UC San Diego vs Cal Poly Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Jan 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: UC San Diego vs Cal Poly

The UC San Diego Tritons battle the Cal Poly Mustangs, with tip-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, January 1.

We’re confident about the number of points to be scored when UCSD and Cal Poly take to the court. Therefore, the prediction is Under 170.5 points which is available at -112.

UC San Diego Tritons previous game saw them claim a 85-62 home win over Stanton University Fighting Elks.

Cal Poly Mustangs lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 83-80 at home to Idaho Vandals.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 81-67 in favor of UCSD when they last played Cal Poly. UCSD have enjoyed five consecutive wins against Cal Poly. They’ve landed 5 victories from the past 7 head-to-head meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UC San Diego	23-11	2573	2390	183	14-5	9-6	1L
Cal Poly	14-19	2710	2805	-95	8-7	6-12	1L

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UC San Diego vs Cal Poly Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential UC San Diego vs Cal Poly betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

The -112 about Under 170.5 points makes lots of appeal. We’re not sure that the teams can combine to reach that number for this college matchup.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming college hoops action along with the current form of each team. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our basketball predictions.

Key UC San Diego vs Cal Poly stats:

• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 20 UCSD games on the road.
• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Cal Poly games at home.
• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Cal Poly games at home.
• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Cal Poly games at home.
• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 170.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.9% prospect of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this college basketball wager.

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total bet. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier wager which has a bigger payout.

Start wagering with a boost! Find the best welcome bonuses in our complete and updated betting offers guide.

Our Game Prediction

Under 170.5 Points @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 1, 02:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

UC San Diego 89 - 77 Cal Poly

Rather than betting on the Tritons to win, there’s the option to try your luck when it comes to the correct score lines. Take a chance on a 89-77 triumph in their favor.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

UC San Diego vs Cal Poly Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Cal Poly are massive +330 favorites. They are regarded as 23% likely to win this college game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get -435 about UC San Diego.

The spread is calculated to be 8.5, while total points comes in at 172.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 172.5 at -115.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for most college basketball matchups, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

UCSD

-435

Cal Poly

+330

Point Spread

UCSD -8.5

-112

Cal Poly +8.5

-108

Total Points

Under 172.5

-115

Over 172.5

-105

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UC San Diego Stats

Cal Poly Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 142.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 170.5: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games
• Over 170.5 on the Road: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.50 pts and allowed 71.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.60 pts and allowed 67.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 172.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 168.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 170.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 170.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.10 pts and allowed 88.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.70 pts and allowed 81.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Hawaii	24-8	2548	2231	317	17-3	7-5	2W
UC Irvine	23-11	2630	2327	303	14-6	9-5	1L
UC San Diego	23-11	2573	2390	183	14-5	9-6	1L
Cal State Northridge	20-14	2767	2713	54	13-3	7-11	1L
UC Davis	19-14	2562	2478	84	13-4	6-10	1L
UCSB	18-14	2483	2328	155	12-4	6-10	3L
Cal State Fullerton	18-16	2822	2778	44	12-5	6-11	1L
Cal Poly	14-19	2710	2805	-95	8-7	6-12	1L
Long Beach State	10-22	2396	2489	-93	7-9	3-13	1W
UC Riverside	10-22	2332	2492	-160	7-7	3-15	1L
CSU Bakersfield	8-24	2339	2627	-288	6-11	2-13	15L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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