Benfica vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Mar 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Benfica vs Vitória
Benfica square off against Vitória at Estadio da Luz, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Saturday 21 March.
We’re approaching this -1.5 Asian Handicap bet with confidence and we need Benfica to win by two clear goals to land a return. Odds of -130 are appealing when they go up against Vitória.
Benfica won last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. It was on their travels against Arouca at Municipal de Arouca. Jose Mourinho's side had five shots on target and enjoyed 61% possession, with Richard Rios and Franjo Ivanovic each scoring one goal.
Vitória de Guimarães have lost four straight road games. Most recently, they lost 2-1 at home to Famalicão at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. The Guimarães outfit managed six shots on goal and had 44% possession, with Samu finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Benfica have landed three straight victories over Vitória. In their last encounter, visitors Benfica secured a 3-0 win at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. The 10 most recent H2H games have included eight Benfica victories along with two draws.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Benfica |
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 55:17 | 62 |
| 9 | Vitória |
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 29:39 | 32 |
8 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 19.4 attempts. Benfica have had 60.3% possession, 472.9 passes and 8.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.7 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts, while being awarded 2.0 corners.
Top scorer Vangelis Pavlidis has found the net 6 times, Andreas Schjelderup 3, with Leandro Barreiro and Anisio Cabral both scoring 2. Sidny Lopes Cabral is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin keeping 4 clean sheets.
Vitória have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 4.7 shots on goal, 12.5 attempts and 1.3 goals. Gil Lameiras' men average 51.0% possession, 401.5 passes, 3.9 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 10.0 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.
Samu has landed 4 goals, Noah Saviolo 2, with Gustavo Silva and two others scoring 1. Noah Saviolo has clocked up 3 assists, with Charles keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Benfica predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatolii Trubin (GK), Alexander Bah, Tomas Araújo, Franjo Ivanovic, Samuel Dahl, Leandro Barreiro, Richard Rios, Dodi Lukebakio, Rafa Silva, Andreas Schjelderup, Vangelis Pavlidis.
Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Charles Marcelo (GK), Tony Strata, Thiago Balieiro, Rodrigo Abascal, João Mendes, Beni Mukendi, Diogo Sousa, Gustavo Silva, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Nélson Oliveira.
Benfica vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips
Get set for Benfica vs Vitória with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’re expecting Benfica achieve a comfortable victory in this Primeira Liga game and they look an attractive bet at odds of -130. Back the favourites at -1.5 to have the upper hand here.
Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the Primeira Liga experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.
Key Benfica vs Vitória league stats:
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 56.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
There are larger odds available for bettors who want to move the line. If you have a strong view on a team performing well, then you can get more juice from your bet.
Ready to boost your bet? Explore a huge selection of welcome bonuses in our regularly updated betting offers guide.
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s take a chance on the +440 available that Benfica secure a 2-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Player Prop Picks
Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica) has been on the scoresheet in six of his past ten Primeira Liga games on home soil. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the -152 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There has been five straight Vitória away matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while it has been an average of 8.60 corners in the previous ten Benfica home games. There is value when it comes to going under the Total Corners line and this is available at +102.
Benfica
Vitória
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our bet builder which has Benfica with an Asian Handicap of -1.5, No on the BTTS market and also under 9.5 corners to be awarded.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Benfica vs Vitória Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Benfica are convincing -370 favourites to land the spoils in this Primeira Liga encounter, which means a 79% likelihood of securing a victory according to the current betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +850 about Vitória de Guimarães.
As the name suggests, the Half-Time Result market is settled at the break. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Benfica at -149, Vitória at +650 or the draw at +170.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -137.
The top betting sites always do a great job when it comes to Primeira Liga games. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.
Favourite Vangelis Pavlidis is priced at +190 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of -152.
Benfica have secured seven wins, two draws and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 0.80.
It’s now been four straight Vitória defeats on the road. The Guimarães outfit have finished with six losses, three victories and one draw in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
The past meeting at Estadio da Luz saw Benfica defeat Vitória 1-0. Benfica have secured five wins from the previous 6 H2H games at Estadio da Luz, with the other result being a draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benfica Home Stats |
7-2-1 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 0.80 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
Vitória Away Stats |
3-1-6 | 2.60 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Primeira Liga: 01/11 2025 Vitória 0 Benfica 3
- Primeira Liga: 19/04 2025 Vitória 0 Benfica 3
- Primeira Liga: 07/12 2024 Benfica 1 Vitória 0
- Primeira Liga: 11/02 2024 Vitória 2 Benfica 2
- Primeira Liga: 02/09 2023 Benfica 4 Vitória 0
- Primeira Liga: 18/03 2023 Benfica 5 Vitória 1
- Primeira Liga: 01/10 2022 Vitória 0 Benfica 0
- Primeira Liga: 27/02 2022 Benfica 3 Vitória 0
- Primeira Liga: 25/09 2021 Vitória 1 Benfica 3
- Primeira Liga: 19/05 2021 Vitória 1 Benfica 3
Benfica League Stats
Vitória League Stats
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded and 2.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 2.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 2.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 60.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Benfica this season are Vangelis Pavlidis (20), Sidny Lopes Cabral (6), Andreas Schjelderup (4)
- Top Assistors for Benfica this season are Sidny Lopes Cabral (5), Vangelis Pavlidis (4), Amar Dedic (3)
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Benfica vs Vitória Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Benfica vs Vitória team news before placing your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and injury news right here.
Benfica Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Benfica Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Benfica Lineups
Previous Vitória Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Benfica Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jose Mourinho
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 52:10 | 69 |
| 2 | Sporting | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 64:14 | 62 |
| 3 | Benfica | 26 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 55:17 | 62 |
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 52:25 | 46 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 39:27 | 42 |
| 6 | Famalicão | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:22 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 47:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 31:38 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitória | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29:39 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | 29 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26:45 | 27 |
| 12 | Arouca | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33:55 | 26 |
| 13 | Estrela | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29:45 | 25 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:31 | 25 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 29:38 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 19:39 | 19 |
| 18 | AVS | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 18:58 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 27:4 | 35 |
| 2 | Sporting | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:4 | 31 |
| 3 | Benfica | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 30:10 | 29 |
| 4 | Braga | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22:12 | 24 |
| 6 | Famalicão | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22:9 | 23 |
| 7 | Estoril | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 26:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Vitória | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 10 | Alverca | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | 19 |
| 11 | Arouca | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:25 | 15 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 13 | Estrela | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:21 | 13 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 16 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 17 | Tondela | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 18 | AVS | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10:24 | 7 |
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