Virginia vs Duke Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Virginia vs Duke

The Virginia Cavaliers face the Duke Blue Devils, with tip-off scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, February 28.

We think that 136.5 is a more than generous total for Over backers when Virginia meet Duke. Take the -115 that we see the teams combine to good effect.

Virginia Cavaliers previous game saw them claim a 90-61 home win over NC State Wolfpack.

Duke Blue Devils got the win in their last game. A 100-56 triumph occurred on the road when meeting Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Duke triumphed 80-62 when they last played Virginia. Duke have three straight victories against Virginia. They have won 7 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	32-2	2798	2147	651	21-0	11-2	11W
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L

View Full Standings

Virginia vs Duke Prediction & Picks

Be fully equipped for Virginia vs Duke with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’ll take a chance on a total wager after finding that the line is set at a generous 136.5. Expect this number to be surpassed at -115 for this college matchup.

We keep a close eye on team news and our college basketball handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Virginia vs Duke stats:

• The 136.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Virginia games on the road.
• The 136.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Virginia games on the road.
• The 136.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Virginia games.
• The 136.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Duke games at home.

Over 136.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for a bigger return on your Total bet? Consider the Match Result & Total lines where you combine the winning team and Over a certain number of points.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 136.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 16:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Caleb Foster Under 3.5 Rebounds -130

Caleb Foster (Duke) can be backed to finish with Under 3.5 rebounds at -130. We’re pretty confident that this Player Rebounds wager will end up falling short of the line.

Latest Caleb Foster Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-105

Assists

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-110

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

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Sam Lewis Under 0.5 Assists +140

Sam Lewis (Virginia) is available at +140 to have Under 0.5 assists. We can feel confident that he might fall short on the Player Assists front as the total looks too high.

Latest Sam Lewis Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-125

Assists

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+140

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

+105

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Virginia 63 - 78 Duke

Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try Duke to win 78-63 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Virginia vs Duke Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With an estimated 85% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -588 betting odds about Duke triumphing in this college game. At +430, Virginia are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is calculated to be 9.5, while total points comes in at 140.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. The Over 140.5 selection is available to back at -115.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball wagers. The best sportsbooks have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Virginia

+430

Duke

-588

Point Spread

Virginia +9.5

-105

Duke -9.5

-115

Total Points

Under 140.5

-105

Over 140.5

-115

The favorite to land the most baskets is Cameron Boozer. Odds of -130 can be found for him scoring Over 21.5 points and there is -100 for him to go Under.

Cameron Boozer (Duke)

Over 21.5

-130

Under 21.5

-100

Isaiah Evans (Duke)

Over 14.5

-118

Under 14.5

-110

Patrick Ngongba II (Duke)

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-118

Sam Lewis (Virginia)

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-125

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 10.5

-105

Under 10.5

-125

Caleb Foster (Duke)

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-105

Dallin Hall (Virginia)

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-118

Dallin Hall (Virginia)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-164

Cameron Boozer (Duke)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+115

Caleb Foster (Duke)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-110

Patrick Ngongba II (Duke)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+125

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-222

Isaiah Evans (Duke)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+165

Sam Lewis (Virginia)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+140

Cameron Boozer (Duke)

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

+102

Patrick Ngongba II (Duke)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+115

Malik Thomas (Virginia)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-120

Caleb Foster (Duke)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-130

Dallin Hall (Virginia)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-154

Isaiah Evans (Duke)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

+115

Sam Lewis (Virginia)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

+105

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Virginia Stats

Duke Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 145.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 148.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 138.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 138.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.80 pts and allowed 69.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.10 pts and allowed 72.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 141.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 138.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 138.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 138.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.50 pts and allowed 60.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.20 pts and allowed 60.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	32-2	2798	2147	651	21-0	11-2	11W
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
Miami	25-8	2704	2349	355	16-4	9-4	1L
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Clemson	24-10	2521	2269	252	16-3	8-7	1L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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