Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jan 2026

EFL Cup Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Arsenal

London rivals Chelsea and Arsenal lock horns in the first leg of this EFL Cup semi-final tie at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 14 January.

Arsenal look like excellent value at +118 for bettors who are wagering on the Full-Time Result market. The Gunners are capable of securing a win against Chelsea based on the numbers at our disposal.

Chelsea cruised to a 5–1 FA Cup win away to Charlton Athletic at The Valley last time out. Liam Rosenior’s team enjoyed 74% possession and fired 12 shots on target, with goals from Jorrel Hato, Tosin Adarabioyo, Marc Guiu, Pedro Neto and Enzo Fernández.

Premier League leaders Arsenal claimed a 4–1 FA Cup victory on the road against Portsmouth at Fratton Park in their previous match. The Gunners enjoyed 58% possession and registered five shots on target, with Gabriel Martinelli in fine form as he netted a hat-trick.

In the EFL Cup quarter-finals, Chelsea beat Cardiff City away by a 3-1 scoreline, with Arsenal claiming a home success on penalties against Crystal Palace (1-1 AET).

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal have not lost any of the past eight games against Chelsea, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 Premier League draw at Stamford Bridge. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in six Arsenal victories and one Chelsea win. There have also been three draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71	27	44	71:27	85
10	Chelsea	38	14	10	14	58	52	6	58:52	52

View Full Table

Chelsea have 2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. The Blues have averaged 55.2% possession and 5.2 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 13.0 attempts and 4.7 corners.

The five top scorers are Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer, Joao Pedro, Pedro Neto and Alejandro Garnacho, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Reece James has the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Robert Sanchez has 2 clean sheets.

Arsenal have 7 victories, 1 defeat and 2 draws, averaging 15.8 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 2.5 goals. Mikel Arteta's side average 58.7% possession, 4.7 corners in their favour and 3.0 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 2.4 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts.

We’ve seen Declan Rice, Gabriel, Leandro Trossard and Mikel Merino score 2 goals each. Bukayo Saka has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games, while David Raya has 3 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Josh Acheampong, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella, Andrey Santos, Enzo Fernandez, Estevao, Joao Pedro, Pedro Neto, Marc Guiu.

Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Kepa Arrizabalaga (GK), Ben White, William Saliba, Gabriel, Jurrien Timber, Martin Oedegaard, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Viktor Gyoekeres, Leandro Trossard.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Chelsea vs Arsenal betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Our recommendation is to back Arsenal to land the spoils when they line up in this EFL Cup semi-final. We can feel confident when it comes to this wager and the price of +118 looks attractive.

A good deal of research goes into our football betting tips. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key EFL Cup stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Chelsea vs Arsenal EFL Cup & league stats:

• Arsenal have won 14 of their last 20 games.
• Arsenal have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Arsenal have won 2 consecutive games on the road.
• Chelsea have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Arsenal.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 45.9% chance of landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 50-55%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

The Asian Handicap market offers a wide range of options if you are expecting Arsenal to win and want a bigger price. Bet them at -1, -1.5 or even -2 based on your expectations.

Before you back your picks, see how far a bonus can take you — our guide highlights the top betting offers live now.

Our Match Prediction

Arsenal To Win @ +118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 12, 21:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 0 - 1 Arsenal

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Arsenal which is available at odds of +575. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gabriel Jesus Over 0.5 Shots On Target -133

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal) has racked up one or more shots on goal in three consecutive matches. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of -133 up for grabs.

Latest Gabriel Jesus Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-125

Shots

Over 1.5

-250

Under 1.5

-

---

Leandro Trossard to Score +320

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal) has racked up two goals in his past four matches on the road. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +320 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Leandro Trossard Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Shots

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -147

There has been seven straight Chelsea matches where 8.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 9.30 corners in the previous ten Arsenal away games. The Total Corners line looks too low and we’re happy to go over this number at odds of -147.

EFL Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

9.90 5.20 4.70

Home

11.00 7.30 3.70

Away

8.70 4.40 4.30

Arsenal

Total

7.70 4.70 3.00

Home

8.10 5.70 2.40

Away

9.30 5.80 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-133

Chelsea Corners

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

+102

Arsenal Corners

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-154

Most Corners

1

+170

X

+650

2

-164

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Arsenal odds are -105 which leads to them being favourites in this EFL Cup semi-final. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 51% prospect of securing a victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Chelsea are trading at +290.

You can choose Arsenal -0.5 or Chelsea +0.5 at respective Asian Handicap odds of -109 and -114. The former is the same as betting the favourites to win, with the latter giving you a return if it’s a draw.

The Total Goals market could be a toss-up considering that Under and Over 2.5 Goals are available at similar odds. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -139.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest EFL Cup games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+290

X

+250

2

-105

Half-Time Result

1

+310

X

+123

2

+145

Double Chance

1X

-122

12

-345

X2

-417

Draw No Bet

1

+170

2

-263

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-114

2 Hcp -0.5

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-116

Over 2.5

-111

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

+102

The First Goalscorer favourite is Viktor Gyökeres at +390. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+150

Anytime

+390

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Ethan Nwaneri (Arsenal)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-102

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-105

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-125

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-179

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-192

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-192

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-200

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-227

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-244

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Ethan Nwaneri (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-286

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-417

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-556

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-714

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Ethan Nwaneri (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-250

Under 1.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-294

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Facundo Buonanotte (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Chelsea Stats

Arsenal Stats

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.30 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 55.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 59.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 58.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 61.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches

Chelsea vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News

Always review the Chelsea vs Arsenal team news before locking in your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed EFL Cup lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

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