Auckland vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 May 2025

Over 2.5 Has to Be The Way Forward

Auckland and Melbourne Victory battle it out in the second leg of this A-League semi-final tie at Go Media Stadium, with Auckland winning the first leg 1-0.

The Total Goals market is where we’ve found some value, especially as you can back Over 2.5 at odds of -125. Three goals or more look likely in this second leg encounter between Auckland and Victory, with the odds standing out.

1-0 Black Knights Win in First Leg

Auckland beat Melbourne Victory 1-0 away in the first leg, with Logan Rogerson scoring a 64th minute winner. Victory dominated possession with 60% of the ball, while Auckland won the shots on target 2-0 at AAMI Park.

In the past three H2H meetings, there has been two Auckland victories and one draw.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Melb Victory	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0:0	1
9	Auckland	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0:0	1

View Full Table

4 wins, 1 loss and 5 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. Auckland have had 46.8% possession and 4.1 corners per game. On average, Steve Corica's team have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.9 corners.

Top scorer Guillermo May has found the net 4 times, Logan Rogerson 3, with Jesse Randall and Hiroki Sakai both scoring 2. Francis De Vries is the top assists maker with 4.

Victory have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 5.9 shots on goal, 11.7 attempts and 1.9 goals. The Boys in Blue average 56.2% possession, 6.6 corners taken and 4.1 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 10.1 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Kasey Bos and Nishan Velupillay have 4 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Zinedine Machach on 3. Nishan Velupillay has been the top assist maker with 4 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Auckland confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Alex Paulsen (GK), Hiroki Sakai, Daniel Hall, Nando Pijnaker, Francis De Vries, Logan Rogerson, Louis Verstraete, Luis Gallegos, Marlee Francois, Guillermo May, Jesse Randall.

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Jack Duncan (GK), Joshua Rawlins, Roderick Miranda, Lachlan Jackson, Nishan Velupillay, Ryan Teague, Jordi Valadon, Clarismario Rodrigus, Zinedine Machach, Bruno Fornaroli, Daniel Arzani.

Auckland vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips

The two A-League teams can yield at least three goals between them. On this basis, we’re playing Over 2.5 Goals at -125 which will give us a nice potential return if this outcome happens.

We use the injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football predictions. You will also see that we take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Auckland vs Melbourne Victory league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Auckland games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Auckland games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Victory games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Victory games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Victory games.

Over 2.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 55.6% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re searching for a larger price when it comes to your Total Goals wager, then Over 3.5 is a viable selection. It’s a wager that provides an alternative, with four or more goals needed in total.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Auckland 2 - 1 Victory

Auckland are available at +700 to secure a 2-1 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Corners Prediction

Auckland Under 5.5 Corners -138

Auckland have had under 5.5 corners in 9 of the past 10 matches, while Melbourne Victory have conceded less than 5.5 corners in five straight away games. We’re going to bet on Auckland to fall short for Team Corners and this selection is available at -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Auckland

Total

9.00 4.10 4.90

Home

10.90 5.90 5.00

Away

9.80 3.80 6.00

Victory

Total

10.70 6.60 4.10

Home

10.80 5.80 5.00

Away

11.30 6.40 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-135

Under 10.5

-104

Auckland Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Victory Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-108

X

+575

2

+102

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Auckland vs Melbourne Victory Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Black Knights Trading at Shorter Odds Than Victory

Auckland are available at -102 to come away with a triumph in this A-League clash, meaning a 51% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +240 for Melbourne Victory.

Auckland can be backed at -102 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 if you think they’ll win. Alternatively, opponents Melbourne +0.5 are -128 and that means you get a return if they triumph or the draw happens.

If you’re anticipating a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -167.

The recommended betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every A-League game before making a decision.

Full-Time Result

1

-102

X

+265

2

+240

Half-Time Result

1

+148

X

+133

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-385

X2

-132

Draw No Bet

1

-204

2

+143

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-102

2 Hcp +0.5

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+107

Over 2.5

-147

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+117

Jonty Bidois Favourite to Find the Net First

Jonty Bidois is the market leader at +480 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Jonty Bidois (Auckland)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

Logan Rogerson (Auckland)

First

+195

Anytime

+480

Guillermo May (Auckland)

First

+205

Anytime

+480

Neyder Moreno (Auckland)

First

+205

Anytime

+525

Bruno Fornaroli (Victory)

First

+230

Anytime

+540

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Max Mata (Auckland)

First

+245

Anytime

+600

Liam Gillion (Auckland)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Jesse Randall (Auckland)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Jake Brimmer (Auckland)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Jing Reec (Victory)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Daniel Arzani (Victory)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Zinedine Machach (Victory)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Cameron Howieson (Auckland)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Luis Toomey (Auckland)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Luis Felipe Gallegos (Auckland)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Alexander Badolato (Victory)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Oliver Middleton (Auckland)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Finn McKenlay (Auckland)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Louis Verstraete (Auckland)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Luka Kolic (Victory)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Nando Pijnaker (Auckland)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Fabian Monge (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Alexander Menelaou (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Ryan Teague (Victory)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Scott Galloway (Auckland)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Daniel Hall (Auckland)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Auckland vs Melbourne Victory Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Auckland vs Victory team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the A-League squads.

Auckland Team Page Melbourne Victory Team Page