UMass vs Ball State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: UMass vs Ball State

The UMass Minutemen square off against the Ball State, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, February 24.

We’re confident that Over 141.5 is the value bet at -110. We’re expecting UMass and Ball State to rack up the points, so we’ll have a wager on the totals.

UMass Minutemen lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Buffalo Bulls 86-82 (OT).

Ball State lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 78-65 at home to Akron Zips.

Head-to-Head Statistics

UMass beat Ball State in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 79-71 scoreline.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UMass	15-13	2265	2165	100	10-6	5-7	4L
Ball State	8-19	1781	1898	-117	6-7	2-12	4L

View Full Standings

UMass vs Ball State Prediction & Picks

Head into UMass vs Ball State with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, best correct score pick and a value-driven bet builder. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

You can get -110 that there are Over 141.5 points and there’s plenty of juice in those betting odds. The two teams should be able to keep the score ticking for our pick to win.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our college basketball handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key UMass vs Ball State stats:

• The 141.5 line has been covered in the last 5 UMass games.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 UMass games on the road.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 UMass games.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Ball State games at home.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Ball State games at home.
• The 141.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Ball State games at home.

Over 141.5 Probability

If you go by the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

In order to land bigger odds on your Overs wager, it’s possible to combine this with the winning team. The Match Result & Total lines can provide a larger potential payout.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Over 141.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 23, 23:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

UMass 77 - 69 Ball State

There are stacks of correct score lines on offer and we’re looking at the Minutemen to achieve a winning scoreline of 77-69 where a huge potential return is on the cards.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

UMass vs Ball State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this college game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean UMass Minutemen are -233 favorites to win and that means a 70% chance of landing a victory. At +190, Ball State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 141.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you’re going for Over 141.5, then the odds are -110.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college basketball matchup, head to the top betting apps and explore the wide range of team props and game lines. Look for the lines that offer the most value.

Moneyline

UMass

-233

Ball State

+190

Point Spread

UMass -5.5

-102

Ball State +5.5

-120

Total Points

Under 141.5

-110

Over 141.5

-110

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to wager on Total Points, Three-Pointers, Assists, Steals, Blocks and Rebounds as potential options.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, college basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UMass Stats

Ball State Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 163.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 165.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 141.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 141.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.10 pts and allowed 82.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 82.40 pts and allowed 83.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 131.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 138.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 141.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 141.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 62.50 pts and allowed 69.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 70.20 pts and allowed 68.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mid-American	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami (OH)	27-0	2491	2011	480	16-0	11-0	25W
Akron	22-5	2415	2011	404	14-2	8-3	3W
Kent State	19-7	2202	2083	119	13-2	6-5	3W
Buffalo	16-11	2122	2025	97	7-7	9-4	1W
Bowling Green	16-12	2289	1994	295	11-6	5-6	2L
Ohio	15-13	2160	2146	14	11-6	4-7	2W
UMass	15-13	2265	2165	100	10-6	5-7	4L
Toledo	14-13	2196	2093	103	9-4	5-9	1W
Northern Illinois	9-17	1843	1980	-137	6-5	3-12	1L
Central Michigan	9-18	1986	2069	-83	8-4	1-14	1W
Eastern Michigan	9-18	1905	2008	-103	6-5	3-13	1L
Western Michigan	9-18	2014	2156	-142	7-6	2-12	2L
Ball State	8-19	1781	1898	-117	6-7	2-12	4L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages