FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Nov 2025
MLS Betting Preview: FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati square off against Inter Miami in this MLS Cup Playoffs Eastern Conference semifinal at TQL Stadium, with kick-off set for 17:00 on Sunday 23 November.
Cincinnati +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Miami the desired outcome at betting odds of -119.
Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site before jumping in.
FC Cincinnati secured a 2–1 first-round playoff series win over Columbus Crew. In the decisive Game 3, Cincinnati earned a 2–1 victory at TQL Stadium, extending their run to three consecutive MLS home wins. Pat Noonan's team enjoyed just 37% possession and had four shots on target, while Brenner da Silva grabbed the goals.
Inter Miami won their first round playoff series 2–1 against Nashville SC, securing a 4–0 victory in Game 3 at Chase Stadium. The Herons had 50% of possession and five shots on goal, with Lionel Messi and Tadeo Allende both scoring twice.
Head-to-Head Statistics
We saw Cincinnati draw 0-0 away to Miami at Chase Stadium when the teams last went head-to-head. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with five Cincinnati wins, two Miami victories and three draws.
| MLS | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Cincinnati |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 52:40 | 65 |
| 3 | Inter Miami |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 55 | 26 | 81:55 | 65 |
6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. Cincinnati have had 47.5% possession and 4.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 6.7 corners.
Brenner da Silva leads the way with 6 goals, while Kevin Denkey and Evander Ferreira have 3 and 2 respectively. Evander Ferreira is the leading assists maker on 6.
Miami have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 3.2 goals from 11.4 attempts and 7.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 57.4% possession, 4.0 corners in their favour and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 7.5 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.
Lionel Messi has scored 14 goals, followed by Tadeo Allende on 7 and Luis Suarez with 4. Lionel Messi has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 8.
FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Prediction & Betting Tips
This FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’ll back Cincinnati +0.25 for this MLS game, with odds of -119 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.
It’s always a case of checking out the latest MLS team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.
Key FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami league stats:
If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 54.3% chance of delivering a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
If you’re searching for bigger odds when it comes to Cincinnati covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder. This allows you to load additional selections to your wager.
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Correct Score Prediction
A potentially entertaining bet is going for Cincinnati to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +800, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.
Player Prop Picks
Kevin Denkey (Cincinnati) has registered two goals in his past four MLS matches. We’ll take a chance at +175 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
It’s been seven straight Miami games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, with the same thing happening in seven of the past ten Cincinnati home matches. We expect the teams to fall short and this Total Corners bet can be backed at -135.
Cincinnati
Miami
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Bet Builder Tips
Take a same-game multi that incorporates Cincinnati with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, Yes on the BTTS market combined with Kevin Denkey (Cincinnati) to score at any time.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The Full-Time Result odds of +120 suggest that Inter Miami are likely victors and there’s a 45% probability that the favourites win this MLS clash. FC Cincinnati are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +180.
It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Miami can be backed at -154 or alternatively Cincinnati are on offer at +106.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. BTTS Yes is on offer at -270 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for MLS games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.
There is -147 available that Lionel Messi finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +270.
Cincinnati have won each of their last three games at TQL Stadium. Pat Noonan's team have managed five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Miami have finished with four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
The previous TQL Stadium encounter involved a 3-0 Cincinnati win against Miami. It’s been four Cincinnati wins and two Miami victories in the past 6 H2H meetings at TQL Stadium.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FC Cincinnati Home Stats |
5-1-4 | 2.40 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
Inter Miami Away Stats |
4-2-4 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Major League Soccer Playoff: 09/11 FC Cincinnati 2 Columbus Crew1
- Major League Soccer Playoff: 03/11 Columbus Crew 4 FC Cincinnati0
- Major League Soccer Playoff: 27/10 FC Cincinnati 1 Columbus Crew0
- Major League Soccer: 19/10 FC Cincinnati 3 CF Montréal0
- Major League Soccer: 05/10 NY Red Bulls 0 FC Cincinnati1
- Major League Soccer Playoff: 09/11 Inter Miami 4 Nashville SC0
- Major League Soccer Playoff: 02/11 Nashville SC 2 Inter Miami1
- Major League Soccer Playoff: 25/10 Inter Miami 3 Nashville SC1
- Major League Soccer: 19/10 Nashville SC 2 Inter Miami5
- Major League Soccer: 12/10 Inter Miami 4 Atlanta United0
- MLS: 27/07 2025 Miami 0 Cincinnati 0
- MLS: 17/07 2025 Cincinnati 3 Miami 0
- MLS: 25/08 2024 Miami 2 Cincinnati 0
- MLS: 07/07 2024 Cincinnati 6 Miami 1
- MLS: 08/10 2023 Miami 0 Cincinnati 1
- U.S. Open Cup: 24/08 2023 Cincinnati 7 Miami 8
- MLS: 02/04 2023 Cincinnati 1 Miami 0
- MLS: 31/07 2022 Miami 4 Cincinnati 4
- MLS: 19/03 2022 Cincinnati 3 Miami 1
- MLS: 24/10 2021 Miami 5 Cincinnati 1
FC Cincinnati League Stats
Inter Miami League Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 6.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 57.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for FC Cincinnati this season are Evander Ferreira (18), Kevin Denkey (15), Gerardo Valenzuela (5)
- Top Assistors for FC Cincinnati this season are Evander Ferreira (14), Luca Orellano (5), Lukas Engel (4)
FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Cincinnati vs Inter, check the team news first. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed MLS lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Previous FC Cincinnati Lineups
Previous Inter Miami Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
MLS Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 57:35 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 52:40 | 65 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 81:55 | 65 |
| 4 | San Diego | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 64:41 | 63 |
| 5 | Vancouver | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 66:38 | 63 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 65:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 55:46 | 59 |
| 8 | Minnesota Utd | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56:39 | 58 |
| 9 | NYCFC | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:44 | 56 |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58:48 | 55 |
| 11 | Nashville SC | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58:45 | 54 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 55:51 | 54 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:60 | 53 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 63:51 | 53 |
| 15 | Austin FC | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37:45 | 47 |
| 16 | FC Dallas | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:55 | 44 |
| 17 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 41:48 | 44 |
| 18 | NY Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 48:47 | 43 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 38:49 | 41 |
| 20 | SJ Earthquakes | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 60:63 | 41 |
| 21 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:56 | 41 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:56 | 37 |
| 23 | NE Revolution | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:51 | 36 |
| 24 | St. Louis | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 44:58 | 32 |
| 25 | Toronto FC | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37:44 | 32 |
| 26 | LA Galaxy | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 46:66 | 30 |
| 27 | Sporting KC | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 46:70 | 28 |
| 28 | CF Montréal | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 34:60 | 28 |
| 29 | Atlanta United | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 38:63 | 28 |
| 30 | D.C. United | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 30:66 | 26 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 33:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36:17 | 36 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 44:26 | 36 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 38:20 | 36 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 31:13 | 35 |
| 7 | Vancouver | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 42:20 | 34 |
| 8 | NY Red Bulls | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36:23 | 33 |
| 9 | NYCFC | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 28:21 | 33 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29:20 | 32 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 30 |
| 12 | Orlando City | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 36:26 | 28 |
| 13 | Minnesota Utd | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25:21 | 28 |
| 15 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 23:21 | 28 |
| 16 | Austin FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 18:16 | 28 |
| 17 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:26 | 27 |
| 18 | San Diego | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 19 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25:25 | 24 |
| 20 | LA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 27:28 | 23 |
| 21 | SJ Earthquakes | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 37:32 | 21 |
| 22 | FC Dallas | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25:25 | 21 |
| 23 | Atlanta United | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 29:29 | 20 |
| 24 | St. Louis | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 23:28 | 18 |
| 25 | Houston Dynamo | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:30 | 18 |
| 26 | Sporting KC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 27 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17:19 | 16 |
| 28 | NE Revolution | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | 16 |
| 29 | D.C. United | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13:31 | 13 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14:33 | 12 |
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