Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Jan 2025

United Should Prove Too Strong

Adelaide look like the real deal against Melbourne Victory and we’re happy to take the -109 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. We get half our money back if the game ends level.

Victory Overcame United in Last Meeting

Adelaide United have won two on the spin, triumphing 2-1 in their previous game. This was away to Wellington Phoenix at Sky Stadium. Carl Veart's side had 50% possession and six shots on target, while Matthew Sheridan (own goal) and Luka Jovanovic scored one goal each.

Melbourne Victory lost when they were last in action. In a home game at AAMI Park, they were turned over 4-3 by Western United. The Boys in Blue recorded 51% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Brendan Hamill, Bruno Fornaroli and Clarismario Rodrigus on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It has been three successive wins for Melbourne when playing Adelaide. In their last encounter, it was a 1-0 FFA Cup home victory for Melbourne. The past 10 H2H meetings have resulted in five Melbourne wins, four draws and one Adelaide victory.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Melb Victory	3	1	1	1	4	5	-1	4:5	4
10	Adelaide United	3	1	0	2	4	5	-1	4:5	3

View Full Table

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals from 13.5 attempts and 5.9 shots on goal. United have had 52.8% possession and 6.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.2 corners.

Top scorer Archie Goodwin has found the net 5 times, with Zach Clough and Stefan Mauk getting 4 apiece. Zach Clough is the leading assists maker with 5.

Victory have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 5.5 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 1.5 goals. Arthur Diles' team average 52.4% possession, 6.4 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 7.3 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Bruno Fornaroli, Roderick Miranda and Zinedine Machach, with 2 goals apiece. Zinedine Machach has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Adelaide United confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ethan Cox (GK), Dylan Pierias, Bart Vriends, Panagiotis Kikianis, Ryan Kitto, Jay Barnett, Ethan Alagich, Zach Clough, Stefan Mauk, Ben Folami, Archie Goodwin.

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Brendan Hamill, Roderick Miranda, Kasey Bos, Ryan Teague, Jordi Valadon, Clarismario Rodrigus, Zinedine Machach, Daniel Arzani, Bruno Fornaroli.

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips

The best betting angle could be Adelaide -0.25 on the Asian Handicap. Take the -109 for the home team to win this A-League game, with a strong argument in favour of a triumph.

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory league stats:

• The -0.25 line has been covered by Adelaide in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line has been covered by Adelaide in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line has been covered by Adelaide in 2 consecutive games.

United -0.25 Probability

The bookies are estimating that there is a 52.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

In the hunt for tastier odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. There’s an increasing amount of juice according to how far you are prepared to go.

Our Match Prediction

Adelaide Asian Hcp -0.25 @ -109 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Adelaide 2 - 1 Victory

A 2-1 win in favor of Adelaide is available at odds of +750. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Corners Prediction

Adelaide Under 6.5 Corners -125

Adelaide have had under 6.5 corners in three consecutive home games, while the previous 10 Melbourne Victory matches have seen them concede an average of 5.20 corners. We’re going to bet on Adelaide to fall short for Team Corners and this selection is available at -125.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Adelaide

Total

10.20 6.00 4.20

Home

11.50 7.00 4.50

Away

11.30 6.20 5.10

Victory

Total

11.60 6.40 5.20

Home

12.80 5.90 6.90

Away

11.60 5.40 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 11.5

-116

Under 11.5

-122

Adelaide Corners

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-125

Victory Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+600

2

+155

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Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Odds

The bookies betting odds have Adelaide United as +118 favourites for this A-League clash, implying that they are 46% likely to win the match. Melbourne Victory are the +188 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now.

The Draw No Bet market is popular for A-League matches, with the football betting sites offering Adelaide United at -149 and Melbourne Victory are priced at +117 for the win.

Full-Time Result

1

+118

X

+270

2

+188

Half-Time Result

1

+160

X

+148

2

+215

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-385

X2

-159

Draw No Bet

1

-149

2

+117

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-109

2 Hcp +0.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+165

Over 2.5

-233

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-244

No

+165

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Adelaide vs Victory team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the A-League squads.

Adelaide United Team Page Melbourne Victory Team Page