NC State vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: NC State vs Virginia

The NC State Wolfpack go up against the Virginia Cavaliers, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, February 24.

Virginia should secure a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward. Back this selection off -5.5 to cover the line against NC State at odds of -115.

NC State Wolfpack won their previous game which was at home. It was a 82-58 triumph against North Carolina Tar Heels.

Virginia Cavaliers won their last game which was at home. It was a 86-83 triumph against Miami Hurricanes.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Virginia have claimed victory in the last two matchups against NC State. They won 70-67 at home and 76-61 on the road. The past 10 games H2H record shows that both teams have five wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L

View Full Standings

NC State vs Virginia Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential NC State vs Virginia betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s time to go for Virginia against the spread, especially with an attractive -5.5 line at -115. Our pick is that the favorites can achieve a comfortable win in this college contest.

We only publish our basketball picks once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every college hoops prediction we make.

Key NC State vs Virginia stats:

• The -5.5 line has been covered by Virginia in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -5.5 line has been covered by Virginia in 14 of their last 20 games at home.

UVA -5.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 53.5% chance of this pick winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Our Game Prediction

Virginia -5.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 23, 23:03). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Malik Thomas Over 11.5 Points -125

Malik Thomas (Virginia) is available at -125 to score Over 11.5 points. We’re happy to take this Player Points prop bet as he is capable of a big performance.

Latest Malik Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-119

Under 11.5

-109

Assists

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-161

Rebounds

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-130

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Sam Lewis Over 3.5 Rebounds -141

Sam Lewis (Virginia) can be backed to register Over 3.5 rebounds at -141. We’re confident that he can oblige with an Overs bet considering the generous line that’s on offer.

Latest Sam Lewis Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-127

Under 11.5

-102

Assists

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-208

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

NC State 75 - 83 Virginia

There’s a huge payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Cavs to claim a 83-75 win which will hopefully go close.

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NC State vs Virginia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Virginia odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -286 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 74% chance of winning. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +230 about NC State.

The spread is currently 6.5, with the total points line at 152.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. If you’re going for Over 152.5, then the odds are -110.

College basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of game lines and team props which are available for most matchups on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

NC State

+230

Virginia

-286

Point Spread

NC State +6.5

-118

Virginia -6.5

-104

Total Points

Under 152.5

-110

Over 152.5

-110

Thijs De Ridder is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -130 that he gets Over 15.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -100.

Thijs De Ridder (Virginia)

Over 15.5

-130

Under 15.5

-100

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 14.5

+120

Under 14.5

-156

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Sam Lewis (Virginia)

Over 11.5

-127

Under 11.5

-102

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 11.5

-119

Under 11.5

-109

Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State)

Over 11.5

-111

Under 11.5

-116

Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State)

Over 10.5

-130

Under 10.5

-100

Chance Mallory (Virginia)

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

+110

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 6.5

-118

Under 6.5

-110

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

+139

Sam Lewis (Virginia)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-208

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-161

Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-135

Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

+105

Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State)

Over 6.5

-119

Under 6.5

-109

Thijs De Ridder (Virginia)

Over 6.5

-127

Under 6.5

-102

Darrion Williams (NC State)

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-111

Quadir Copeland (NC State)

Over 4.5

+134

Under 4.5

-175

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-130

Sam Lewis (Virginia)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Chance Mallory (Virginia)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-154

Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+123

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

NC State Stats

Virginia Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 165.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 167.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 148.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 on the Road: Covered in the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 86.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 83.40 pts and allowed 83.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 140.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 143.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 148.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 148.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.20 pts and allowed 66.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 64.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	32-2	2798	2147	651	21-0	11-2	11W
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
Miami	25-8	2704	2349	355	16-4	9-4	1L
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Clemson	24-10	2521	2269	252	16-3	8-7	1L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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