FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Nov 2025

MLS Betting Preview: FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami

FC Cincinnati square off against Inter Miami in this MLS Cup Playoffs Eastern Conference semifinal at TQL Stadium, with kick-off set for 17:00 on Sunday 23 November.

Cincinnati +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Miami the desired outcome at betting odds of -119.

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FC Cincinnati secured a 2–1 first-round playoff series win over Columbus Crew. In the decisive Game 3, Cincinnati earned a 2–1 victory at TQL Stadium, extending their run to three consecutive MLS home wins. Pat Noonan's team enjoyed just 37% possession and had four shots on target, while Brenner da Silva grabbed the goals.

Inter Miami won their first round playoff series 2–1 against Nashville SC, securing a 4–0 victory in Game 3 at Chase Stadium. The Herons had 50% of possession and five shots on goal, with Lionel Messi and Tadeo Allende both scoring twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We saw Cincinnati draw 0-0 away to Miami at Chase Stadium when the teams last went head-to-head. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with five Cincinnati wins, two Miami victories and three draws.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	FC Cincinnati	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Inter Miami	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. Cincinnati have had 47.5% possession and 4.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 6.7 corners.

Brenner da Silva leads the way with 6 goals, while Kevin Denkey and Evander Ferreira have 3 and 2 respectively. Evander Ferreira is the leading assists maker on 6.

Miami have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 3.2 goals from 11.4 attempts and 7.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 57.4% possession, 4.0 corners in their favour and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 7.5 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Lionel Messi has scored 14 goals, followed by Tadeo Allende on 7 and Luis Suarez with 4. Lionel Messi has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 8.

Confirmed Lineups

FC Cincinnati confirmed lineup (4-4-1-1): Roman Celentano (GK), Nick Hagglund, Miles Robinson, Teenage Lingani Hadebe, Lukas Engel, Ender Echenique, Pavel Bucha, Samuel Gidi, Brenner da Silva, Evander Ferreira, Kevin Denkey.

Inter Miami confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Rocco Rios Novo (GK), Marcelo Weigandt, Maximiliano Falcon, Noah Allen, Jordi Alba, Rodrigo De Paul, Sergio Busquets, Baltasar Rodriguez, Tadeo Allende, Lionel Messi, Mateo Silvetti.

FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Prediction & Betting Tips

This FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Cincinnati +0.25 for this MLS game, with odds of -119 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest MLS team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Cincinnati in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Cincinnati in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Cincinnati in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Miami in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Miami in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Cincinnati in 2 consecutive games against Miami.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 54.3% chance of delivering a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Cincinnati Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -119 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Cincinnati 2 - 1 Miami

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Cincinnati to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +850, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lionel Messi Over 1.5 Shots On Target -164

Lionel Messi (Miami) can be backed to cover the shots on goal line at -164. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.

Latest Lionel Messi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-161

First

+245

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+108

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Kevin Denkey to Score +180

Kevin Denkey (Cincinnati) has racked up two goals in his past four MLS games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +180.

Latest Kevin Denkey Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -135

It’s been seven straight Miami games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, with the same thing happening in seven of the past ten Cincinnati home matches. We expect the teams to fall short and this Total Corners bet can be backed at -135.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Cincinnati

Total

10.70 4.00 6.70

Home

9.10 4.30 4.80

Away

9.40 3.40 6.00

Miami

Total

8.40 4.00 4.40

Home

7.90 4.60 3.30

Away

8.70 4.40 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-128

Cincinnati Corners

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-137

Miami Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-114

Most Corners

1

+116

X

+600

2

-110

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FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The Full-Time Result odds of -108 suggest that Inter Miami are likely victors and there’s a 52% probability that the favourites win this MLS clash. FC Cincinnati are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +230.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Miami can be backed at -217 or alternatively Cincinnati are on offer at +140.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. BTTS Yes is on offer at -250 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for MLS games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

+230

X

+295

2

-108

Half-Time Result

1

+255

X

+163

2

+132

Double Chance

1X

-119

12

-417

X2

-313

Draw No Bet

1

+140

2

-217

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-115

2 Hcp -0.5

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+175

Over 2.5

-227

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-250

No

+175

There is -161 available that Lionel Messi finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +245.

Lionel Messi (Miami)

First

-161

Anytime

+245

Evander (Cincinnati)

First

+140

Anytime

+480

Luis Suárez (Miami)

First

+150

Anytime

+450

Kevin Denkey (Cincinnati)

First

+190

Anytime

+650

Brenner (Cincinnati)

First

+220

Anytime

+700

Tadeo Allende (Miami)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Yuya Kubo (Cincinnati)

First

+310

Anytime

+950

Dominik Marczuk (Cincinnati)

First

+320

Anytime

+1100

Kei Kamara (Cincinnati)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Jordi Alba (Miami)

First

+650

Anytime

+2200

Luis Suárez (Miami)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+130

Lionel Messi (Miami)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+108

Kevin Denkey (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

Brenner (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-112

Tadeo Allende (Miami)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-172

Yuya Kubo (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-213

Dominik Marczuk (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-192

Evander (Cincinnati)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-250

Kei Kamara (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-263

Jordi Alba (Miami)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-769

Cincinnati have won each of their last three games at TQL Stadium. Pat Noonan's team have managed five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Miami have finished with four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

The previous TQL Stadium encounter involved a 3-0 Cincinnati win against Miami. It’s been four Cincinnati wins and two Miami victories in the past 6 H2H meetings at TQL Stadium.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
FC Cincinnati Home Stats		5-1-4	2.40	1.40	1.00	5	5	4	6
Inter Miami Away Stats		4-2-4	3.80	2.00	1.80	8	2	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Cincinnati vs Inter, check the team news first. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed MLS lineups along with the latest injury developments.

FC Cincinnati Team Page Inter Miami Team Page

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