Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jan 2026

EFL Cup Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Arsenal

London rivals Chelsea and Arsenal lock horns in the first leg of this EFL Cup semi-final tie at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 14 January.

Arsenal look like excellent value at +118 for bettors who are wagering on the Full-Time Result market. The Gunners are capable of securing a win against Chelsea based on the numbers at our disposal.

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Chelsea cruised to a 5–1 FA Cup win away to Charlton Athletic at The Valley last time out. Liam Rosenior’s team enjoyed 74% possession and fired 12 shots on target, with goals from Jorrel Hato, Tosin Adarabioyo, Marc Guiu, Pedro Neto and Enzo Fernández.

Premier League leaders Arsenal claimed a 4–1 FA Cup victory on the road against Portsmouth at Fratton Park in their previous match. The Gunners enjoyed 58% possession and registered five shots on target, with Gabriel Martinelli in fine form as he netted a hat-trick.

In the EFL Cup quarter-finals, Chelsea beat Cardiff City away by a 3-1 scoreline, with Arsenal claiming a home success on penalties against Crystal Palace (1-1 AET).

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal have not lost any of the past eight games against Chelsea, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 Premier League draw at Stamford Bridge. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in six Arsenal victories and one Chelsea win. There have also been three draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	21	15	4	2	40	14	26	40:14	49
8	Chelsea	21	8	7	6	34	24	10	34:24	31

View Full Table

Chelsea have 2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. The Blues have averaged 55.2% possession and 5.2 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 13.0 attempts and 4.7 corners.

The five top scorers are Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer, Joao Pedro, Pedro Neto and Alejandro Garnacho, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Reece James has the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Robert Sanchez has 2 clean sheets.

Arsenal have 7 victories, 1 defeat and 2 draws, averaging 15.8 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 2.5 goals. Mikel Arteta's side average 58.7% possession, 4.7 corners in their favour and 3.0 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 2.4 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts.

We’ve seen Declan Rice, Gabriel, Leandro Trossard and Mikel Merino score 2 goals each. Bukayo Saka has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games, while David Raya has 3 clean sheets to his name.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Chelsea vs Arsenal betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Our recommendation is to back Arsenal to land the spoils when they line up in this EFL Cup semi-final. We can feel confident when it comes to this wager and the price of +118 looks attractive.

A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key EFL Cup stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Chelsea vs Arsenal EFL Cup & league stats:

• Arsenal have won 14 of their last 20 games.
• Arsenal have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Arsenal have won 2 consecutive games on the road.
• Chelsea have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Arsenal.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 45.9% chance of landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 50-55%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

The Asian Handicap market offers a wide range of options if you are expecting Arsenal to win and want a bigger price. Bet them at -1, -1.5 or even -2 based on your expectations.

Before you back your picks, see how far a bonus can take you — our guide highlights the top betting offers live now.

Our Match Prediction

Arsenal To Win @ +118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 0 - 1 Arsenal

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Arsenal which is available at odds of +650. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gabriel Jesus Over 0.5 Shots On Target -133

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal) has racked up one or more shots on goal in three consecutive matches. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of -133 up for grabs.

Latest Gabriel Jesus Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-128

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Leandro Trossard to Score +320

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal) has racked up two goals in his past four matches on the road. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +320 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Leandro Trossard Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

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Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -147

There has been seven straight Chelsea matches where 8.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 9.30 corners in the previous ten Arsenal away games. The Total Corners line looks too low and we’re happy to go over this number at odds of -147.

EFL Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

9.90 5.20 4.70

Home

11.00 7.30 3.70

Away

8.70 4.40 4.30

Arsenal

Total

7.70 4.70 3.00

Home

8.10 5.70 2.40

Away

9.30 5.80 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

+105

Chelsea Corners

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+112

Arsenal Corners

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-111

Most Corners

1

+135

X

+600

2

-127

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Chelsea vs Arsenal Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Arsenal odds are +118 which leads to them being favourites in this EFL Cup semi-final. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 46% prospect of securing a victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Chelsea are trading at +225.

A win for Arsenal would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get -115 that they overcome Chelsea going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.

Bettors are able to get odds of -114 for both Over and Under 2.5 Goals right now. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -149.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest EFL Cup games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+225

X

+250

2

+118

Half-Time Result

1

+265

X

+123

2

+163

Double Chance

1X

-152

12

-333

X2

-303

Draw No Bet

1

+128

2

-182

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-108

2 Hcp -0.25

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-114

Over 2.5

-114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

+110

The First Goalscorer favourite is Viktor Gyökeres at +400. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+160

Anytime

+400

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Ethan Nwaneri (Arsenal)

First

+410

Anytime

+1000

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-109

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-108

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-128

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-159

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-204

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-213

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-227

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-244

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-294

Ethan Nwaneri (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-385

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-588

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Chelsea Stats

Arsenal Stats

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.30 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 55.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 59.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 58.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 61.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches

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Chelsea vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News

Always review the Chelsea vs Arsenal team news before locking in your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed EFL Cup lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

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