Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Aug 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Newcastle

Leeds host Newcastle in this Premier League encounter at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 30 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Whites to Give Magpies a Hard Time

We’re splitting our Asian Handicap stake between 0 and +0.5 when backing Leeds +0.25 at -100 against Newcastle. We need the hosts to win for a maximum payout although the draw means we also get a return.

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2-2 Draw in Last H2H Clash

Leeds United lost away from home in their last Premier League game. Arsenal won 5-0 at Emirates Stadium. Daniel Farke's team recorded just 32% possession and one shot on target.

Four days ago, Leeds were beaten on penalties (1-1 AET) away to Sheffield Wednesday in the EFL Cup.

Newcastle United were defeated in their previous game, being turned over 3-2 at home to Liverpool at St James' Park. The Magpies had just 37% possession and recorded three shots on goal, while Bruno Guimaraes and William Osula were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Newcastle have not lost to Leeds in the past four meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 2-2 draw at Elland Road. The previous 6 H2H meetings have featured three draws, two wins for Leeds and just one for Newcastle.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Leeds	2	1	0	1	1	5	-4	1:5	3
15	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	2:3	1

View Full Table

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. Leeds have had 59.7% possession and 5.7 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.0 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 7.0 attempts, while being awarded 2.2 corners.

Top scorers Wilfried Gnonto and Joel Piroe have found the net 4 times, with Manor Solomon getting 3. Manor Solomon has the most assists with 5, while goalkeeper Lucas Perri has one clean sheet.

Newcastle have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 14.8 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. The Tyneside side average 54.5% possession, 438.2 passes, 6.8 corners in their favour and 4.1 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts.

Bruno Guimaraes, Alexander Isak and Harvey Barnes are top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while William Osula is on 2. Jacob Murphy and Kieran Trippier have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Nick Pope has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Leeds predicted lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Perri (GK), Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Anton Stach, Ilia Gruev, Sean Longstaff, Daniel James, Joël Piroe, Wilfried Gnonto.

Newcastle predicted lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Dan Burn, Valentino Livramento, Bruno Guimarães, Sandro Tonali, Jacob Ramsey, Anthony Elanga, William Osula, Harvey Barnes.

Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Leeds vs Newcastle betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

When Leeds line up for this Premier League game, we will back them at -100 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best Premier League stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Leeds vs Newcastle league stats:

• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Leeds in 2 consecutive games against Newcastle.

Leeds +0.25 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 50% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There’s an opportunity to take an alternative bet on Leeds, with Winning Margin giving you the chance to predict how many goals a team will win by. Choose from a range of fixed intervals.

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Our Match Prediction

Leeds Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -100 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 2 - 1 Newcastle

Leeds are available at +900 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

William Osula Under 0.5 Shots On Target +112

William Osula (Newcastle) has finished without a shot on goal in four straight Premier League games on the road. Using this stat, we can take betting odds of +112 that this Shots on Target wager falls short of the line.

Latest William Osula Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+112

Shots

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

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Wilfried Gnonto to Score +380

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds) has racked up three goals in his past five league games. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +380 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Wilfried Gnonto Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-143

Shots

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Leeds Over 4.5 Corners -120

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Leeds in five straight home games, while Newcastle have let the opposition have an average of 6.60 corners in their last 5 away matches. Leeds should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Team Corners and odds of -120 are on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

7.90 5.70 2.20

Home

10.30 7.90 2.40

Away

8.70 5.70 3.00

Newcastle

Total

10.90 6.80 4.10

Home

10.90 6.50 4.40

Away

11.30 5.40 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-116

Under 10.5

-122

Leeds Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Newcastle Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+150

X

+700

2

-141

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Leeds vs Newcastle Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Newcastle Made Favourites by the Bookies

The bookmakers have Newcastle United at +108 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 48% chance of winning this Premier League clash based on the betting odds. Leeds United are the outsiders at +250 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then Newcastle are -200 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Leeds are +143 and there is money back if the game ends all square.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -161.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Premier League match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+250

X

+250

2

+108

Half-Time Result

1

+275

X

+133

2

+155

Double Chance

1X

-139

12

-333

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+143

2

-200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-100

2 Hcp -0.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+105

Over 2.5

-133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-161

No

+118

Anthony Gordon is the First Goalscorer Favourite

You will find favourite Anthony Gordon at +450 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +195 that he finds the net any time.

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+195

Anytime

+450

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+220

Anytime

+500

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+255

Anytime

+575

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+270

Anytime

+575

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Daniel James (Leeds)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Jack Harrison (Leeds)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+128

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+112

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

+105

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-111

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-122

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-139

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-143

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-154

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-156

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-167

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-172

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-233

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-303

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-345

Jack Harrison (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-526

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-714

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Daniel James (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Jack Harrison (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Sean Longstaff (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Can Leeds Continue Unbeaten Home Streak?

Leeds have not lost at Elland Road in the past eight matches. The Whites have recorded seven victories, two draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.70 goals per game and conceding 0.70.

Newcastle have not won in the past four away matches. Eddie Howe's team have finished with four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

It was a 2-2 draw when Leeds last played Newcastle at Elland Road. The previous 3 H2H matches at Elland Road have seen Leeds winning once, one draw and a victory for Newcastle.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		7-2-1	3.40	2.70	0.70	6	4	4	6
Newcastle Away Stats		4-2-4	2.50	1.10	1.40	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Newcastle Lineups & Team News

The latest Leeds vs Newcastle team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League, along with current injury news.

Leeds United Team Page Newcastle United Team Page