Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Tennessee vs Mississippi State

The Tennessee Volunteers battle the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Wednesday, February 11.

We think a wager on the totals provides value after finding that the line is set at a generous 147.5. Expect Tennessee and Mississippi State to surpass this number at -110.

Tennessee Volunteers were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 74-71 reverse against Kentucky Wildcats.

Mississippi State Bulldogs lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 88-68 at home to Arkansas Razorbacks.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Tennessee who came out on top when they last played Mississippi State. A 68-56 win was recorded. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Tennessee victories.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Tennessee	21-10	2482	2152	330	15-5	6-5	1L
Mississippi State	13-18	2423	2539	-116	9-10	4-8	5L

View Full Standings

Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Discover the top Tennessee vs Mississippi State betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to the best prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

The teams are capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 147.5 as a great pick at -110 for this college matchup.

We only publish our basketball picks once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every college hoops prediction we make.

Key Tennessee vs Mississippi State stats:

• The 147.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Tennessee games.
• The 147.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Tennessee games on the road.
• The 147.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 MS State games.
• The 147.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 MS State games.
• The 147.5 line has been covered in the last 2 MS State games.

Over 147.5 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting apps suggest our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There are ways to get bigger odds by betting Over on the Totals. Bettors often look to move the line so they can land a more profitable return if the selection wins.

Maximize your betting experience. Explore our bonus guide for the best sportsbook promo codes, free bets, and welcome offers.

Our Game Prediction

Over 147.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 11, 03:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jayden Epps Over 1.5 Assists -115

Jayden Epps (Mississippi State) is available at -115 to total Over 1.5 assists. We can back him when it comes to a Player Assists bet and hope that Overs comes in.

Latest Jayden Epps Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-125

Under 12.5

-105

Assists

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-110

Rebounds

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

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Josh Hubbard Over 19.5 Points -105

Josh Hubbard (Mississippi State) can be backed to record Over 19.5 points at -105. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.

Latest Josh Hubbard Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-105

Under 19.5

-125

Assists

Over 2.5

-185

Under 2.5

+135

Rebounds

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-154

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tennessee 83 - 71 MS State

There is a speculative wager that can be enjoyed on the Vols when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 83-71 should provide some entertainment.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tennessee vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Tennessee odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -370 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 79% chance of winning. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +285 about Mississippi State.

The spread is calculated to be 7.5, while total points comes in at 147.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you want to back Over 147.5, it’s -110.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Tennessee

-370

MS State

+285

Point Spread

Tennessee -7.5

-110

MS State +7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 147.5

-110

Over 147.5

-110

The favorite to hit the most buckets is Josh Hubbard. Odds of -105 can be found for him scoring Over 19.5 points and there is -125 for him to go Under.

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 19.5

-105

Under 19.5

-125

Nate Ament (Tennessee)

Over 19.5

+105

Under 19.5

-135

Ja'Kobi Gillespie (Tennessee)

Over 18.5

-115

Under 18.5

-110

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 12.5

-125

Under 12.5

-105

Ja'Borri McGhee (MS State)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-118

Bishop Boswell (Tennessee)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Ja'Kobi Gillespie (Tennessee)

Over 4.5

-145

Under 4.5

+110

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

-185

Under 2.5

+135

Nate Ament (Tennessee)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-135

Bishop Boswell (Tennessee)

Over 2.5

-185

Under 2.5

+135

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-110

Ja'Borri McGhee (MS State)

Over 1.5

-145

Under 1.5

+110

Nate Ament (Tennessee)

Over 6.5

-102

Under 6.5

-127

Bishop Boswell (Tennessee)

Over 6.5

-125

Under 6.5

-105

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-154

Ja'Kobi Gillespie (Tennessee)

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+135

Jayden Epps (MS State)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Ja'Borri McGhee (MS State)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-154

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tennessee Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 147.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 147.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 147.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.90 pts and allowed 77.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.10 pts and allowed 76.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 147.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 147.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 147.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 82.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 73.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	25-6	2719	2222	497	17-2	8-4	11W
Vanderbilt	24-7	2695	2329	366	14-3	10-4	2W
Arkansas	23-8	2797	2479	318	17-3	6-5	2W
Alabama	23-8	2856	2591	265	15-5	8-3	1W
Georgia	22-9	2802	2457	345	15-5	7-4	3W
Tennessee	21-10	2482	2152	330	15-5	6-5	1L
Texas A&M	21-10	2744	2463	281	14-4	7-6	2W
Missouri	20-11	2477	2333	144	15-3	5-8	2L
Kentucky	19-12	2518	2285	233	15-6	4-6	2L
Texas	18-13	2615	2382	233	13-6	5-7	2L
Oklahoma	17-14	2565	2402	163	12-5	5-9	4W
Auburn	16-15	2589	2487	102	13-6	3-9	1L
LSU	15-16	2524	2425	99	10-9	5-7	3L
Mississippi State	13-18	2423	2539	-116	9-10	4-8	5L
South Carolina	13-18	2324	2361	-37	11-8	2-10	1W
Ole Miss	12-19	2334	2354	-20	9-9	3-10	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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