Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jan 2026

Copa del Rey Betting Preview: Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano

La Liga teams Alavés and Rayo Vallecano square off, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 14 January.

We’ll chance Rayo +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and divide our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they meet Alavés. A win delivers a payout at -154 although a draw would still land a return.

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Deportivo Alavés were beaten last game and this was on the road at Estadio de la Ceramica. Villarreal claimed a 3-1 La Liga victory. The Vitoria-Gasteiz outfit had five shots on target and boasted 56% possession, while Antonio Martinez scored the goal.

Rayo Vallecano claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-1 La Liga victory occurred against Mallorca at Estadio de Vallecas. Los Franjirrojos were 53% in the possession stakes and recorded five shots on goal, with Jorge de Frutos and Isi Palazon on the scoresheet.

In their previous Copa del Rey matches, Alavés won 1-0 at home to Sevilla, while Rayo triumphed 3-1 away to Granada.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Rayo have won three on the bounce against Alavés. In the last encounter, Rayo claimed a 1-0 La Liga victory when hosting at Estadio de Vallecas. The previous 8 games involving these sides have featured six Rayo wins and two Alavés triumphs.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Rayo Vallecano	19	5	7	7	16	22	-6	16:22	22
16	Alavés	19	5	4	10	16	24	-8	16:24	19

View Full Table

Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips

Get set for Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re siding with Rayo at -154 in this Copa del Rey match with a +0.25 goal advantage. It’s expected that they will have an edge and we can therefore feel bullish of a return with this wager.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Copa del Rey stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Copa del Rey & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Alavés in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Alavés in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Alavés in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Alavés in 3 consecutive games against Rayo.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 60.6% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.

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Our Match Prediction

Rayo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -154 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Alavés 0 - 1 Rayo

Rayo are available to back at +480 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jorge de Frutos to Score +320

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo) has registered two goals in his past five games on the road. We’re content to land the +320 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Jorge de Frutos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+575

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Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Deportivo Alavés are currently available at +160 with the bookmakers to defeat Rayo Vallecano, with the latter priced at odds of +200. If you’re siding with the draw in this Copa del Rey clash, then it can be backed at +200.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Alavés at -141 or instead go for Rayo at -102.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -152.

The best football betting sites cover Copa del Rey games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+160

X

+200

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+225

X

-102

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-294

X2

-227

Draw No Bet

1

-141

2

-102

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+107

2 Hcp +0.25

-154

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-227

Over 2.5

+155

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+107

No

-152

Lucas Boyé is available at +275 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +550 to find the net first.

Lucas Boyé (Alavés)

First

+275

Anytime

+550

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+320

Anytime

+575

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+410

Anytime

+800

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

First

+420

Anytime

+750

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

First

+420

Anytime

+750

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

First

+440

Anytime

+850

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

First

+450

Anytime

+850

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

First

+525

Anytime

+1000

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1000

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

First

+575

Anytime

+1000

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

First

+650

Anytime

+1100

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

First

+700

Anytime

+1200

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1200

Denis Suárez (Alavés)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Nobel Mendy (Rayo)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Andrei Ratiu (Rayo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Unai López (Rayo)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2000

Pep Chavarría (Rayo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Jozhua Vertrouwd (Rayo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Latest Copa del Rey and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Alavés Stats

Rayo Vallecano Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 3.88 corners awarded and 5.63 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 5.22 corners awarded and 4.89 corners against in the last 9 home matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 10.11 corners awarded in the last 9 home matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 9 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.63 corners awarded and 4.88 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 4.71 corners awarded and 6.29 corners against in the last 7 away matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 7 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 7 away matches

Possession

• An average of 48.13% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 50.33% possession in the last 9 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 9 home matches

Possession

• An average of 56.25% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 51.86% possession in the last 7 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 7 away matches

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Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News

Check the Alavés vs Rayo team news before you place your bets. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Copa del Rey along with up-to-date injury news.

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