Leeds vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Manchester City

Leeds take on second-placed Manchester City at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 28 February.

Leeds are worth chancing on the Asian Handicap with a +1 goal start at -118. We have the insurance of money back if the Whites lose by a single goal and a bigger return if they beat or draw with Man City.

Leeds United faced Aston Villa away when last in action. It was a 1-1 draw at Villa Park. The West Yorkshire outfit ended up with just 34% possession and had four shots on target, while Anton Stach registered the goal.

Manchester City claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-1 triumph against Newcastle United at Etihad Stadium made it three straight Premier League wins. Pep Guardiola's side recorded 55% possession and had seven shots on goal, while Nico O'Reilly netted twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City have five consecutive victories against Leeds. Their last encounter was at Etihad Stadium, with City claiming a 3-2 home win. The past 7 H2H matches have involved five City wins, one Leeds victory and one draw.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Man City	31	19	7	5	63	28	35	63:28	64
15	Leeds	32	8	12	12	39	49	-10	39:49	36

View Full Table

Leeds have 2 wins, 2 losses and 6 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts. Daniel Farke's team have averaged 43.2% possession, 377.3 passes and 4.5 corners per match, conceding 1.5 goals and 6.3 corners from 4.2 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts.

Top goalscorers Brenden Aaronson and Dominic Calvert-Lewin have found the net 3 times, with Lukas Nmecha scoring 2. Leading assistor is Ilia Gruev with 3, while goalkeepers Karl Darlow and Lucas Perri have collectively recorded 2 clean sheets.

City have won 5, lost 1 and drawn 4, averaging 14.3 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. The Citizens average 60.9% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.

Nico O'Reilly, Erling Haaland and Antoine Semenyo have top scored with 3, while Rayan Cherki is next on 2. Erling Haaland has clocked up 3 assists, with Gianluigi Donnarumma keeping 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Leeds confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Karl Darlow (GK), James Justin, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Jayden Bogle, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Anton Stach, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-1-3-2): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Marc Guehi, Rayan Ait Nouri, Rodri, Rayan Cherki, Bernardo Silva, Nico O'Reilly, Antoine Semenyo, Omar Marmoush.

Leeds vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Leeds vs Manchester City, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s a case for siding with Leeds +1 at odds of -118 for this Premier League match. This Asian Handicap bet looks really attractive based on the latest stats and we’re happy with the line and price for the home team.

Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest Premier League stats when making our football predictions.

Key Leeds vs Manchester City league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Leeds in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Leeds in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Leeds in 3 consecutive games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by City in any of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by City in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by City in 4 of their last 7 games against Leeds.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 54.1% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

There are plenty of different options to Asian Handicap and that includes the Winning Margin market. Choose whether a team will achieve a close win or something bigger.

Before placing your wager, discover the best bonus deals. Our guide highlights the most rewarding betting offers available.

Our Match Prediction

Leeds Asian Hcp +1 @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 26, 18:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 1 - 1 Man City

There are odds of +575 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nico O'Reilly Over 1.5 Shots +104

Nico O'Reilly (City) has recorded over 1.5 shots in his past two Premier League games. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Player Shots line which is on offer at odds of +104.

Latest Nico O'Reilly Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+1000

Shots

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

---

Antoine Semenyo to Score +170

Antoine Semenyo (City) has registered three goals in his past six Premier League games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +170.

Latest Antoine Semenyo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+500

Shots

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Leeds Over 3.5 Corners -135

In their past seven home matches, Leeds have covered the 3.5 corners line, while the last three City games have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. We’re expecting plenty of Leeds corners and that the Team Corners line is going to be covered, with odds of -135 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

10.80 4.50 6.30

Home

9.80 5.00 4.80

Away

9.00 3.80 5.20

Man City

Total

8.70 5.10 3.60

Home

9.90 6.30 3.60

Away

8.40 4.50 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-104

Under 9.5

-137

Leeds Corners

Over 3.5

-128

Under 3.5

-111

Man City Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-141

Most Corners

1

+195

X

+650

2

-192

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Leeds vs Manchester City Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Manchester City odds are -161 which leads to them being favourites in this Premier League clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 62% prospect of securing a victory. If you want to back the outsider, Leeds United are available at +425.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with City available at +112 and Leeds at +400. The third option is the draw which is priced at +143.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -133 on the BTTS market.

There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+425

X

+300

2

-161

Half-Time Result

1

+400

X

+143

2

+112

Double Chance

1X

+123

12

-417

X2

-625

Draw No Bet

1

+260

2

-435

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

+102

2 Hcp -0.75

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+107

Over 2.5

-132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

+102

Erling Haaland is available at -125 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +240 to find the net first.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-125

Anytime

+240

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+210

Anytime

+575

Phil Foden (City)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Rodri (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Marc Guéhi (City)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Nico Gonzalez (City)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Marc Guéhi (City)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Leeds have managed five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

City have finished with five wins, three defeats and two draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

City beat Leeds 3-1 when they last met at Elland Road. Aside from one draw, City have dominated the previous 3 H2H matches at Elland Road with two wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		5-2-3	3.50	1.90	1.60	8	2	8	2
Manchester City Away Stats		5-2-3	2.90	1.60	1.30	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Leeds vs City team news beforehand. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and injury news right here.

Leeds United Team Page Manchester City Team Page

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