Xavier vs Villanova Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Xavier vs Villanova

The Xavier Musketeers go up against the Villanova Wildcats, with tip-off scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, March 7.

We’d be surprised if Villanova don’t exceed a -12.5 spread against Xavier. That is why the bet has to be the big favorites to cover the line at -105.

Xavier Musketeers were beaten 77-68 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Seton Hall Pirates.

Villanova Wildcats triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where DePaul Blue Demons were beaten 76-57.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villanova have won two on the spin against Xavier. They won 80-68 at home and 92-89 (OT) on the road. The past 10 H2H games have seen Villanova land seven wins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Villanova	23-7	2314	2109	205	14-3	9-4	1W
Xavier	14-16	2351	2390	-39	13-7	1-9	1L

View Full Standings

Xavier vs Villanova Prediction & Picks

Head into Xavier vs Villanova with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, best correct score pick and a value-driven bet builder. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

We’re predicting that Villanova will be superior in this college game and that’s why we’re backing them on the spread at -12.5. Take the -105 that the big favorites are able to cover this line.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making basketball predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter college hoops picks.

Key Xavier vs Villanova stats:

• The -12.5 line has been covered by Villanova in 9 of their last 20 games at home.

Villanova -12.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you want to secure a bigger possible payout on your bet, there’s the option to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Villanova -12.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 6, 17:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Xavier 72 - 87 Villanova

There’s the chance to land huge betting odds when it comes to Villanova winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 87-72 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

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Xavier vs Villanova Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Moneyline betting odds give Villanova a 86% chance of winning this college game which means they’re overwhelming -625 favorites with the sportsbooks. Xavier are the underdogs at +440 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

11.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 155.5 right now. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you want to wager Over 155.5, there are odds of -110.

College basketball bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of game lines and team props which are available for most matchups on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Xavier

+440

Villanova

-625

Point Spread

Xavier +11.5

-106

Villanova -11.5

-114

Total Points

Under 155.5

-110

Over 155.5

-110

There is regularly betting value to be found from wagering on the player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Xavier Stats

Villanova Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 151.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.10 pts and allowed 84.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.60 pts and allowed 84.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 149.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 144.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 151.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 151.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.60 pts and allowed 73.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.50 pts and allowed 69.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big East	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UConn	27-3	2361	1955	406	16-2	11-1	3W
St. John's	24-6	2466	2122	344	15-3	9-3	2W
Villanova	23-7	2314	2109	205	14-3	9-4	1W
Seton Hall	20-10	2116	1945	171	12-4	8-6	1W
DePaul	16-14	2121	2082	39	12-7	4-7	1L
Butler	15-15	2378	2319	59	13-7	2-8	2L
Creighton	15-16	2343	2329	14	11-6	4-10	1W
Providence	14-16	2573	2526	47	10-7	4-9	1L
Xavier	14-16	2351	2390	-39	13-7	1-9	1L
Georgetown	13-17	2231	2213	18	9-8	4-9	7L
Marquette	11-19	2250	2274	-24	9-8	2-11	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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