2W
Missouri	16-7	1847	1688	159	13-1	3-6	2W
Texas	15-9	2045	1791	254	12-4	3-5	3W
Auburn	14-10	2024	1888	136	11-5	3-5	3L
LSU	14-10	1955	1810	145	10-6	4-4	2L
Oklahoma	12-12	1992	1865	127	9-4	3-8	1W
Ole Miss	11-12	1699	1659	40	9-3	2-9	5L
Mississippi State	11-12	1780	1808	-28	8-7	3-5	2L
South Carolina	11-13	1836	1809	27	10-6	1-7	5L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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