Troy vs Texas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Troy vs Texas State

The Troy Trojans go up against the Texas State Bobcats, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday, February 11.

There are odds of -115 about Over 140.5 points and this looks more than generous when Troy face Texas State. The bar might have been set too low in terms of the total line.

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Troy Trojans claimed a victory in their previous game. A 79-69 home win occurred against Akron Zips.

Texas State Bobcats won their last game which was at home. It was a 77-61 triumph against Western Michigan Broncos.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Troy have beaten Texas State in their most recent meetings. On the road, a 74-69 scoreline was enjoyed before a home win by 100-80. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen six Troy wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	17-8	2078	1873	205	8-4	9-4	2W
Texas State	15-11	1915	1838	77	13-2	2-9	4W

View Full Standings

Troy vs Texas State Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Troy vs Texas State betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

There are odds of -115 available for our college pick. We think that the points will be racked up cumulatively and we’re going for Over 140.5 in total.

To deliver the best possible basketball picks, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date college hoops stats available.

Key Troy vs Texas State stats:

• The 140.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Troy games on the road.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Troy games on the road.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Texas State games.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Texas State games.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in the last 6 games between these teams.

Over 140.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

The sportsbooks give you the option to get bigger odds for your Overs selection by combining this pick on the Match Result & Total lines. Predict a team to win as part of the deal.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 140.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Troy 73 - 72 Texas State

We’re expecting this to be a close game and we’ll take the Trojans to win 73-72. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

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Troy vs Texas State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Troy are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -227 about them triumphing means a 69% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Texas State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +185.

The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 140.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 140.5 at -115.

College hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Troy

-227

Texas State

+185

Point Spread

Troy -5.5

-105

Texas State +5.5

-115

Total Points

Under 140.5

-105

Over 140.5

-115

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Troy Stats

Texas State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 169.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 140.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 140.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.10 pts and allowed 72.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 86.30 pts and allowed 83.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 142.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 142.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 140.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 140.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.90 pts and allowed 70.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.30 pts and allowed 67.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	17-7	1755	1624	131	10-2	7-5	1W
Troy	17-8	2078	1873	205	8-4	9-4	2W
Appalachian State	17-9	1854	1666	188	11-3	6-6	6W
Marshall	15-9	1918	1796	122	11-3	4-6	1L
Arkansas State	15-10	2036	1931	105	8-3	7-7	2W
Texas State	15-11	1915	1838	77	13-2	2-9	4W
Coastal Carolina	15-11	1916	1881	35	7-4	8-7	1W
Georgia Southern	14-11	2024	1989	35	8-5	6-6	2L
Southern Miss	13-13	1907	1903	4	10-2	3-11	1W
James Madison	12-13	1846	1877	-31	9-3	3-10	1W
Georgia State	9-16	1769	1847	-78	6-5	3-11	4L
Louisiana	9-16	1562	1726	-164	6-6	3-10	4W
Old Dominion	8-17	1853	1938	-85	5-5	3-12	1W
UL Monroe	4-21	1795	2052	-257	3-10	1-11	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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