Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Oct 2026
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Predictions
We think that Man City will have the upper hand against Aston Villa and we like the price of -156 on the Full-Time Result market. The odds make plenty of appeal and we’re expecting this bet to land.
Read our complete Aston Villa vs Man City betting preview for the full analysis behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Preview
Aston Villa square off against Manchester City at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 24 October.
Aston Villa got the win in their last Premier League game. A 1-0 victory occurred on the road at St James' Park when meeting Newcastle United. Unai Emery's side managed three shots on target and had 51% possession, with Johan Manzambi netting the winner in the 36th minute.
On Wednesday night, Villa hosted Viking in the Champions League and won 3-1.
Manchester City beat Ipswich Town in their previous game, making it seven consecutive wins. It was a 3-2 home triumph at Etihad Stadium. The Citizens enjoyed 70% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Erling Haaland finding the net twice and Phil Foden scoring one.
In the last outing, City claimed a 5-1 Champions League victory at home to AEK Athens.
H2H: Teams’ Last Battle Saw 2-1 Villa Victory
Villa have claimed victories in the last two encounters against City. Taking to the road, a 2-1 win was landed at Etihad Stadium following a 1-0 home victory at Villa Park. In the previous 10 H2H games, there have been five City wins, four Villa victories and a draw.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Man City |
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19:7 | 21 |
| 12 |  Aston Villa |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7:11 | 8 |
Villa have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. The Birmingham club have averaged 49.1% possession, 414.8 passes and 3.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 16.0 attempts and 5.0 corners.
Ollie Watkins is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Johan Manzambi, John McGinn and Nicolas Jackson each have 2. John McGinn is top assists maker with 3, while goalkeeper Zion Suzuki has kept 2 clean sheets.
City have 8 victories, 1 defeat and 1 draw, with an average of 14.7 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 2.4 goals. Enzo Maresca's men average 63.0% possession, 608.1 passes, 6.3 corners in their favour and 4.4 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.
Erling Haaland has scored 9, followed by Rayan Cherki and Antoine Semenyo with 4 goals apiece. Phil Foden has been chief assist maker on 4, with Gianluigi Donnarumma recording 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Zion Suzuki (GK), Matty Cash, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Tyrone Mings, Lamare Bogarde, Boubacar Kamara, Joao Gomes, Alysson Edward, Ross Barkley, Emiliano Buendia, Nicolas Jackson.
Manchester City predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Abdukodir Khusanov, Ruben Dias, Marc Guehi, Rayan Ait Nouri, Elliot Anderson, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Iliman Ndiaye, Phil Foden, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.
Main Match Prediction
Man City are a standout bet at -156 when it comes to the latest odds. The favourites should be able to land a win in this Premier League match based on the numbers at our disposal and we’re feeling optimistic.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The Premier League form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide expert football betting tips, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 61% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
There’s a choice to bet on City at a larger price on the Asian Handicap. The bookmakers will produce a number of options and you can select the one that is the most attractive.
Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
2
Man City
Man City are available at +800 to win by a 2-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Nicolas Jackson (Villa) has finished with over 2.5 shots in three consecutive Premier League games. We are in favour of betting the -137 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager looking like it might yield dividends.
Iliman Ndiaye (City) is available at +290 to be on the scoresheet. We believe this is the best of the player props, with healthy odds available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has been covered by City in eight consecutive away matches. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the City Team Corners line to get covered at -119.
Aston Villa
Man City
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder and the legs include City to claim a victory, one or both teams drawing a blank and Nicolas Jackson (Villa) to cover the 2.5 Player Shots line.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this Premier League encounter, the bookmakers have Manchester City as the -156 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 61% chance of triumphing. Aston Villa are the outsiders at +370 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.
One Asian Handicap bet involves backing City -0.75 at -132. If they beat Villa by 2+ goals, you get a full payout. You also get a return on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.
Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -189.
If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Premier League match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.
Erling Haaland is the First Goalscorer favourite at +230 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at -185.
Stats: Last 10 Premier League matches only.
Aston Villa are winless over their previous three games at Villa Park. Unai Emery's side have clocked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.70.
Man City have avoided defeat in their last ten away matches. The Citizens have secured seven victories and three draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 0.70.
In the last meeting at Villa Park, Villa defeated City by a 1-0 scoreline. The teams have three wins apiece along with a draw in the previous 7 H2H matches at Villa Park.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa Home Stats |
4-2-4 | 3.40 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
| Manchester City Away Stats |
7-3-0 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 0.70 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 24/05 2026 Man City 1 Aston Villa 2
- Premier League: 26/10 2025 Aston Villa 1 Man City 0
- Premier League: 22/04 2025 Man City 2 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 21/12 2024 Aston Villa 2 Man City 1
- Premier League: 03/04 2024 Man City 4 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 06/12 2023 Aston Villa 1 Man City 0
- Premier League: 12/02 2023 Man City 3 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 03/09 2022 Aston Villa 1 Man City 1
- Premier League: 22/05 2022 Man City 3 Aston Villa 2
- Premier League: 01/12 2021 Aston Villa 1 Man City 2
Aston Villa League Stats
Manchester City League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 63.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 63.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Aston Villa this season are Johan Manzambi (2), Nicolas Jackson (2), Alysson Edward (1)
- Top Assistors for Aston Villa this season are Johan Manzambi (2), John McGinn (2), Boubacar Kamara (1)
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News
Aston Villa Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Manchester City Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Aston Villa Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Manchester City Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Aston Villa Lineups
Previous Manchester City Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Aston Villa Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Unai Emery
Manchester City Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Man United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Coventry | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 19 | Nott’m Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Brighton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:1 | 10 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Brentford | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Everton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 7 | Leeds | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Ipswich | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Hull | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Man United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 16 | Coventry | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Liverpool | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 20 | Nott’m Forest | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:3 | 1 |
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