Troy vs Texas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Troy vs Texas State

The Troy Trojans go up against the Texas State Bobcats, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday, February 11.

There are odds of -115 about Over 140.5 points and this looks more than generous when Troy face Texas State. The bar might have been set too low in terms of the total line.

Troy Trojans claimed a victory in their previous game. A 79-69 home win occurred against Akron Zips.

Texas State Bobcats won their last game which was at home. It was a 77-61 triumph against Western Michigan Broncos.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Troy have beaten Texas State in their most recent meetings. On the road, a 74-69 scoreline was enjoyed before a home win by 100-80. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen six Troy wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	22-11	2649	2412	237	12-4	10-7	4W
Texas State	19-13	2365	2271	94	16-3	3-10	1L

View Full Standings

Troy vs Texas State Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Troy vs Texas State betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

There are odds of -115 available for our college pick. We think that the points will be racked up cumulatively and we’re going for Over 140.5 in total.

To deliver the best possible basketball picks, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date college hoops stats available.

Key Troy vs Texas State stats:

• The 140.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Troy games on the road.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Troy games on the road.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Texas State games.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Texas State games.
• The 140.5 line has been covered in the last 6 games between these teams.

Over 140.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

The sportsbooks give you the option to get bigger odds for your Overs selection by combining this pick on the Match Result & Total lines. Predict a team to win as part of the deal.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Our Game Prediction

Over 140.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 11, 00:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Troy 73 - 72 Texas State

We’re expecting this to be a close game and we’ll take the Trojans to win 73-72. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

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Troy vs Texas State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Troy are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -233 about them triumphing means a 70% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Texas State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +184.

The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 140.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 140.5 at -110.

College hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Troy

-233

Texas State

+184

Point Spread

Troy -5.5

-102

Texas State +5.5

-120

Total Points

Under 140.5

-110

Over 140.5

-110

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Troy Stats

Texas State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 150.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 169.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 140.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 140.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.10 pts and allowed 72.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 86.30 pts and allowed 83.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 142.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 142.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 140.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 140.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 71.90 pts and allowed 70.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.30 pts and allowed 67.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	22-11	2649	2412	237	12-4	10-7	4W
South Alabama	21-11	2387	2234	153	12-5	9-6	2L
Arkansas State	20-12	2655	2471	184	11-5	9-7	1L
Appalachian State	19-13	2305	2114	191	12-5	7-8	2L
Marshall	19-13	2596	2497	99	13-5	6-8	2L
Texas State	19-13	2365	2271	94	16-3	3-10	1L
Coastal Carolina	19-13	2346	2323	23	8-6	11-7	1L
Georgia Southern	21-16	2994	2949	45	10-6	11-10	1L
James Madison	18-15	2460	2437	23	13-4	5-11	1L
Southern Miss	19-16	2615	2585	30	13-3	6-13	1L
Old Dominion	12-21	2514	2570	-56	8-6	4-15	1L
Louisiana	11-22	2101	2332	-231	8-8	3-14	1L
Georgia State	10-22	2253	2391	-138	7-8	3-14	4L
UL Monroe	4-28	2318	2685	-367	3-12	1-16	8L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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