Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 31 Jan 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Arsenal
Leeds square off against Premier League leaders Arsenal at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 31 January.
We’re backing Leeds on the Asian Handicap +1 at -110, expecting the Whites to stay competitive against Arsenal. The Gunners’ busy recent schedule could lead to fatigue and with the +1 handicap, a Leeds win or draw lands the bet, while a one-goal defeat sees the stake refunded.
Betting on our Asian Handicap selection? Access the updated BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the platform before locking in your bet.
Leeds United played Everton on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Hill Dickinson Stadium. The Whites had 42% possession and four shots on target, while James Justin registered the goal.
Table-topping Arsenal lost their previous Premier League game, being beaten at home to Manchester United by a 3-2 scoreline at Emirates Stadium. Mikel Arteta's men had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 57% possession and four shots on goal, with a Lisandro Martinez (Man United) own goal and Mikel Merino on the scoresheet.
Three days ago, Arsenal claimed a 3-2 win in the Champions League when hosting Kazakhstan Premier League side Kairat Almaty.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Arsenal have racked up seven consecutive wins over Leeds. In their last encounter, Arsenal came out with a 5-0 home victory at Emirates Stadium. The previous 9 H2H games have featured eight Arsenal victories and one draw.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 42:17 | 50 |
| 16 | Leeds |
23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 31:38 | 26 |
Leeds have 3 wins, 1 loss and 6 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 13.8 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. Daniel Farke's team have averaged 42.9% possession, 373.2 passes and 5.4 corners per game, conceding 1.3 goals and 4.1 corners from 12.5 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the top scorer with 7 goals, Brenden Aaronson has 3, with Anton Stach and Ao Tanaka on 2. Leading assistors have been Anton Stach and Brenden Aaronson with 2, while goalkeeper Lucas Perri has one clean sheet.
Arsenal have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 4.9 shots on goal, 15.4 attempts and 1.7 goals. The North London side average 57.4% possession, 484.9 passes, 5.4 corners taken and 3.1 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 8.4 attempts and 2.2 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Mikel Merino, Declan Rice, Gabriel and Leandro Trossard, with 2 goals apiece. Martin Oedegaard and Bukayo Saka have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while David Raya has 4 clean sheets to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Leeds predicted lineup (4-4-2): Karl Darlow (GK), Joe Rodon, Sebastiaan Bornauw, Pascal Struijk, Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, James Justin, Anton Stach, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
Arsenal predicted lineup (4-3-3): David Raya (GK), Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie, Martin Oedegaard, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Jesus, Leandro Trossard.
Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips
From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Leeds vs Arsenal betting preview covers it all.
Match Prediction
In order for our Leeds +1 bet to land at -110, we need the Whites to win or draw against the Premier League frontrunners. We think they’ll make the game competitive and feel confident with this Asian Handicap wager.
Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Premier League insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.
Key Leeds vs Arsenal league stats:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
Those wanting an alternative to Asian Handicap can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Leeds and their performance.
Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.
Correct Score Prediction
One bet that has caught our eye is a 1-1 correct score draw. This selection is available at +600 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Declan Rice (Arsenal) has recorded over 1.5 shots in six of his past nine Premier League matches. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of +114 up for grabs.
Anton Stach (Leeds) has scored two goals in his past four Premier League matches on home soil. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +750 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past five home games, Leeds have covered the 3.5 corners line, while the previous two Arsenal away matches have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure -111 that Leeds go over the line.
Leeds
Arsenal
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our same-game multi, try Leeds with an Asian Handicap of +1, less than three goals and also Declan Rice (Arsenal) to manage Over 1.5 shots.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Leeds vs Arsenal Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Full-Time Result odds of -200 suggest that Arsenal are likely victors and there’s a 67% probability that the Gunners win this Premier League clash. Leeds United are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +575.
Arsenal can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting +107. However, Leeds are +500 and the draw is +130 if you want to take a different option.
The latest Total Goals betting suggests it’s a close call between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. If you’re looking to wager Both Teams to Score No, this is currently available at -133.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Premier League matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
Viktor Gyökeres is available at +155 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +360 to find the net first.
Leeds are unbeaten over their previous five games at Elland Road. The Whites have four victories, four draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
Arsenal have avoided defeat in their last three away matches. Mikel Arteta's side have collected five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Arsenal overcame Leeds 1-0 when the sides last met at Elland Road. Aside from one draw, Arsenal have dominated the previous 3 H2H matches at Elland Road with two wins.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Leeds Home Stats |
4-4-2 | 3.10 | 1.80 | 1.30 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | |
Arsenal Away Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 0.90 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 23/08 2025 Arsenal 5 Leeds 0
- Premier League: 01/04 2023 Arsenal 4 Leeds 1
- Premier League: 16/10 2022 Leeds 0 Arsenal 1
- Premier League: 08/05 2022 Arsenal 2 Leeds 1
- Premier League: 18/12 2021 Leeds 1 Arsenal 4
- EFL Cup: 26/10 2021 Arsenal 2 Leeds 0
- Premier League: 14/02 2021 Arsenal 4 Leeds 2
- Premier League: 22/11 2020 Leeds 0 Arsenal 0
- FA Cup: 06/01 2020 Arsenal 1 Leeds 0
Leeds League Stats
Arsenal League Stats
- 3 wins, 1 defeat and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 42.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 57.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Leeds this season are Dominic Calvert-Lewin (9), Lukas Nmecha (5), Brenden Aaronson (4)
- Top Assistors for Leeds this season are Anton Stach (3), Brenden Aaronson (3), Sean Longstaff (2)
Leeds vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News
Check the Leeds vs Arsenal team news before you place your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Leeds Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Arsenal Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Leeds Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Arsenal Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Leeds Lineups
Previous Arsenal Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Leeds Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Daniel Farke
Arsenal Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 42:17 | 50 |
| 2 | Man City | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 47:21 | 46 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35:25 | 46 |
| 4 | Man United | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 41:34 | 38 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 39:25 | 37 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 35:32 | 36 |
| 7 | Fulham | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 32:32 | 34 |
| 8 | Brentford | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 35:32 | 33 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 32:29 | 33 |
| 10 | Everton | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 25:26 | 33 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:26 | 33 |
| 12 | Brighton | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 33:31 | 30 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 38:43 | 30 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 33:31 | 28 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24:28 | 28 |
| 16 | Leeds | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 31:38 | 26 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 23:34 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27:45 | 20 |
| 19 | Burnley | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 25:44 | 15 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15:43 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29:8 | 29 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28:8 | 29 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 25 |
| 4 | Brentford | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23:12 | 24 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18:9 | 23 |
| 6 | Fulham | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 9 | Man United | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:13 | 21 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 11 | Brighton | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 12 | Leeds | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 19 |
| 13 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 18 |
| 14 | Everton | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16:26 | 10 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:23 | 5 |
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