Citadel vs Mercer Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Citadel vs Mercer

The The Citadel Bulldogs square off against the Mercer Bears, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, January 7.

We really fancy the chances of Mercer beating Citadel handsomely. That is why we’re backing them at -16.5 on the spread at odds of -105.

The Citadel Bulldogs were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Wofford Terriers by a 95-86 scoreline.

Mercer Bears lost on the road in their last game. East Tennessee State Buccaneers won 77-71.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Mercer beat Citadel in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 62-52 scoreline. Mercer have four straight victories against Citadel. They have won 8 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Mercer	19-13	2646	2416	230	14-2	5-11	1L
Citadel	11-22	2322	2558	-236	7-9	4-13	1L

View Full Standings

Citadel vs Mercer Prediction & Picks

We’ve lined up expert Citadel vs Mercer betting tips, from our main match prediction and correct score call to bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

There’s a case to be made for Mercer on the spread in this college contest. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can cover the -16.5 line at odds of -105 considering they should be superior.

Our team of college basketball handicappers track current injuries closely. Combined with recent form, this helps us identify the best value odds. A data-led approach backed by key stats and the latest team news keeps our analysis sharp.

Key Citadel vs Mercer stats:

• The -16.5 line has been covered by Mercer in 2 consecutive games at home.

Mercer -16.5 Probability

According to the top betting apps, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.

Our Game Prediction

Mercer -16.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 6, 23:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Citadel 67 - 87 Mercer

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Bears to record a 87-67 victory. There’s a huge return if we get this right.

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Citadel vs Mercer Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favorites are 97% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds, with Mercer priced at -3333 to triumph in this college game. The Citadel are the underdogs at +1200 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

15.5 is the spread and 147.5 is the total points line. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you want to back Over 147.5, it’s -106.

There are plenty of team props and game lines available for college basketball wagering, and we recommend checking out the top sportsbooks to find the bet that aligns with your prediction for the game.

Moneyline

Citadel

+1200

Mercer

-3333

Point Spread

Citadel +15.5

-106

Mercer -15.5

-114

Total Points

Under 147.5

-114

Over 147.5

-106

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Citadel Stats

Mercer Stats

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +16.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -16.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 144.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 148.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 64.90 pts and allowed 76.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 64.30 pts and allowed 79.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 148.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.30 pts and allowed 70.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.80 pts and allowed 66.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
E. Tennessee St.	23-11	2638	2356	282	15-5	8-6	1L
Furman	22-12	2600	2397	203	13-6	9-6	3W
Mercer	19-13	2646	2416	230	14-2	5-11	1L
Wofford	19-13	2520	2468	52	10-6	9-7	2L
Samford	18-14	2525	2409	116	11-4	7-10	1L
Western Carolina	15-16	2432	2397	35	10-3	5-13	1L
UNC Greensboro	15-19	2673	2736	-63	10-6	5-13	1L
Chattanooga	13-19	2454	2408	46	7-9	6-10	1L
Citadel	11-22	2322	2558	-236	7-9	4-13	1L
VMI	6-26	2303	2560	-257	5-9	1-17	17L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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