Virginia vs Duke Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Virginia vs Duke

The Virginia Cavaliers face the Duke Blue Devils, with tip-off scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, February 28.

We think that 136.5 is a more than generous total for Over backers when Virginia meet Duke. Take the -115 that we see the teams combine to good effect.

Virginia Cavaliers previous game saw them claim a 90-61 home win over NC State Wolfpack.

Duke Blue Devils got the win in their last game. A 100-56 triumph occurred on the road when meeting Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Duke triumphed 80-62 when they last played Virginia. Duke have three straight victories against Virginia. They have won 7 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	26-2	2325	1761	564	16-0	10-2	5W
Virginia	25-3	2305	1897	408	15-1	10-2	9W

View Full Standings

Virginia vs Duke Prediction & Picks

Step into Virginia vs Duke with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

We’ll take a chance on a total wager after finding that the line is set at a generous 136.5. Expect this number to be surpassed at -115 for this college matchup.

We keep a close eye on team news and our college basketball handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Virginia vs Duke stats:

• The 136.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Virginia games on the road.
• The 136.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Virginia games on the road.
• The 136.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Virginia games.
• The 136.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Duke games at home.

Over 136.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for a bigger return on your Total bet? Consider the Match Result & Total lines where you combine the winning team and Over a certain number of points.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 136.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 16:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Virginia 63 - 78 Duke

Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try Duke to win 78-63 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Virginia vs Duke Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With an estimated 88% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -714 betting odds about Duke triumphing in this college game. At +480, Virginia are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is calculated to be 10.5, while total points comes in at 137.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. The Over 137.5 selection is available to back at -115.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball wagers. The best sportsbooks have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Virginia

+480

Duke

-714

Point Spread

Virginia +10.5

-110

Duke -10.5

-110

Total Points

Under 137.5

-105

Over 137.5

-115

The best gambling sites offer player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Virginia Stats

Duke Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 148.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 151.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 136.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 136.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.30 pts and allowed 69.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 71.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 137.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 145.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 136.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 136.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.60 pts and allowed 59.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 80.70 pts and allowed 64.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	26-2	2325	1761	564	16-0	10-2	5W
Virginia	25-3	2305	1897	408	15-1	10-2	9W
Miami	22-6	2322	1977	345	14-3	8-3	1W
North Carolina	22-6	2257	1981	276	17-0	5-6	2W
Clemson	20-8	2087	1837	250	13-3	7-5	4L
Louisville	20-8	2418	2015	403	14-2	6-6	1L
California	20-8	2198	2032	166	17-3	3-5	3W
NC State	19-9	2352	2082	270	12-5	7-4	1L
SMU	19-9	2413	2167	246	16-2	3-7	1L
Virginia Tech	18-10	2206	2073	133	14-3	4-7	1W
Stanford	17-11	2102	2025	77	11-6	6-5	1W
Syracuse	15-13	2117	2054	63	12-5	3-8	2L
Florida State	14-14	2232	2180	52	10-8	4-6	1L
Wake Forest	14-14	2207	2152	55	10-6	4-8	2L
Notre Dame	12-16	2065	2082	-17	10-6	2-10	2L
Georgia Tech	11-17	2075	2165	-90	10-8	1-9	9L
Pittsburgh	10-18	1958	2009	-51	8-9	2-9	1L
Boston College	10-18	1896	1974	-78	9-10	1-8	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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