Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jan 2026

Copa del Rey Betting Preview: Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano

La Liga teams Alavés and Rayo Vallecano square off in this Copa del Rey round of 16 game at Estadio de Mendizorrotza, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 14 January.

We’ll chance Rayo +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and divide our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they meet Alavés. A win delivers a payout at -154 although a draw would still land a return.

Deportivo Alavés were beaten last game and this was on the road at Estadio de la Ceramica. Villarreal claimed a 3-1 La Liga victory. The Vitoria-Gasteiz outfit had five shots on target and boasted 56% possession, while Antonio Martinez scored the goal.

Rayo Vallecano claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-1 La Liga victory occurred against Mallorca at Estadio de Vallecas. Los Franjirrojos were 53% in the possession stakes and recorded five shots on goal, with Jorge de Frutos and Isi Palazon on the scoresheet.

In their previous Copa del Rey matches, Alavés won 1-0 at home to Sevilla, while Rayo triumphed 3-1 away to Granada.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Rayo have won three on the bounce against Alavés. In the last encounter, Rayo claimed a 1-0 La Liga victory when hosting at Estadio de Vallecas. The previous 8 games involving these sides have featured six Rayo wins and two Alavés triumphs.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Rayo Vallecano	25	6	9	10	23	32	-9	23:32	27
16	Alavés	26	7	6	13	23	34	-11	23:34	27

View Full Table

Confirmed Lineups

Alavés confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Raul Fernandez (GK), Nahuel Tenaglia, Carlos Protesoni, Jon Pacheco, Youssef Enriquez, Calebe, Denis Suarez, Ander Guevara, Abderrahman Rebbach, Aitor Manas, Antonio Martinez.

Rayo Vallecano confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Dani Cardenas (GK), Ivan Balliu, Florian Lejeune, Nobel Mendy, Alfonso Espino, Oscar Valentin, Gerard Gumbau, Fran Perez, Oscar Trejo, Sergio Camello, Randy Nteka.

Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips

Get set for Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re siding with Rayo at -154 in this Copa del Rey match with a +0.25 goal advantage. It’s expected that they will have an edge and we can therefore feel bullish of a return with this wager.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Copa del Rey stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Copa del Rey & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Alavés in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Alavés in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Alavés in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Alavés in 3 consecutive games against Rayo.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 60.6% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.

Make your bet go further. Browse our updated guide packed with the best free bets, sign-up offers and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Rayo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -154 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 12, 21:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Alavés 0 - 1 Rayo

Rayo are available to back at +550 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jorge de Frutos Over 0.5 Shots On Target -115

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo) has racked up one or more shots on goal in his past two games. We recommend backing the -115 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Target wager hopefully providing a return.

Latest Jorge de Frutos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Shots

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

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Sergio Camello To Score +430

Sergio Camello (Rayo) is available at +430 to score. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Sergio Camello Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+440

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Shots

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Deportivo Alavés are the +128 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 44% chance of winning this Copa del Rey encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Rayo Vallecano are trading at +245.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Alavés at -185 or instead go for Rayo at +128.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -149.

The best football betting sites cover Copa del Rey games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+128

X

+210

2

+245

Half-Time Result

1

+195

X

+102

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-303

X2

-179

Draw No Bet

1

-185

2

+128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-116

2 Hcp +0.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-213

Over 2.5

+145

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+105

No

-149

Lucas Boyé is available at +275 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +550 to find the net first.

Lucas Boyé (Alavés)

First

+275

Anytime

+550

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

First

+285

Anytime

+550

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

First

+285

Anytime

+575

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+350

Anytime

+650

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

First

+360

Anytime

+650

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

First

+380

Anytime

+650

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

First

+440

Anytime

+800

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+450

Anytime

+850

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

First

+475

Anytime

+900

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

First

+475

Anytime

+950

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

First

+500

Anytime

+950

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

First

+510

Anytime

+1000

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

First

+550

Anytime

+950

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

First

+575

Anytime

+1100

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

First

+575

Anytime

+1000

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Denis Suárez (Alavés)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Nobel Mendy (Rayo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Ander Guevara (Alavés)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2000

Andrei Ratiu (Rayo)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Unai López (Rayo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2000

Jozhua Vertrouwd (Rayo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Pep Chavarría (Rayo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Antonio Blanco (Alavés)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Nahuel Tenaglia (Alavés)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Jon Pacheco (Alavés)

First

+1300

Anytime

+2200

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-125

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-125

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-189

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-189

Álvaro García (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-227

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-270

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-286

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-370

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Denis Suárez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-556

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-556

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Andrei Ratiu (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Nobel Mendy (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1000

Unai López (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-1667

Pep Chavarría (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-1667

Antonio Blanco (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+430

Under 0.5

-2000

Ander Guevara (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+440

Under 0.5

-2500

Nahuel Tenaglia (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+460

Under 0.5

-2500

Jon Pacheco (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+500

Under 0.5

-3333

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Álvaro García (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Denis Suárez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Nobel Mendy (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Andrei Ratiu (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Unai López (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Pep Chavarría (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa del Rey and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Alavés Stats

Rayo Vallecano Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 3.88 corners awarded and 5.63 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 5.22 corners awarded and 4.89 corners against in the last 9 home matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 10.11 corners awarded in the last 9 home matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 9 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.63 corners awarded and 4.88 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 4.71 corners awarded and 6.29 corners against in the last 7 away matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 7 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 7 away matches

Possession

• An average of 48.13% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 50.33% possession in the last 9 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 9 home matches

Possession

• An average of 56.25% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 51.86% possession in the last 7 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 7 away matches

Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News

Check the Alavés vs Rayo team news before you place your bets. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Copa del Rey along with up-to-date injury news.

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