Atlético Grau vs Melgar Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Liga 1 Betting Preview: Atlético Grau vs Melgar

Atlético Grau host Melgar in this Peruvian Liga 1 fixture, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

A Low-Scoring Encounter Could Be On the Cards

After careful consideration, the betting odds of -114 for Under 2.5 Goals looks to be the best bet. Neither Atlético Grau or Melgar can set the stage alight and this Total Goals wager looks to be a sound one.

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1-1 Draw in Last H2H Battle

Atlético Grau have enjoyed three consecutive home victories. Their most recent game was a 2-1 away defeat to Alianza Lima.

Melgar secured a home victory in their previous game. A 2-0 win occurred against Club Cienciano.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Melgar are unbeaten in the past four games against Grau, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw. The past 8 H2H matches have included four Melgar victories, two draws and two Grau wins.

Liga 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Melgar	12	4	5	3	18	13	5	18:13	17
11	Atlético Grau	11	4	2	5	16	15	1	16:15	14

View Full Table

Atlético Grau vs Melgar Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Atlético Grau vs Melgar betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

A low goal count could be on the cards for this Liga 1 encounter. On this basis, we’ll land the -114 for Under 2.5, with the two sides unlikely to reach a combined three goals or more between them.

We’re constantly keeping tabs on the Liga 1 team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.

Key Atlético Grau vs Melgar league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Grau games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Grau games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Melgar games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Melgar games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Melgar games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 53.2% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There’s the chance to back Under 2.5 Goals and BTTS No if you want to get more bang for your buck, with bettors able to take this selection through the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Grau 1 - 1 Melgar

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +430 and it involves the game ending in a 1-1 scoreline. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Neri Bandiera To Score +275

Neri Bandiera (Grau) can be wagered at +275 to score. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Neri Bandiera Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+275

First

+650

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Atlético Grau vs Melgar Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Close Encounter in the Eyes of the Bookies

You can secure betting odds of +140 when it comes to Atlético Grau claiming a Liga 1 win and the bookmakers have Melgar on offer at +175. For those wishing to back the draw, it’s available at +240.

There are different betting angles when backing Grau including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at +104 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with Melgar.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -147.

When it comes to every Liga 1 game, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the top football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+140

X

+240

2

+175

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+125

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-370

X2

-204

Draw No Bet

1

-139

2

-105

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+104

2 Hcp +0.25

-143

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-114

Over 2.5

-116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-147

No

+104

Johnny Vidales Heads First Goalscorer Market

The First Goalscorer favourite is Johnny Vidales at +430, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Johnny Vidales (Melgar)

First

+190

Anytime

+430

Raúl Ruidíaz (Grau)

First

+210

Anytime

+480

Neri Bandiera (Grau)

First

+275

Anytime

+650

Christopher Olivares (Grau)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

José Ryu Yabiku Sánchez (Melgar)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Cristian Bordacahar (Melgar)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Percy Liza (Melgar)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Edu Lama (Grau)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Gregorio Rodríguez (Melgar)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Mariano Barreda (Melgar)

First

+325

Anytime

+750

Yamir Ruidíaz (Grau)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Paulo De La Cruz (Grau)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Tomas Martinez (Melgar)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Diego Soto (Grau)

First

+460

Anytime

+1050

Jhamir D'Arrigo (Melgar)

First

+475

Anytime

+1050

Gian García (Melgar)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Benjamín García (Grau)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Alexis Arias (Melgar)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Adriel Trelles (Grau)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Cesar Adriano Doy (Melgar)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Andersson Pumacajia (Melgar)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Pier Barrios (Melgar)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Nelson Cabanillas (Melgar)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Horacio Orzán (Melgar)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Walter Tandazo (Melgar)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

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Atlético Grau vs Melgar Lineups & Team News

The latest Grau vs Melgar team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll share the confirmed lineups for Liga 1 plus the newest injury information.

Atlético Grau Team Page Melgar Team Page