Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Mar 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Brighton vs Arsenal
Brighton take on Premier League leaders Arsenal at American Express Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Wednesday 4 March.
There’s a value bet when it comes to backing Arsenal who are trading at a price of -164. You can squeeze plenty of juice from the odds when it comes to this Full-Time Result pick and the visitors can defeat Brighton.
Brighton have enjoyed back-to-back Premier League victories, most recently beating Nottingham Forest 2-1. It was a home win at American Express Stadium. The Seagulls managed seven shots on target and had 53% possession, with Diego Gomez and Danny Welbeck scoring one goal each.
Arsenal made it back-to-back league wins after a 2-1 home success over Chelsea at Emirates Stadium. The North London team had 41% of possession and five shots on goal, with William Saliba and Jurrien Timber finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Arsenal have won the last two encounters against Brighton, with home victories at Emirates Stadium being achieved by scorelines of 2-1 and 2-0. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured five Arsenal victories, two draws and three Brighton wins.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 58:22 | 64 |
| 11 | Brighton |
28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 38:35 | 37 |
3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 12.0 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. Brighton have had 54.4% possession, 493.4 passes and 4.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.0 goals from 11.7 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal, while earning 5.0 corners.
Top scorer Danny Welbeck has found the net 3 times, with Diego Gomez and Yasin Ayari getting 2 apiece. Yasin Ayari has the most assists with 2, while goalie Bart Verbruggen has recorded 2 clean sheets.
Arsenal have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, with an average of 2.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 54.4% possession, 436.3 passes, 6.0 corners taken and 3.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.
Viktor Gyoekeres has scored 5 goals, followed by Eberechi Eze, Noni Madueke, Martin Zubimendi and Declan Rice on 2. Martin Oedegaard has been chief assist maker on 3, with David Raya recording 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Brighton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, James Milner, Pascal Gross, Diego Gomez, Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma, Danny Welbeck.
Arsenal predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): David Raya (GK), Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie, Martin Zubimendi, Christian Noergaard, Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze, Leandro Trossard, Viktor Gyoekeres.
Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips
Be ready for Brighton vs Arsenal with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best corners advice, player props to watch and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
Arsenal look like a standout wager for this Premier League clash as we’re expecting them to triumph. You can get a price of -164 that the Gunners secure a win and this looks like value on the basis of the latest team news and stats.
It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Premier League action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.
Key Brighton vs Arsenal league stats:
The best betting sites make it a 62.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 70% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
If you’re looking for a bet at a larger price, then Arsenal on the Double Result market could be the way to go. You require them to be in front at the interval and then win at full-time.
Before placing your bet, explore our exclusive betting promo codes, welcome offers, and best free bets for today.
Correct Score Prediction
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Arsenal to win 2-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +600 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) has had over 1.5 shots in back-to-back Premier League games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -164 are now available.
Leandro Trossard (Arsenal) can be backed to be on the scoresheet at +270. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Arsenal have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in five consecutive matches, with Brighton conceding under 5.5 corners in their past three home games. The Arsenal Team Corners line could be on the high side based on the latest stats and -123 is available to back.
Brighton
Arsenal
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this same-game multi including Arsenal to claim a victory, no more than two goals along with Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) to record Over 1.5 shots.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Brighton vs Arsenal Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have Arsenal at -164 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 62% likely to win this Premier League encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, Brighton are available at +440.
There’s -127 when it comes to Arsenal -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Brighton lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.
If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market is finding it hard to split Unders and Overs. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, when it comes to latest odds, there’s not much to separate Yes and No.
No matter what Premier League match is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the leading football betting sites.
Viktor Gyökeres is the market leader at +360 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Brighton have managed four victories, four draws and two losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Arsenal have not lost on their travels in the past seven matches. Mikel Arteta's team have five draws, four wins and one defeat in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 1.10.
It was a 1-1 draw when Brighton last faced Arsenal at American Express Stadium. The past 6 H2H meetings at American Express Stadium have included three Arsenal victories, two draws and one Brighton win.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brighton Home Stats |
4-4-2 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
Arsenal Away Stats |
4-5-1 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 1.10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 27/12 2025 Arsenal 2 Brighton 1
- EFL Cup: 29/10 2025 Arsenal 2 Brighton 0
- Premier League: 04/01 2025 Brighton 1 Arsenal 1
- Premier League: 31/08 2024 Arsenal 1 Brighton 1
- Premier League: 06/04 2024 Brighton 0 Arsenal 3
- Premier League: 17/12 2023 Arsenal 2 Brighton 0
- Premier League: 14/05 2023 Arsenal 0 Brighton 3
- Premier League: 31/12 2022 Brighton 2 Arsenal 4
- EFL Cup: 09/11 2022 Arsenal 1 Brighton 3
- Premier League: 09/04 2022 Arsenal 1 Brighton 2
Brighton League Stats
Arsenal League Stats
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 54.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 54.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Brighton this season are Danny Welbeck (10), Diego Gomez (5), Jan Paul van Hecke (3)
- Top Assistors for Brighton this season are Yankuba Minteh (4), Mats Wieffer (3), Georginio Rutter (2)
Brighton vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Brighton vs Arsenal without reviewing the latest team news. Get the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Brighton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Arsenal Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Brighton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Arsenal Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Brighton Lineups
Previous Arsenal Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Brighton Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Fabian Hurzeler
Arsenal Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 58:22 | 64 |
| 2 | Man City | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 57:25 | 59 |
| 3 | Man United | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 50:38 | 51 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 38:30 | 51 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 47:37 | 48 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 49:33 | 45 |
| 7 | Brentford | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 44:40 | 43 |
| 8 | Everton | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 32:33 | 40 |
| 9 | Fulham | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40:42 | 40 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 44:46 | 39 |
| 11 | Brighton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 37 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 29:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40:42 | 36 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:34 | 35 |
| 15 | Leeds | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 37:47 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 38:43 | 29 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26:41 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:54 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32:56 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 29 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20:51 | 13 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33:9 | 35 |
| 3 | Man United | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:16 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 29 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:16 | 27 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:13 | 26 |
| 7 | Fulham | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Brentford | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Brighton | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:16 | 23 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26:23 | 23 |
| 13 | Leeds | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:19 | 22 |
| 14 | Everton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:19 | 16 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:19 | 13 |
| 17 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 19 | Burnley | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | 9 |
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