Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Jan 2025
Adelaide look like the real deal against Melbourne Victory and we’re happy to take the -109 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. We get half our money back if the game ends level.
Adelaide United have won two on the spin, triumphing 2-1 in their previous game. This was away to Wellington Phoenix at Sky Stadium. Carl Veart's side had 50% possession and six shots on target, while Matthew Sheridan (own goal) and Luka Jovanovic scored one goal each.
Melbourne Victory lost when they were last in action. In a home game at AAMI Park, they were turned over 4-3 by Western United. The Boys in Blue recorded 51% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Brendan Hamill, Bruno Fornaroli and Clarismario Rodrigus on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It has been three successive wins for Melbourne when playing Adelaide. In their last encounter, it was a 1-0 FFA Cup home victory for Melbourne. The past 10 H2H meetings have resulted in five Melbourne wins, four draws and one Adelaide victory.
| A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Adelaide United |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Melb Victory |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6:12 | 8 |
7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals from 13.5 attempts and 5.9 shots on goal. United have had 52.8% possession and 6.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.2 corners.
Top scorer Archie Goodwin has found the net 5 times, with Zach Clough and Stefan Mauk getting 4 apiece. Zach Clough is the leading assists maker with 5.
Victory have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 5.5 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 1.5 goals. Arthur Diles' team average 52.4% possession, 6.4 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 7.3 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Bruno Fornaroli, Roderick Miranda and Zinedine Machach, with 2 goals apiece. Zinedine Machach has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Adelaide United confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ethan Cox (GK), Dylan Pierias, Bart Vriends, Panagiotis Kikianis, Ryan Kitto, Jay Barnett, Ethan Alagich, Zach Clough, Stefan Mauk, Ben Folami, Archie Goodwin.
Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Brendan Hamill, Roderick Miranda, Kasey Bos, Ryan Teague, Jordi Valadon, Clarismario Rodrigus, Zinedine Machach, Daniel Arzani, Bruno Fornaroli.
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips
The best betting angle could be Adelaide -0.25 on the Asian Handicap. Take the -109 for the home team to win this A-League game, with a strong argument in favour of a triumph.
We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
Key Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory league stats:
The bookies are estimating that there is a 52.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
In the hunt for tastier odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the line. There’s an increasing amount of juice according to how far you are prepared to go.
Correct Score Prediction
A 2-1 win in favor of Adelaide is available at odds of +750. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Corners Prediction
Adelaide have had under 6.5 corners in three consecutive home games, while the previous 10 Melbourne Victory matches have seen them concede an average of 5.20 corners. We’re going to bet on Adelaide to fall short for Team Corners and this selection is available at -125.
Adelaide
Victory
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Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Odds
The bookies betting odds have Adelaide United as +118 favourites for this A-League clash, implying that they are 46% likely to win the match. Melbourne Victory are the +188 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now.
The Draw No Bet market is popular for A-League matches, with the football betting sites offering Adelaide United at -149 and Melbourne Victory are priced at +117 for the win.
- Australia Cup: 21/09 2024 Melbourne Victory 1 Adelaide 0
- A-League: 09/03 2024 Adelaide 1 Melbourne Victory 2
- A-League: 30/12 2023 Melbourne Victory 2 Adelaide 0
- A-League: 04/11 2023 Melbourne Victory 1 Adelaide 1
- A-League: 26/02 2023 Melbourne Victory 1 Adelaide 1
- A-League: 14/01 2023 Adelaide 1 Melbourne Victory 1
- A-League: 11/11 2022 Adelaide 3 Melbourne Victory 0
- A-League: 02/04 2022 Adelaide 0 Melbourne Victory 1
- A-League: 08/01 2022 Melbourne Victory 1 Adelaide 1
- Australia Cup: 05/01 2022 Adelaide 1 Melbourne Victory 2
Adelaide United League Stats
Melbourne Victory League Stats
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Adelaide United this season are Archie Goodwin (5), Luka Jovanovic (4), Stefan Mauk (4)
- Top Assistors for Adelaide United this season are Zach Clough (5), Ben Folami (2), Dylan Pierias (2)
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Lineups & Team News
If you’re looking for Adelaide vs Victory team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.
Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the A-League squads.
Adelaide United Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Adelaide United Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Adelaide United Substitutes
- 1James Delianov
- 8Isaias
- 9Luka Jovanovic
- 12Jonny Yull
- 19Yaya Dukuly
- 42Austin Ayoubi
- 44Ryan White
Melbourne Victory Substitutes
- 1Mitchell Langerak
- 3Adama Traore
- 9Nikolaos Vergos
- 16Joshua Inserra
- 17Nishan Velupillay
- 18Fabian Monge
- 19Jing Reec
Previous Adelaide United Lineups
Previous Melbourne Victory Lineups
Adelaide United Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Carl Veart
Melbourne Victory Player Stats & Squad
A-League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sydney FC | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Auckland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:3 | 15 |
| 4 | Melb City | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 5 | Perth Glory | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 8 | Western Sydney | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Macarthur | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Wellington | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Melb Victory | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:12 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 10 |
| 2 | Auckland | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Western Sydney | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 6 | Wellington | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Central Coast | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 9 | Melb Victory | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 11 | Melb City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 12 | Newcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 3 |
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