Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Feb 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Tennessee vs Mississippi State
The Tennessee Volunteers battle the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Wednesday, February 11.
We think a wager on the totals provides value after finding that the line is set at a generous 147.5. Expect Tennessee and Mississippi State to surpass this number at -110.
Tennessee Volunteers were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 74-71 reverse against Kentucky Wildcats.
Mississippi State Bulldogs lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 88-68 at home to Arkansas Razorbacks.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was Tennessee who came out on top when they last played Mississippi State. A 68-56 win was recorded. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven Tennessee victories.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tennessee
|
22-11 | 2622 | 2289 | 333 | 16-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks
Discover the top Tennessee vs Mississippi State betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to the best prop plays and a customized bet builder.
Game Prediction
The teams are capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 147.5 as a great pick at -110 for this college matchup.
We only publish our basketball picks once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every college hoops prediction we make.
Key Tennessee vs Mississippi State stats:
Over 147.5 Probability
The latest odds at the best betting apps suggest our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
There are ways to get bigger odds by betting Over on the Totals. Bettors often look to move the line so they can land a more profitable return if the selection wins.
Maximize your betting experience. Explore our bonus guide for the best sportsbook promo codes, free bets, and welcome offers.
Player Prop Picks
Jayden Epps (Mississippi State) is available at -115 to total Over 1.5 assists. We can back him when it comes to a Player Assists bet and hope that Overs comes in.
Latest Jayden Epps Player Prop Odds
Josh Hubbard (Mississippi State) can be backed to record Over 19.5 points at -105. There’s an opportunity to wager on Player Points and the total looks attractive for this player.
Latest Josh Hubbard Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Over 147.5, Tennessee -7.5 on the spread and Jayden Epps (Mississippi State) to get Over 1.5 assists.
Should you want to back different picks for the same game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised basketball wagering tool where you can choose different selections and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
83
-
71
MS State
There is a speculative wager that can be enjoyed on the Vols when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 83-71 should provide some entertainment.
Tennessee vs Mississippi State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Tennessee odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -370 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 79% chance of winning. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +285 about Mississippi State.
The spread is calculated to be 7.5, while total points comes in at 147.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you want to back Over 147.5, it’s -110.
If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.
The favorite to hit the most buckets is Josh Hubbard. Odds of -105 can be found for him scoring Over 19.5 points and there is -125 for him to go Under.
Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college basketball bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to bet on the Next Field Goal. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.
- NCAAB: 22/01 2025 Mississippi State 56 Tennessee 68
- NCAAB: 15/03 2024 Mississippi State 73 Tennessee 56
- NCAAB: 11/01 2024 Tennessee 72 Mississippi State 77
- NCAAB: 18/01 2023 Tennessee 70 Mississippi State 59
- NCAAB: 04/01 2023 Mississippi State 53 Tennessee 87
- NCAAB: 12/03 2022 Mississippi State 59 Tennessee 72
- NCAAB: 10/02 2022 Tennessee 72 Mississippi State 63
- NCAAB: 27/01 2021 Mississippi State 53 Tennessee 56
- NCAAB: 01/02 2020 Tennessee 73 Mississippi State 86
- NCAAB: 16/03 2019 Mississippi State 76 Tennessee 83
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Tennessee Stats
Mississippi State Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road
- +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 156.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 147.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 147.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 147.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.90 pts and allowed 77.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.10 pts and allowed 76.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 156.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 147.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 147.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 147.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 82.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 73.80 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Southeastern | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida
|
26-7 | 2864 | 2376 | 488 | 18-3 | 8-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
26-8 | 3058 | 2723 | 335 | 20-3 | 6-5 | 5W |
Vanderbilt
|
26-8 | 2936 | 2557 | 379 | 15-3 | 11-5 | 1L |
Alabama
|
23-9 | 2935 | 2671 | 264 | 15-6 | 8-3 | 1L |
Georgia
|
22-10 | 2874 | 2533 | 341 | 15-6 | 7-4 | 1L |
|
Tennessee
|
22-11 | 2622 | 2289 | 333 | 16-5 | 6-6 | 1L |
Texas A&M
|
21-11 | 2807 | 2546 | 261 | 14-5 | 7-6 | 1L |
Missouri
|
20-12 | 2549 | 2411 | 138 | 15-4 | 5-8 | 3L |
Kentucky
|
21-13 | 2746 | 2510 | 236 | 16-6 | 5-7 | 1L |
Texas
|
18-14 | 2681 | 2458 | 223 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 3L |
Oklahoma
|
19-15 | 2813 | 2621 | 192 | 13-5 | 6-10 | 1L |
Auburn
|
17-16 | 2730 | 2620 | 110 | 14-6 | 3-10 | 1L |
LSU
|
15-17 | 2606 | 2512 | 94 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 4L |
Ole Miss
|
15-20 | 2656 | 2664 | -8 | 9-9 | 6-11 | 1L |
|
Mississippi State
|
13-19 | 2484 | 2618 | -134 | 9-10 | 4-9 | 6L |
South Carolina
|
13-19 | 2398 | 2447 | -49 | 11-8 | 2-11 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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