Istanbul Basaksehir vs Karagumruk Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

Super Lig Betting Preview: Istanbul Basaksehir vs Karagumruk

Istanbul Basaksehir take on Karagumruk at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Saturday 17 January.

The Total Goals market provides us with a strong betting angle considering we can wager on Over 2.5 at the available odds of -152. Expect Basaksehir and Karagumruk to run home the goals needed for a return.

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Istanbul Basaksehir made it back-to-back Super Lig victories in their last league game. Landing a 5-1 home win against Gaziantep at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu. Nuri Sahin's side had seven shots on target and enjoyed 58% possession, with Eldor Shomurodov one of the five scorers that formed part of this goalfest.

Fatih Karagumruk have now lost back-to-back Super Lig road games. In their previous league game, Alanyaspor won 2-0 at GAIN Park Stadyumu. The Fatih outfit were 53% in the possession stakes and recorded three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Basaksehir who came out on top when they last played Karagumruk. At Ataturk Olympic Stadium, a 2-0 away win was recorded. The past 9 H2H meetings have resulted in five Karagumruk wins, three draws and one Basaksehir victory.

Super Lig		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Basaksehir	17	6	5	6	27	18	9	27:18	23
18	Karagumruk	17	2	3	12	14	32	-18	14:32	9

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. Basaksehir have had 53.2% possession and 4.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 6.1 corners.

Eldor Shomurodov is the top scorer with 9 goals, Bertug Yildirim has 3, with Abbosbek Fayzullayev and Nuno Da Costa on 2. The leading assistors are Olivier Kemen and Miguel Crespo with 3.

Karagumruk have won 1, lost 6 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.7 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 7.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 42.9% possession, 3.7 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts.

The top scorers have been David Datro Fofana and Serginho on 2, with Matias Kranevitter getting 1. Daniel Johnson and Cagtay Kurukalip have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Istanbul Basaksehir predicted lineup (4-4-2): Muhammed Sengezer (GK), Onur Bulut, Léo Duarte, Jerome Opoku, Christopher Operi, Abbosbek Fayzullaev, Olivier Kemen, Umut Günes, Amine Harit, Davie Selke, Eldor Shomurodov.

Karagumruk predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ivo Grbic (GK), Muhammed İyyad Kadıoğlu, Anil Yigit Cinar, Jure Balkovec, Cagtay Kurukalip, Baris Kalayci, Matías Kranevitter, Tiago Cukur, Berkay Özcan, Serginho, David Datro Fofana.

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Karagumruk Prediction & Betting Tips

Get fully prepped for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Karagumruk with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, sharp corners advice, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

The odds for Over 2.5 Goals is -152 and we think that this price looks really appealing. The two teams should combine to cover the line in this Super Lig encounter and it’s a value wager.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Super Lig stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Istanbul Basaksehir vs Karagumruk league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Basaksehir games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Basaksehir games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 5 of the last 8 Karagumruk games on the road.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 60.2% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There’s the possibility of exploring other betting angles and Over 3.5 Goals is a viable option if you are looking to get a larger price. With this wager, you will get a return if there are four goals or more.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -152 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Basaksehir 3 - 0 Karagumruk

Our prediction for the correct score is Basaksehir to land a 3-0 victory and this is available at +650. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Eldor Shomurodov to Score -120

Eldor Shomurodov (Basaksehir) has found the net in eight of his past ten Super Lig games. We’ll throw a dart at -120 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Eldor Shomurodov Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-120

First

+220

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Corners Prediction

Basaksehir Under 5.5 Corners -105

We’ve seen an average of 3.60 corners for Istanbul Basaksehir in their past 5 games, while Karagumruk have let the opposition have an average of 4.80 corners in their last 5 away matches. There are odds of -105 for this Basaksehir Team Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Basaksehir

Total

10.90 4.80 6.10

Home

10.30 5.30 5.00

Away

11.10 5.50 5.60

Karagumruk

Total

9.20 3.70 5.50

Home

8.89 3.11 5.78

Away

10.25 4.38 5.88

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-127

Basaksehir Corners

Over 5.5

-133

Under 5.5

-105

Karagumruk Corners

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-143

Most Corners

1

-286

X

+700

2

+270

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Istanbul Basaksehir vs Karagumruk Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookmakers have Istanbul Basaksehir at -200 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 67% chance of winning this Super Lig clash based on the betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +500 about Fatih Karagumruk.

One way of getting with Basaksehir is taking them at -130 on the Asian Handicap -1. You’re successful if they beat Karagumruk by two goals and get money back if the margin is just one.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -128.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Super Lig matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-200

X

+320

2

+500

Half-Time Result

1

+102

X

+148

2

+430

Double Chance

1X

-1000

12

-526

X2

+135

Draw No Bet

1

-556

2

+325

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-130

2 Hcp +1

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+106

Over 2.5

-152

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-111

There is -120 available that Eldor Shomurodov finds the net, while he is available at +220 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Eldor Shomurodov (Basaksehir)

First

-120

Anytime

+220

Davie Selke (Basaksehir)

First

+150

Anytime

+370

Nuno Da Costa (Basaksehir)

First

+175

Anytime

+450

David Datro Fofana (Karagumruk)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Tiago Cukur (Karagumruk)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Sérgio Antonio da Luiz Junior (Karagumruk)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Amine Harit (Basaksehir)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Olivier Kemen (Basaksehir)

First

+425

Anytime

+950

Umut Günes (Basaksehir)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Christopher Operi (Basaksehir)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Léo Duarte (Basaksehir)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jerome Opoku (Basaksehir)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Marius Tresor Doh (Karagumruk)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Basaksehir have five draws, three defeats and two wins in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Karagumruk haven’t tasted victory in the previous six away matches. The Fatih outfit have managed six losses, one victory and one draw in the last 8 away matches, recording an average of 0.75 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

Karagumruk overcame Basaksehir 2-0 when the sides last met at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu. Karagumruk have secured three wins from the previous 4 H2H games at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, with the other result being a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Istanbul Basaksehir Home Stats		2-5-3	2.80	1.50	1.30	4	6	8	2
Karagumruk Away Stats		1-1-6	2.75	0.75	2.00	5	3	4	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Istanbul Basaksehir vs Karagumruk Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Basaksehir vs Karagumruk before you bet. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Super Lig together with updated injury news.

Istanbul Basaksehir Team Page Karagumruk Team Page

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