Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Feb 2026

Super Lig Betting Preview: Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk

Bottom-of-the-table Kasimpasa go head-to-head with third-from-bottom Karagumruk at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadi, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Monday 16 February.

We don’t think Kasimpasa and Karagumruk will combine to score three or more. Therefore, we’ll head to the Total Goals market and wager on Under 2.5 which is available at odds of -123.

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Kasimpasa have been defeated in their last three games. On the road, they recently suffered a 2-1 loss against Gaziantep at Gaziantep Stadyumu. The Apaches enjoyed 52% possession and had two shots on target, with Adrian Benedyczak registering the goal.

Fatih Karagumruk have suffered four consecutive defeats away from home. In their previous game, they enjoyed a 1-0 home victory against Antalyaspor at Ataturk Olympic Stadium. The Fatih side were 48% in the possession stakes and recorded four shots on goal, with Serginho scoring the winner five minutes after kick-off.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Kasimpasa have gone unbeaten in their past three meetings with Karagumruk. In their last clash, Kasimpasa travelled to Vefa Stadium and landed a 1-0 victory. The previous 9 H2H meetings have yielded three wins apiece and three draws.

Super Lig		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Kasimpasa	21	3	7	11	16	29	-13	16:29	16
18	Karagumruk	21	3	3	15	18	39	-21	18:39	12

View Full Table

Kasimpasa have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 2.1 shots on goal and 5.2 attempts. The Istanbul outfit have averaged 47.9% possession and 4.9 corners per match, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.4 corners from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts.

Top goalscorer Pape Habib Gueye has found the net 2 times, with Adrian Benedyczak, Fousseni Diabate and Adem Arous scoring 1 each. Irfan Kahveci, Fousseni Diabate and Claudio Winck are the leading assists makers with 1.

Karagumruk have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, with an average of 5.7 attempts, 2.9 shots on goal and 0.8 goals. Aleksandar Stanojevic's team average 43.6% possession, 3.6 corners in their favour and 5.7 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 5.1 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.

Serginho and David Datro Fofana have 3 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Baris Kalayci on 1. Baris Kalayci has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Kasimpasa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Andreas Gianniotis (GK), Claudio Winck, Rodrigo Becão, Adem Arous, Mortadha Ben Ouanes, Andri Fannar Baldursson, Kerem Demirbay, Irfan Can Kahveci, Adrian Benedyczak, Jim Allevinah, Cenk Tosun.

Karagumruk predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ivo Grbic (GK), Ricardo Esgaio, Filip Mladenovic, Davide Biraschi, Igor Lichnovsky, Matías Kranevitter, Berkay Özcan, Shavy Babicka, Sam Larsson, Baris Kalayci, Serginho.

Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

The stage is set for a low-scoring Super Lig clash. As a result, we will wager on Under 2.5 which can be taken at attractive odds of -123, with defences likely to nullify the attacking players.

The Super Lig experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Kasimpasa games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Kasimpasa games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Kasimpasa games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Karagumruk games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Karagumruk games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

The best betting sites make it a 55.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Bettors wanting to boost their odds might want to combine the Under 2.5 Goals pick with a specific side to land a victory. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -123 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (18:27, 14 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Kasimpasa 1 - 0 Karagumruk

An exciting bet could be a 1-0 victory in favor of Kasimpasa at odds of +510. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Adrian Benedyczak To Score +290

Adrian Benedyczak (Kasimpasa) is available at +290 to score. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Adrian Benedyczak Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+575

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Karagumruk Under 3.5 Corners -125

Karagumruk have failed to cover the 3.5 corners line in three consecutive away matches, while Kasimpasa have conceded 2.40 corners on average in their previous 5 home games. On this basis, we can take a price of -125 that this Karagumruk Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Kasimpasa

Total

9.30 4.90 4.40

Home

9.20 6.10 3.10

Away

9.80 4.20 5.60

Karagumruk

Total

9.30 3.60 5.70

Home

9.10 3.50 5.60

Away

9.70 3.90 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-143

Kasimpasa Corners

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-141

Karagumruk Corners

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-204

X

+700

2

+200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Favourites Kasimpasa are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Super Lig clash. The -106 about them triumphing means a 52% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Fatih Karagumruk are available at +270.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 option is the same as a win on the 1x2 market. Kasimpasa are -114 when it comes to this selection, with their opponents Karagumruk +0.5 at -125 which means the draw is also included with this pick.

The Total Goals market looks like a close call, with Over and Under 2.5 Goals available at similar odds. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -137 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Super Lig matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

-106

X

+245

2

+270

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+123

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-385

X2

-132

Draw No Bet

1

-244

2

+163

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-114

2 Hcp +0.5

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-123

Over 2.5

-114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

-103

Favourite Yusuf Barasi is priced at +420 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +195.

Yusuf Barasi (Kasimpasa)

First

+195

Anytime

+420

Pape Habib Gueye (Kasimpasa)

First

+195

Anytime

+430

Kubilay Kanatsizkus (Kasimpasa)

First

+260

Anytime

+550

Adrian Benedyczak (Kasimpasa)

First

+290

Anytime

+575

Tiago Cukur (Karagumruk)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Sérgio Antonio da Luiz Junior (Karagumruk)

First

+335

Anytime

+750

Irfan Can Kahveci (Kasimpasa)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Sam Larsson (Karagumruk)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Mortadha Ben Ouanes (Kasimpasa)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

Shavy Babicka (Karagumruk)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Baris Jakob Kalayci (Karagumruk)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Kerem Demirbay (Kasimpasa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Godfried Frimpong (Kasimpasa)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Andri Fannar Baldursson (Kasimpasa)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Claudio Winck (Kasimpasa)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Çagtay Kurukalip (Karagumruk)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Rodrigo Becao (Kasimpasa)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Matias Kranevitter (Karagumruk)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Fatih Kurucuk (Karagumruk)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Kasimpasa are winless over their previous ten games at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadi. The Apaches have racked up five draws and five defeats in the previous 10 home games, recording an average of 0.60 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Karagumruk haven’t tasted victory in the previous eight away matches. The Fatih side have recorded eight defeats, one victory and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

When Kasimpasa last played Karagumruk at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadi, they drew 1-1. The previous 4 H2H meetings at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadi have seen two draws along with a win for Kasimpasa and a victory for Karagumruk.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Kasimpasa Home Stats		0-5-5	1.90	0.60	1.30	2	8	5	5
Karagumruk Away Stats		1-1-8	2.80	0.80	2.00	7	3	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Super Lig along with up-to-date injury news.

Kasimpasa Team Page Karagumruk Team Page

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