Troy vs Arkansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Troy vs Arkansas State

The Troy Trojans square off against the Arkansas State Red Wolves, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday, January 7.

The total line of 158.5 points looks pretty low and we can take advantage by backing the Overs at -110. We can see Troy and Arkansas State combining to go bigger.

Troy Trojans claimed a victory in their previous game. A 59-49 home win occurred against South Alabama Jaguars.

Arkansas State Red Wolves lost their last game, being beaten at home to James Madison Dukes 78-74.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Troy have won in their last two matchups with Arkansas State. It was 71-70 on the road before they enjoyed a 94-81 winning scoreline at home. Troy have won six of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	22-11	2649	2412	237	12-4	10-7	4W
Arkansas State	20-12	2655	2471	184	11-5	9-7	1L

View Full Standings

Troy vs Arkansas State Prediction & Picks

Our Troy vs Arkansas State betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

There are odds of -110 available for our college pick. We think that the points will be racked up cumulatively and we’re going for Over 158.5 in total.

We track all injuries that could impact each team before making our basketball picks. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the college hoops action.

Key Troy vs Arkansas State stats:

• The 158.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Troy games on the road.
• The 158.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 AR State games.
• The 158.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 AR State games.

Over 158.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you have a strong hunch for Overs but want to get bigger odds, consider the Match Result & Total lines. Get both predictions correct for a profitable return.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 158.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Troy 78 - 85 Arkansas State

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. Arkansas State to claim a 85-78 victory is on offer at huge betting odds.

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Troy vs Arkansas State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Arkansas State are regarded as having a 63% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -169. Troy are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +138.

3.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 160.5 right now. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. The Over 160.5 selection is available to back at -115.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Troy

+138

AR State

-169

Point Spread

Troy +3.5

-114

AR State -3.5

-106

Total Points

Under 160.5

-105

Over 160.5

-115

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Troy Stats

Arkansas State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 163.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 158.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.10 pts and allowed 77.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.50 pts and allowed 82.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 154.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 158.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 158.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.00 pts and allowed 75.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.90 pts and allowed 69.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	22-11	2649	2412	237	12-4	10-7	4W
South Alabama	21-11	2387	2234	153	12-5	9-6	2L
Arkansas State	20-12	2655	2471	184	11-5	9-7	1L
Appalachian State	19-13	2305	2114	191	12-5	7-8	2L
Marshall	19-13	2596	2497	99	13-5	6-8	2L
Texas State	19-13	2365	2271	94	16-3	3-10	1L
Coastal Carolina	19-13	2346	2323	23	8-6	11-7	1L
Georgia Southern	21-16	2994	2949	45	10-6	11-10	1L
James Madison	18-15	2460	2437	23	13-4	5-11	1L
Southern Miss	19-16	2615	2585	30	13-3	6-13	1L
Old Dominion	12-21	2514	2570	-56	8-6	4-15	1L
Louisiana	11-22	2101	2332	-231	8-8	3-14	1L
Georgia State	10-22	2253	2391	-138	7-8	3-14	4L
UL Monroe	4-28	2318	2685	-367	3-12	1-16	8L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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