Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Mar 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Brighton vs Nottingham Forest
Brighton take on Nottingham Forest at American Express Stadium, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 1 March.
We’re expecting a low goal tally when Brighton and Nottingham Forest face each other. This is supported by underlying chance-creation metrics such as xG, as well as the latest Premier League stats.
Brighton’s last six Premier League home matches have ended under 2.5 goals, while their last four league games overall have also gone under. Forest’s last two league encounters have produced fewer than three goals and this season’s first meeting between the sides also finished under 2.5, so the recent trends are in our favour.
The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to back Under 2.5 and a price of -102 is difficult to ignore.
Brighton won 2-0 in their last outing. The victory came away to Brentford at Gtech Community Stadium. The Seagulls enjoyed 48% possession and had seven shots on target, with Diego Gomez and Danny Welbeck scoring one goal apiece.
Nottingham Forest suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Liverpool in their last Premier League match. Vitor Pereira's men had two shots on goal and 47% possession at City Ground.
Three days ago, Forest were beaten 2-1 at home by Fenerbahce in the Europa League, yet still progressed to the next round with a 4-2 aggregate victory.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Brighton had the upper hand in the last clash between these sides. At City Ground, they recorded a 2-0 away victory over Forest. We’ve seen the previous 8 H2H meetings include three Brighton triumphs, three draws and two Forest wins.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Brighton |
32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest |
32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 32:44 | 33 |
Brighton have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts. The Sussex outfit have averaged 53.8% possession, 481.9 passes and 4.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal, 12.8 attempts and 5.3 corners.
Danny Welbeck, Diego Gomez and Yasin Ayari are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Yasin Ayari is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen keeping 2 clean sheets.
Forest have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.8 goals from 14.6 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 44.3% possession, 371.4 passes, 6.2 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 12.0 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.
Morgan Gibbs-White is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Lorenzo Lucca, Taiwo Awoniyi, Igor Jesus and Nicolas Dominguez have 1. Omari Hutchinson, Morgan Gibbs-White and Elliot Anderson are top assists providers with 1, while Stefan Ortega has recorded one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, James Milner, Pascal Gross, Diego Gomez, Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma, Danny Welbeck.
Nottingham Forest confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Matz Sels (GK), Ola Aina, Nikola Milenkovic, Murillo, Neco Williams, Ibrahim Sangare, Elliot Anderson, Omari Hutchinson, Morgan Gibbs-White, Callum Hudson-Odoi, Igor Jesus.
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Betting Tips
Explore our best Brighton vs Nottingham Forest picks, including our main match prediction, top corners bet, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
We don’t anticipate that the sides can combine to reach the three-goal mark and that means wagering Under 2.5 Goals. The odds of -102 look easy to back when it comes to a low-scoring Premier League encounter.
Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Premier League data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.
Key Brighton vs Nottingham Forest league stats:
According to the latest odds, there’s a 50.5% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
For those searching for a larger price, a possible option could be backing Under 1.5 Goals. This is a wager that will land a return for a 0-0 draw or a 1-0 victory to either side.
Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.
Correct Score Prediction
Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +480. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Morgan Gibbs-White (Forest) has covered the 1.5 shots total in four consecutive Premier League matches. The numbers imply that he can succeed with our Overs bet and we’re delighted to take the -139 available.
Diego Gómez (Brighton) can be backed at +300 to be on the scoresheet. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing considering all angles and we’ll take a chance on him.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Brighton have had under 5.5 corners in four straight games, with Nottingham Forest conceding less than 5.5 corners in their past three games. We’re expecting Brighton to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners bet on offer at -127.
Brighton
Forest
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can provide entertainment and we’ve got Under 2.5, a draw on the 1x2 along with Morgan Gibbs-White (Forest) to cover the 1.5 Player Shots line.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Brighton are the shortest price to win this Premier League clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 48% probability due to their +108 betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +270 about Nottingham Forest.
If Brighton and Forest play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at -128.
The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. BTTS Yes is on offer at -147 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
The recommended betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Premier League game before making a decision.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Danny Welbeck at +390. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.
Brighton are winless over their previous three games at American Express Stadium. The Seagulls have recorded four victories, four draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Forest have recorded six losses and four wins in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
The previous American Express Stadium encounter involved Forest beating Brighton on penalties (0-0 AET). The past 4 H2H games at American Express Stadium have involved three draws and one Brighton win.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brighton Home Stats |
4-4-2 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
Nottingham Forest Away Stats |
4-0-6 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 30/11 2025 Forest 0 Brighton 2
- FA Cup: 29/03 2025 Brighton 3 Forest 4
- Premier League: 01/02 2025 Forest 7 Brighton 0
- Premier League: 22/09 2024 Brighton 2 Forest 2
- Premier League: 10/03 2024 Brighton 1 Forest 0
- Premier League: 25/11 2023 Forest 2 Brighton 3
- Premier League: 26/04 2023 Forest 3 Brighton 1
- Premier League: 18/10 2022 Brighton 0 Forest 0
Brighton League Stats
Nottingham Forest League Stats
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Brighton this season are Danny Welbeck (9), Diego Gomez (4), Jan Paul van Hecke (3)
- Top Assistors for Brighton this season are Yankuba Minteh (4), Mats Wieffer (3), Georginio Rutter (2)
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Brighton vs Forest, check the team news first. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League and all current injury news.
Brighton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nottingham Forest Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Brighton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nottingham Forest Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Brighton Substitutes
- 7Solly March
- 10Georginio Rutter
- 11Yankuba Minteh
- 17Carlos Baleba
- 19C. Kostoulas
- 21Olivier Boscagli
- 23Jason Steele
- 29Maxim De Cuyper
- 34Joel Veltman
Nottingham Forest Substitutes
- 9Taiwo Awoniyi
- 14Dan Ndoye
- 16Nicolas Dominguez
- 18Angus Gunn
- 22Ryan Yates
- 23Jair Cunha
- 24James McAtee
- 25Luca Netz
- 29Dilane Bakwa
Previous Brighton Lineups
Previous Nottingham Forest Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Brighton Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Fabian Hurzeler
Nottingham Forest Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 62:24 | 70 |
| 2 | Man City | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 63:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Man United | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 57:45 | 55 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 43:38 | 55 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 52:42 | 52 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53:41 | 48 |
| 7 | Brentford | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 48:44 | 48 |
| 8 | Everton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:37 | 47 |
| 9 | Brighton | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 48:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Fulham | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 43:46 | 45 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 35:36 | 42 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 45:47 | 42 |
| 15 | Leeds | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 39:49 | 36 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 32:44 | 33 |
| 17 | West Ham | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 40:57 | 32 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 40:51 | 30 |
| 19 | Burnley | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 33:63 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 24:58 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36:11 | 38 |
| 2 | Man City | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 36:11 | 36 |
| 3 | Man United | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 31:19 | 33 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | 32 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:17 | 31 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 23:14 | 29 |
| 7 | Fulham | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 29 |
| 8 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:19 | 28 |
| 9 | Brighton | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:17 | 27 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 23:17 | 26 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 29:26 | 26 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:20 | 23 |
| 13 | Leeds | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Everton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 16:19 | 19 |
| 16 | West Ham | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22:28 | 16 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:20 | 15 |
| 18 | Wolverhampton | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17:31 | 12 |
| 19 | Burnley | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15:25 | 11 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18:28 | 10 |
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