Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 May 2026

Europa Conference League Final Betting Preview: Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano

Crystal Palace face Rayo Vallecano in the Europa Conference League final at Red Bull Arena in Leipzig, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 27 May.

Crystal Palace manager Oliver Glasner knows what it takes to win in Europe, having guided Frankfurt to Europa League glory in 2022. You also cannot underestimate the quality of Premier League sides in European competition.

However, Rayo Vallecano are a strong outfit, having finished eighth in La Liga in back-to-back seasons while also arriving in excellent form, unbeaten in their last nine matches across La Liga and the Conference League.

Considering the recent form, xG data and the overall quality shown by both sides, Los Franjirrojos should put up a fight and avoid defeat in 90 minutes. That makes Rayo +0.5 on the Asian Handicap at -109 an appealing selection.

Both teams have completed their domestic campaigns, with Crystal Palace finishing 15th in the Premier League on 45 points from 38 matches, while Rayo Vallecano ended eighth in La Liga with 50 points from 38 matches.

Palace ended their Premier League season with a 2-1 home defeat to champions Arsenal at Selhurst Park. The South London club recorded 39% possession and had three shots on target, with Jean-Philippe Mateta bagging the goal.

Rayo closed out their La Liga campaign with a 2-1 away victory over Deportivo Alavés at Estadio Mendizorroza. Inigo Perez's team were 52% in the possession stakes and managed seven shots on goal, with Sergio Camello and Randy Nteka both on target.

In the Conference League semi-finals, Palace progressed with a 5-2 aggregate victory over Ukrainian Premier League side Shakhtar Donetsk, while Rayo secured their place in the final by beating French Ligue 1 outfit Strasbourg 2-0 on aggregate.

Europa Conference League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13	7	6	13:7	13
10	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	11	6	5	11:6	10

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 11.1 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. Palace have had 41.6% possession, 328.6 passes and 3.3 corners per match. On average, the Eagles have conceded 1.9 goals from 13.9 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 7.4 corners.

Ismaila Sarr is the top goalscorer with 5, Jean-Philippe Mateta has 2, with Adam Wharton and two other players on 1. Daniel Munoz is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalkeeper Dean Henderson keeping one clean sheet.

Rayo have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 6.3 shots on goal, 16.0 attempts and 1.5 goals. The Madrid side average 50.2% possession, 384.0 passes, 4.2 corners taken and 5.6 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 12.5 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Alexandre Zurawski and Sergio Camello on 5, with Randy Nteka getting 2. Pedro Diaz and Gerard Gumbau are top assists providers with 2, while Augusto Batalla has recorded 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Crystal Palace confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Dean Henderson (GK), Jaydee Canvot, Maxence Lacroix, Chadi Riad, Daniel Munoz, Adam Wharton, Daichi Kamada, Tyrick Mitchell, Ismaila Sarr, Yeremy Pino, Jean-Philippe Mateta.

Rayo Vallecano confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Augusto Batalla (GK), Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Pathe Ciss, Pep Chavarria, Oscar Valentin, Unai Lopez, Jorge de Frutos, Isi Palazon, Alvaro Garcia, Alexandre Zurawski.

Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our best Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano picks, including our main match prediction, top corners bet, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

Rayo +0.5 can deliver a return in the Conference League final. We’ll side with them on the Asian Handicap, with the latest stats backing up this selection which is on offer at odds of -109.

We study the Europa Conference League form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano Europa Conference League & league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Rayo in 9 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Rayo in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Palace in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Palace in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Palace in 13 of their last 20 games.

The best football betting sites make it a 52.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Bettors can choose between buying or selling goals depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.

Thinking of placing a bet? Make sure to check our guide first — it’s full of the latest offers and welcome bonuses worth claiming.

Our Match Prediction

Rayo Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -109 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 25, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Rayo

The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +400. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sergio Camello Over 1.5 Shots -103

Sergio Camello (Rayo) has finished with over 1.5 shots in three consecutive games. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -103.

Latest Sergio Camello Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+1000

Shots

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

---

Ismaïla Sarr To Score +190

Ismaïla Sarr (Palace) can be wagered to find the net at +190. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Ismaïla Sarr Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+480

Shots

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Rayo Over 3.5 Corners -143

There’s been an average of 4.40 corners for Rayo Vallecano in their past 5 games, with the corner count against Crystal Palace going over 3.5 in their last ten matches. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Rayo Team Corners line to get covered at -143.

Europa Conference League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Crystal Palace

Total

10.70 3.30 7.40

Home

8.70 4.50 4.20

Away

9.90 3.60 6.30

Rayo

Total

9.80 4.20 5.60

Home

11.20 6.70 4.50

Away

9.50 4.00 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-125

Crystal Palace Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

+102

Rayo Corners

Over 4.5

+105

Under 4.5

-143

Most Corners

1

-122

X

+600

2

+130

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Crystal Palace are the favourites to win the Conference League final in 90 minutes, with the Eagles afforded a 48% probability based on their +108 betting odds with the bookies. Rayo Vallecano are seen as the most unlikely winner at +300.

If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then Palace are -244 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Rayo are +165 and there is money back if the game ends all square.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

If you head to our recommended betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Europa Conference League match. Go through the options and choose your football bet.

Full-Time Result

1

+108

X

+195

2

+300

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

-105

2

+340

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-263

X2

-139

Draw No Bet

1

-244

2

+165

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+106

2 Hcp +0.5

-132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-172

Over 2.5

+130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-110

No

-123

Jean-Philippe Mateta is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +370, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace)

First

+370

Anytime

+160

Ismaïla Sarr (Crystal Palace)

First

+480

Anytime

+210

Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)

First

+525

Anytime

+240

Alemão (Rayo)

First

+800

Anytime

+350

Brennan Johnson (Crystal Palace)

First

+850

Anytime

+370

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+850

Anytime

+370

Yeremy Pino (Crystal Palace)

First

+950

Anytime

+430

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+430

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Alfonso Espino (Rayo)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Ilias Akhomach (Rayo)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Daniel Muñoz (Crystal Palace)

First

+1400

Anytime

+650

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

First

+1800

Anytime

+750

Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace)

First

+1800

Anytime

+800

Pedro Diaz (Rayo)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Will Hughes (Crystal Palace)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Chris Richards (Crystal Palace)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Adam Wharton (Crystal Palace)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-

Ismaïla Sarr (Crystal Palace)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Alemão (Rayo)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Ilias Akhomach (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Alfonso Espino (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Álvaro García (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Yeremy Pino (Crystal Palace)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Brennan Johnson (Crystal Palace)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Daniel Muñoz (Crystal Palace)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Daichi Kamada (Crystal Palace)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Diaz (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Will Hughes (Crystal Palace)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Adam Wharton (Crystal Palace)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Crystal Palace Stats

Rayo Vallecano Stats

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 7.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 41.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 46.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Palace vs Rayo team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Europa Conference League, along with current injury news.

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