Alianza Lima vs Melgar Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 09 Mar 2026
Liga 1 Betting Preview: Alianza Lima vs Melgar
Alianza Lima take on Melgar, with kick-off set for 21:30 on Monday 9 March.
We can back Alianza Lima at -167 to get the better of Melgar and this looks like a standout price. The Full-Time Result market gives us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.
Alianza Lima won their previous league game 1-0. This away victory against UTC Cajamarca made it two Liga 1 wins on the spin.
Melgar have been defeated in back-to-back Liga 1 games. The latest was a 2-1 loss against Los Chankas.
Four days ago, Melgar suffered a penalty shootout defeat (1-1 AET) in the Copa Sudamericana qualifier away to Club Cienciano.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Alianza are unbeaten in the past three games against Melgar, with the last clash ending in a 2-2 draw. The past 10 H2H games have featured four triumphs for Melgar, three for Alianza and three draws.
| Liga 1 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Alianza Lima |
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6:2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Melgar |
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10:6 | 9 |
Alianza Lima vs Melgar Prediction & Betting Tips
Discover our expert Alianza Lima vs Melgar betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, correct score suggestion, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.
Match Prediction
We’ll back Alianza Lima with a fair degree of confidence for this Liga 1 clash. This looks a value pick at -167 which means we can secure a healthy return if they’re able to win.
The football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant Liga 1 stats to get the full picture.
Key Alianza Lima vs Melgar league stats:
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 62.5% chance of landing a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 70% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
As an alternative, you could consider the Asian Handicap where you can back Alianza to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.
Start betting with confidence. Our bonus guide highlights the most valuable free bets and sign-up offers today.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Melgar
A potentially entertaining bet is going for Alianza to win by a 2-0 scoreline. At odds of +480, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.
Player Prop Picks
Paolo Guerrero (Alianza) is available to score at +170. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a same-game multi and the legs include Alianza to triumph, Under 2.5 together with Paolo Guerrero (Alianza) to be on the scoresheet.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Alianza Lima vs Melgar Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Alianza Lima odds are -167 which leads to them being favourites in this Liga 1 clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 63% prospect of securing a victory. At +450, Melgar are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
Taking Alianza -0.75 against Melgar means a full Asian Handicap payout at -137 if they win by 2+ goals. The second prize is a half-stake payout and half-stake refund if they win by one.
For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. The Both Teams to Score market is intriguing, with the Yes and No options evenly-matched.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Liga 1 game. The best football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Luis Ramos is priced at +360 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +160 to find the net anytime.
- Liga 1: 01/11 2025 Alianza 2 Melgar 2
- Liga 1: 29/06 2025 Melgar 0 Alianza 1
- Liga 1: 29/09 2024 Alianza 1 Melgar 1
- Liga 1: 29/04 2024 Melgar 1 Alianza 0
- Liga 1: 29/09 2023 Alianza 0 Melgar 0
- Liga 1: 20/05 2023 Melgar 2 Alianza 1
- Liga 1: 13/11 2022 Alianza 2 Melgar 0
- Liga 1: 09/11 2022 Melgar 1 Alianza 0
- Liga 1: 22/09 2022 Alianza 2 Melgar 0
- Liga 1: 12/03 2022 Melgar 1 Alianza 0
Alianza Lima League Stats
Melgar League Stats
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 3 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Alianza Lima this season are Renzo Garces (3), Jose Paolo Guerrero (2), Alan Cantero (1)
- Top Assistors for Alianza Lima this season are Eryc Castillo (1), Jairo Velez (1)
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Alianza Lima vs Melgar Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Alianza vs Melgar team news before betting. Expect the confirmed Liga 1 lineups and all current injury developments from us.
Previous Alianza Lima Lineups
Previous Melgar Lineups
Alianza Lima Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Pablo Guede
Melgar Player Stats & Squad
Liga 1 Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Universitario | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Los Chankas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Melgar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Cusco | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Comerciantes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 11 | CD Moquegua | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atlético | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 16 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 17 | ADT | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 18 | Atlético Grau | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:8 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Cusco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Comerciantes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Melgar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Los Chankas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 7 | UTC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | CD Moquegua | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 11 | Alianza Atlético | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 5 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 4 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 14 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 15 | ADT | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 16 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 | Atlético Grau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
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