Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 25 Jun 2025

Valencia host Real Madrid at Pabellón Fuente de San Luis in Game 3 of this Liga ACB Finals matchup. Madrid lead the series 2-0.

We’re keeping our prediction simple and backing Valencia to triumph. The home team should be able to gain the upper hand over Real Madrid and the Moneyline offers an attractive -118.

Real Are 7 From 10 on the H2H

When Valencia Basket and Real Madrid met on Sunday night, Madrid managed a 102-96 (OT) victory. Madrid have three straight victories against Valencia. They have won 7 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

Liga ACB	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Real Madrid	15	2	1566	1402	164	7-1	8-1	3W
2  Valencia	13	4	1608	1388	220	8-1	5-3	1W

View Full Standings

Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

For this Liga ACB showdown, we are going to bet against the visiting team with our pick. One way of doing this is by siding with Valencia and we really like the -118 about the hosts winning on the Moneyline.

Our team of Spanish basketball experts are right across the latest injuries and the form guide also informs our Liga ACB picks. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Valencia vs Real Madrid league stats:

• Valencia have won 5 consecutive games at home.
• Valencia have won 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• Valencia have won 8 of their last 10 games.

Valencia Moneyline Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of landing a return. However, our in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is why we think it’s worth placing this basketball wager.

As an alternative, you could consider the spread where you can back Valencia to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

Our Game Prediction

Valencia Moneyline @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Valencia 85 - 83 Real Madrid

We’re expecting a close contest so it might be worth going for Valencia to win by a 85-83 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

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Valencia vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You can back Valencia Basket at -143 to win against Real Madrid, with the latter trading at +116. The probability of the home team winning this Liga ACB game is 59% according to the sportsbooks.

The spread is calculated to be 2.5, while total points comes in at 175.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you fancy Under 175.5, then the odds are -111.

There are a nice selection of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on the Spanish basketball league and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Valencia

-143

Real Madrid

+116

Point Spread

Valencia -2.5

-111

Real Madrid +2.5

-111

Total Points

Under 175.5

-111

Over 175.5

-111

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the Liga ACB. There are a massive range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest 0 regular season and play-off games stats.

Valencia Stats

Real Madrid Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 177.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 165.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 177.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 177.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.20 pts and allowed 89.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.50 pts and allowed 83.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 167.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 163.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 177.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 177.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.40 pts and allowed 81.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.10 pts and allowed 82.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Liga ACB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Real Madrid	15	2	1566	1402	164	7-1	8-1	3W
2  Valencia	13	4	1608	1388	220	8-1	5-3	1W
3  Barcelona	12	5	1496	1365	131	6-3	6-2	1L
4  Baskonia	11	5	1508	1420	88	7-1	4-4	7W
5  Murcia	11	6	1492	1389	103	6-2	5-4	1L
6  Unicaja	11	6	1486	1429	57	7-2	4-4	3W
7  Tenerife	10	7	1479	1425	54	5-3	5-4	1W
8  Joventut	10	7	1429	1386	43	6-2	4-5	2L
9  Bilbao	9	8	1438	1456	-18	7-2	2-6	4W
10  Lleida	8	9	1395	1459	-64	4-5	4-4	3W
11  Girona	8	9	1479	1552	-73	5-4	3-5	2W
12  Breogán	8	10	1628	1661	-33	4-5	4-5	1W
13  Manresa	7	10	1445	1566	-121	5-3	2-7	1W
14  Zaragoza	6	11	1483	1552	-69	3-6	3-5	2L
15  Gran Canaria	6	11	1327	1404	-77	3-5	3-6	4L
16  Andorra	5	13	1526	1653	-127	4-5	1-8	1W
17  Burgos	3	14	1497	1587	-90	2-6	1-8	3L
18  Granada	1	17	1439	1627	-188	1-8	0-9	12L

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