Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Mar 2026
Copa del Rey Betting Preview: Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid
La Liga heavyweights Barcelona and Atlético Madrid clash in the second leg of this Copa del Rey semi-final at Camp Nou, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 3 March.
Barcelona -1 on the Asian Handicap means we need a two-goal or greater margin of victory to land this bet at -132 against Atlético Madrid. A one-goal win for the Blaugranes would see the stake returned. However, Atléti can afford to lose by up to three goals on the night and still advance to the final, which should work in favour of our pick.
La Liga leaders Barcelona were victorious last time out, securing a 4–1 home win over Villarreal at Camp Nou. The Catalan club enjoyed a whopping 74% of possession and had eight shots on target, with Lamine Yamal firing a hat-trick and Robert Lewandowski also among the goals.
Atlético Madrid, currently third in the La Liga standings, won their previous game 1–0. This was an away victory at Estadio Carlos Tartiere against Real Oviedo. Los Colchoneros enjoyed 62% possession and recorded one shot on goal, with a late winner coming from Julian Alvarez.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Atléti cruised to a 4–0 home win over Barça at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in the first leg. Barca dominated possession with 65% of the ball, but Atléti edged the shots on target 6–4. Antoine Griezmann, Ademola Lookman and Julián Álvarez were on the scoresheet, along with an Eric García own goal. García was later sent off in the 85th minute.
The 10 past H2H meetings have involved seven Barca victories, one draw and two Atléti wins.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona |
31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 84:30 | 79 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid |
31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 51:32 | 57 |
6 wins and 3 losses, averaging 2.2 goals from 21.6 attempts and 6.9 shots on goal. Barca have had 70.8% possession and 8.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.2 goals from 9.1 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal, while earning 3.6 corners.
Lamine Yamal is the top scorer with 7 goals, while Robert Lewandowski, Marc Bernal and Marcus Rashford each have 2. Dani Olmo is the leading assists maker with 4, while goalie Joan Garcia has 3 clean sheets.
Atléti have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 1, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 13.6 attempts and 2.0 goals. Diego Simeone's side average 56.6% possession, 522.2 passes, 6.2 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 9.8 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.
Alexander Soerloth has landed 4 goals, Ademola Lookman 3, with Julian Alvarez and two others scoring 2. Matteo Ruggeri has been chief assist maker with 3, while Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have recorded 3 clean sheets between them in the last 9 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Barcelona confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Joan Garcia (GK), Jules Kounde, Pau Cubarsi, Gerard Martin, Joao Cancelo, Marc Bernal, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Fermin Lopez, Raphinha, Ferran Torres.
Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Juan Musso (GK), Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Johnny Cardoso, Koke, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.
Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
This Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.
Match Prediction
Barcelona can be taken at -1 on the Asian Handicap. There are odds of -132 for the favourites and we think they have the capability of winning this Copa del Rey clash by a two goal margin or bigger.
Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Copa del Rey form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.
Key Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Copa del Rey & league stats:
According to the odds, there’s a 56.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
If you’re searching for a larger price, then there’s the opportunity to move the line. Select from a host of choices and get paid out if your selection lands.
Make your bet count—our comprehensive bonus guide highlights the latest free bets and betting promo codes worth grabbing.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve picked out a correct score of 3-1 being landed by the Blaugranes. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
Player Prop Picks
Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) has tallied at least one shot in five of his past eight games away from home. The numbers imply that he can succeed with our Overs bet and we’re delighted to take the -159 available.
Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) has racked up five goals in his past five home games. It’s worth a gamble on the +115 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Try out our bet builder picks which include Barcelona on the Asian Handicap at -1, three or more goals in total and also Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) to be on the scoresheet.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Barcelona have been chalked up as the convincing -263 favourites for this Copa del Rey encounter. This means that the bookmakers afford them a 72% probability of winning. If you want to wager on the underdog, Atlético Madrid have been priced up at +510.
It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +220. Alternatively, Barca can be backed at -135 and Atléti are on offer at +410.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -294 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Copa del Rey game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.
Favourite Ferran Torres is now available at +310 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
- La Liga: 04/04 2026 Atlético Madrid 1 Barcelona 2
- La Liga: 02/12 2025 Barcelona 3 Atlético Madrid 1
- La Liga: 16/03 2025 Atlético Madrid 2 Barcelona 4
- La Liga: 21/12 2024 Barcelona 1 Atlético Madrid 2
- La Liga: 17/03 2024 Atlético Madrid 0 Barcelona 3
- La Liga: 03/12 2023 Barcelona 1 Atlético Madrid 0
- La Liga: 23/04 2023 Barcelona 1 Atlético Madrid 0
- La Liga: 08/01 2023 Atlético Madrid 0 Barcelona 1
- La Liga: 06/02 2022 Barcelona 4 Atlético Madrid 2
- La Liga: 02/10 2021 Atlético Madrid 2 Barcelona 0
Latest Copa del Rey and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Barcelona Stats
Atlético Madrid Stats
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 10 wins have been recorded in the previous 10 home matches.
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 66.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 70.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Barca vs Atléti team news before wagering. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Copa del Rey lineups and injury news right here.
Barcelona Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Barcelona Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Barcelona Substitutes
- 3Alejandro Balde
- 4Ronald Araujo
- 14Marcus Rashford
- 17Marc Casado
- 19Roony Bardghji
- 20Dani Olmo
- 25Wojciech Szczesny
- 31Diego Kochen
- 43Tommy Marques
Atlético Madrid Substitutes
- 2Jose Gimenez
- 4Rodrigo Mendoza
- 9Alexander Soerloth
- 10Alejandro Baena
- 11Thiago Almada
- 13Jan Oblak
- 15Clement Lenglet
- 16Nahuel Molina
- 21Obed Vargas
- 23Nico Gonzalez
- 24Robin Le Normand
Previous Barcelona Lineups
Previous Atlético Madrid Lineups
Barcelona Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Hans-Dieter Flick
Atlético Madrid Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 84:30 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 65:29 | 70 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 56:36 | 61 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 51:32 | 57 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 45:38 | 46 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 44:40 | 44 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 49:48 | 42 |
| 8 | Getafe | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 27:32 | 41 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:38 | 39 |
| 10 | Espanyol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 37:48 | 38 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 33:45 | 38 |
| 12 | Girona | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 33:45 | 38 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 29:38 | 35 |
| 14 | Valencia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:46 | 35 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39:48 | 34 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39:51 | 34 |
| 17 | Alavés | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 35:46 | 33 |
| 18 | Elche | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 39:47 | 32 |
| 19 | Levante | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 35:50 | 29 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24:48 | 27 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 51:9 | 48 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37:13 | 40 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 35:14 | 40 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 37 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 6 | Elche | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:16 | 28 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 28 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 26 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:19 | 26 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 12 | Valencia | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 23 |
| 13 | Girona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 22 |
| 14 | Getafe | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:11 | 21 |
| 15 | Alavés | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:18 | 21 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:21 | 21 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 19 |
| 18 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23:24 | 17 |
| 19 | Levante | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7:14 | 17 |
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