Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Mar 2026

Copa del Rey Betting Preview: Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid

La Liga heavyweights Barcelona and Atlético Madrid clash in the second leg of this Copa del Rey semi-final at Camp Nou, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 3 March.

Barcelona -1 on the Asian Handicap means we need a two-goal or greater margin of victory to land this bet at -132 against Atlético Madrid. A one-goal win for the Blaugranes would see the stake returned. However, Atléti can afford to lose by up to three goals on the night and still advance to the final, which should work in favour of our pick.

La Liga leaders Barcelona were victorious last time out, securing a 4–1 home win over Villarreal at Camp Nou. The Catalan club enjoyed a whopping 74% of possession and had eight shots on target, with Lamine Yamal firing a hat-trick and Robert Lewandowski also among the goals.

Atlético Madrid, currently third in the La Liga standings, won their previous game 1–0. This was an away victory at Estadio Carlos Tartiere against Real Oviedo. Los Colchoneros enjoyed 62% possession and recorded one shot on goal, with a late winner coming from Julian Alvarez.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti cruised to a 4–0 home win over Barça at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in the first leg. Barca dominated possession with 65% of the ball, but Atléti edged the shots on target 6–4. Antoine Griezmann, Ademola Lookman and Julián Álvarez were on the scoresheet, along with an Eric García own goal. García was later sent off in the 85th minute.

The 10 past H2H meetings have involved seven Barca victories, one draw and two Atléti wins.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Barcelona	31	26	1	4	84	30	54	84:30	79
4	Atlético Madrid	31	17	6	8	51	32	19	51:32	57

View Full Table

6 wins and 3 losses, averaging 2.2 goals from 21.6 attempts and 6.9 shots on goal. Barca have had 70.8% possession and 8.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.2 goals from 9.1 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal, while earning 3.6 corners.

Lamine Yamal is the top scorer with 7 goals, while Robert Lewandowski, Marc Bernal and Marcus Rashford each have 2. Dani Olmo is the leading assists maker with 4, while goalie Joan Garcia has 3 clean sheets.

Atléti have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 1, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 13.6 attempts and 2.0 goals. Diego Simeone's side average 56.6% possession, 522.2 passes, 6.2 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 9.8 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Alexander Soerloth has landed 4 goals, Ademola Lookman 3, with Julian Alvarez and two others scoring 2. Matteo Ruggeri has been chief assist maker with 3, while Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have recorded 3 clean sheets between them in the last 9 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Barcelona confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Joan Garcia (GK), Jules Kounde, Pau Cubarsi, Gerard Martin, Joao Cancelo, Marc Bernal, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Fermin Lopez, Raphinha, Ferran Torres.

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Juan Musso (GK), Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Johnny Cardoso, Koke, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

This Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

Barcelona can be taken at -1 on the Asian Handicap. There are odds of -132 for the favourites and we think they have the capability of winning this Copa del Rey clash by a two goal margin or bigger.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Copa del Rey form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Copa del Rey & league stats:

• The -1 line has been covered by Barca in 9 consecutive games at home.
• The -1 line has been covered by Barca in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 7 of their last 10 games against Barca.

According to the odds, there’s a 56.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you’re searching for a larger price, then there’s the opportunity to move the line. Select from a host of choices and get paid out if your selection lands.

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Our Match Prediction

Barcelona Asian Hcp -1 @ -132 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 1, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Barcelona 3 - 1 Atléti

We’ve picked out a correct score of 3-1 being landed by the Blaugranes. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Giuliano Simeone Over 0.5 Shots -159

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) has tallied at least one shot in five of his past eight games away from home. The numbers imply that he can succeed with our Overs bet and we’re delighted to take the -159 available.

Latest Giuliano Simeone Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1600

Shots

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

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Lamine Yamal to Score +115

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) has racked up five goals in his past five home games. It’s worth a gamble on the +115 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Lamine Yamal Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-105

First

+380

Shots

Over 5.5

+125

Under 5.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Barcelona have been chalked up as the convincing -263 favourites for this Copa del Rey encounter. This means that the bookmakers afford them a 72% probability of winning. If you want to wager on the underdog, Atlético Madrid have been priced up at +510.

It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +220. Alternatively, Barca can be backed at -135 and Atléti are on offer at +410.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -294 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Copa del Rey game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-263

X

+500

2

+510

Half-Time Result

1

-135

X

+220

2

+410

Double Chance

1X

-909

12

-909

X2

+170

Draw No Bet

1

-588

2

+335

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-105

2 Hcp +1.5

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+295

Over 2.5

-500

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-294

No

+190

Favourite Ferran Torres is now available at +310 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

First

-118

Anytime

+310

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

First

-105

Anytime

+380

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona)

First

+110

Anytime

+400

Raphinha (Barcelona)

First

+110

Anytime

+400

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+170

Anytime

+650

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona)

First

+180

Anytime

+650

Fermín López (Barcelona)

First

+190

Anytime

+600

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+190

Anytime

+650

Dani Olmo (Barcelona)

First

+200

Anytime

+700

Roony Bardghji (Barcelona)

First

+205

Anytime

+700

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+240

Anytime

+950

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+270

Anytime

+1000

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+380

Anytime

+1400

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+480

Anytime

+1600

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+500

Anytime

+1600

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+500

Anytime

+1600

Marc Bernal (Barcelona)

First

+500

Anytime

+1800

Pedri (Barcelona)

First

+525

Anytime

+1800

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+525

Anytime

+2000

Jules Koundé (Barcelona)

First

+600

Anytime

+2200

Eric García (Barcelona)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Alejandro Balde (Barcelona)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Pau Cubarsí (Barcelona)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Ronald Araujo (Barcelona)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

João Cancelo (Barcelona)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Gerard Martín (Barcelona)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Marc Casadó (Barcelona)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

Over 5.5

+125

Under 5.5

-

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

Over 4.5

+123

Under 4.5

-

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona)

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-

Raphinha (Barcelona)

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-

Dani Olmo (Barcelona)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Fermín López (Barcelona)

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-

Roony Bardghji (Barcelona)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Eric García (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Gerard Martín (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

João Cancelo (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Ronald Araujo (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Pau Cubarsí (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Balde (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Jules Koundé (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Pedri (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Marc Bernal (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Marc Casadó (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa del Rey and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Barcelona Stats

Atlético Madrid Stats

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 10 wins have been recorded in the previous 10 home matches.

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 4.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.20 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 66.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 70.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 51.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 51.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Barca vs Atléti team news before wagering. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Copa del Rey lineups and injury news right here.

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