Texas State vs South Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Texas State vs South Alabama

The Texas State Bobcats face the South Alabama Jaguars, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Thursday, February 19.

We’re surprised that the total line is 137.5 and it’s all about going for the Overs option when Texas State and South Alabama take to the court. Take the -115 and cheer on points.

Texas State Bobcats won their previous game, beating Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at home. It was a 95-84 win.

South Alabama Jaguars were beaten last game and this was on the road. Marshall Thundering Herd claimed a 84-80 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We’ve seen Texas State beat South Alabama in their last two matchups. Both wins came at home by 93-92 (OT) and 67-65 scorelines. In the past 10 H2H meetings, Texas State have won six.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	21-11	2387	2234	153	12-5	9-6	2L
Texas State	19-13	2365	2271	94	16-3	3-10	1L

View Full Standings

Texas State vs South Alabama Prediction & Picks

Step into Texas State vs South Alabama with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline and a custom-built bet builder. Dive into each section below for the latest insights.

Game Prediction

The teams are capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 137.5 as a great pick at -115 for this college matchup.

Our basketball predictions are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each team. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our college hoops picks.

Key Texas State vs South Alabama stats:

• The 137.5 line has been covered in the last 8 Texas State games on the road.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Texas State games on the road.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Texas State games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in the last 4 South Alabama games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 South Alabama games.
• The 137.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 South Alabama games.

Over 137.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There’s a chance to secure larger odds when you wager on the Totals. The leading sportsbooks allow you to move the line for an Over pick until you’re happy with the potential return.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 137.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 00:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Texas State 67 - 75 South Alabama

There are stacks of correct score lines on offer and we’re looking at the Jags to achieve a winning scoreline of 75-67 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

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Texas State vs South Alabama Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

South Alabama are massive -192 favorites. They are regarded as 66% likely to win this college game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. At +154, Texas State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 3.5 and total points is 137.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to wager Over 137.5, there are odds of -106.

The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Texas State

+154

South Alabama

-192

Point Spread

Texas State +3.5

-118

South Alabama -3.5

-104

Total Points

Under 137.5

-114

Over 137.5

-106

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Texas State Stats

South Alabama Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 142.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 150.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 137.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.60 pts and allowed 68.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.50 pts and allowed 78.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 137.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 137.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 137.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.30 pts and allowed 72.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 72.20 pts and allowed 65.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	22-11	2649	2412	237	12-4	10-7	4W
South Alabama	21-11	2387	2234	153	12-5	9-6	2L
Arkansas State	20-12	2655	2471	184	11-5	9-7	1L
Appalachian State	19-13	2305	2114	191	12-5	7-8	2L
Marshall	19-13	2596	2497	99	13-5	6-8	2L
Texas State	19-13	2365	2271	94	16-3	3-10	1L
Coastal Carolina	19-13	2346	2323	23	8-6	11-7	1L
Georgia Southern	21-16	2994	2949	45	10-6	11-10	1L
James Madison	18-15	2460	2437	23	13-4	5-11	1L
Southern Miss	19-16	2615	2585	30	13-3	6-13	1L
Old Dominion	12-21	2514	2570	-56	8-6	4-15	1L
Louisiana	11-22	2101	2332	-231	8-8	3-14	1L
Georgia State	10-22	2253	2391	-138	7-8	3-14	4L
UL Monroe	4-28	2318	2685	-367	3-12	1-16	8L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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