UCF vs Villanova Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Apr 2025

UCF Knights (19-16, 9-14 Big 12) play Villanova Wildcats (21-14, 12-10 Big East) in this College Basketball Crown semifinal at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

Let’s shoot for a total bet between UCF and Villanova, with Under 156.5 points available at odds of -105. This betting prediction has plenty of juice in the price.

UCF Knights won 88-80 against Cincinnati Bearcats in their previous game.

Villanova Wildcats won 60-59 against USC Trojans in their last game.

NCAAB Regular Season	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Villanova	24-8	2469	2265	204	15-4	9-4	1L
UCF	21-11	2591	2511	80	15-5	6-6	1L

View Full Standings

UCF vs Villanova Prediction & Picks

Go for Under at -105. It might be defenses on top when these college rivals meet, with the 156.5 points line looking on the high side on the totals.

The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing college basketball predictions. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we can make the best picks.

Key UCF vs Villanova stats:

• The 156.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 10 Villanova games.
• The 156.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Villanova games.
• The 156.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 14 Villanova games.

Under 156.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you’re wanting bigger odds for your Under wager, then there’s a way of changing the line and shooting for a lower points total in the hope of a better return.

Our Game Prediction

Under 156.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 4, 18:53). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Eric Dixon Under 23.5 Points -115

Eric Dixon (Villanova) is available at -115 to total Under 23.5 points. This gives us confidence that he might not cover the line and you can bet on Player Points.

Latest Eric Dixon Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-115

Assists

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-100

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-115

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Darius Johnson Over 4.5 Assists -102

Darius Johnson (UCF) can be wagered to secure Over 4.5 assists at -102. We feel pretty confident that he’ll be able to cover the Player Assists total which looks generous.

Latest Darius Johnson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 22.5

-118

Under 22.5

-110

Assists

Over 4.5

-101

Under 4.5

-128

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

UCF 77 - 76 Villanova

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll bet on UCF to secure a 77-76 win at huge odds and this correct score selection should hopefully be a fun one.

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UCF vs Villanova Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Villanova are -192 favorites and that means a 66% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. At +160, UCF are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 156.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. Those who wager Under 156.5 can get -110.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball bets. The betting sites offer a nice selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

UCF

+160

Villanova

-192

Point Spread

UCF +3.5

-104

Villanova -3.5

-118

Total Points

Under 156.5

-110

Over 156.5

-110

In terms of hitting the most buckets, favorite Eric Dixon is available at -112 to rack up Over 23.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -115 is available.

Eric Dixon (Villanova)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-115

Darius Johnson (UCF)

Over 22.5

-118

Under 22.5

-110

Wooga Poplar (Villanova)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Jordan Longino (Villanova)

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-115

Moustapha Thiam (UCF)

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-115

Darius Johnson (UCF)

Over 4.5

-101

Under 4.5

-128

Jordan Longino (Villanova)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-125

Eric Dixon (Villanova)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-100

Wooga Poplar (Villanova)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-130

Wooga Poplar (Villanova)

Over 6.5

-143

Under 6.5

+110

Moustapha Thiam (UCF)

Over 6.5

-128

Under 6.5

-101

Eric Dixon (Villanova)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-115

Darius Johnson (UCF)

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-115

Jordan Longino (Villanova)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-105

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UCF Stats

Villanova Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 163.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.20 pts and allowed 80.80 pts in the last 10 games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 133.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 68.20 pts and allowed 65.70 pts in the last 10 games

NCAAB Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big East	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UConn	29-5	2635	2214	421	18-2	11-3	1L
St. John's	28-6	2773	2379	394	18-3	10-3	6W
Villanova	24-8	2469	2265	204	15-4	9-4	1L
Seton Hall	21-12	2321	2156	165	13-5	8-7	1L
DePaul	16-16	2248	2226	22	12-9	4-7	3L
Butler	16-16	2540	2481	59	13-8	3-8	1L
Georgetown	16-18	2503	2479	24	10-8	6-10	1L
Creighton	15-17	2404	2401	3	11-6	4-11	1L
Providence	15-18	2815	2772	43	10-7	5-11	1L
Xavier	15-18	2586	2661	-75	13-7	2-11	1L
Marquette	12-20	2405	2425	-20	10-9	2-11	1L

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	32-2	2929	2339	590	21-1	11-1	9W
Houston	28-6	2623	2137	486	20-2	8-4	1L
Iowa State	27-7	2781	2215	566	19-1	8-6	1L
Kansas	23-10	2496	2290	206	17-2	6-8	1L
Texas Tech	22-10	2573	2324	249	16-4	6-6	3L
BYU	23-11	2853	2561	292	17-4	6-7	1L
TCU	22-11	2584	2378	206	16-5	6-6	1L
UCF	21-11	2591	2511	80	15-5	6-6	1L
Oklahoma State	19-14	2781	2736	45	14-5	5-9	1L
West Virginia	18-14	2214	2072	142	15-6	3-8	1L
Cincinnati	18-15	2413	2230	183	16-4	2-11	1L
Colorado	17-15	2559	2542	17	15-7	2-8	2L
Arizona State	17-16	2519	2585	-66	13-6	4-10	1L
Baylor	16-16	2642	2469	173	12-8	4-8	1L
Kansas State	12-20	2546	2619	-73	11-8	1-12	2L
Utah	10-22	2379	2531	-152	9-9	1-13	6L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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