León vs Necaxa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

Liga MX Betting Preview: León vs Necaxa

León meet Necaxa at Estadio Nou Camp, with kick-off set for 20:06 on Saturday 28 February.

Necaxa +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against León the aim at betting odds of -116.

Club León were winners in their last game. A 2-1 scoreline was enjoyed at home to Santos Laguna at Estadio Nou Camp. Ignacio Ambriz's side had 49% of possession and four shots on target, while Daniel Arcila and Diber Cambindo each scored one goal.

Club Necaxa were beaten 3-0 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Deportivo Toluca at Estadio Victoria. The Aguascalientes outfit recorded five shots on goal and had 42% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

León overcame Necaxa away when the sides last clashed. It was a 1-0 scoreline at Estadio Victoria. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in six León wins, two draws and two Necaxa successes.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Necaxa	7	3	0	4	9	11	-2	9:11	9
13	León	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3	7:10	7

View Full Table

2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts. Club León have had 51.9% possession and 4.5 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts, while being awarded 5.5 corners.

Top scorer Diber Cambindo has found the net 3 times, with Daniel Arcila, Rogelio Funes Mori, Ismael Diaz and Bryan Colula getting 1 goals each. Fernando Beltran and Ivan Moreno are tied for the most assists on 2.

Club Necaxa have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.8 goals from 8.3 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. Martin Varini's team average 50.7% possession, 5.9 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 7.3 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.

Tomas Badaloni has landed 4 goals, Julian Carranza 3, with Ricardo Monreal and two others scoring 2. Look no further than Franco Rossano for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

León predicted lineup (4-3-3): Jordan Garcia (GK), Bryan Colula, Sebastian Vegas, Jaine Stiven Barreiro, Salvador Reyes, Ivan Moreno, Rodrigo Echeverria, Daniel Arcila, Juan Pablo Domínguez, Diber Cambindo, Nicolas Javier Vallejo.

Necaxa predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Luis Ezequiel Unsain (GK), Raúl Martínez, Alexis Peña, Agustín Oliveros, Ricardo Monreal, Danny Leyva, Lorenzo Faravelli, Cristian Calderón, Israel Tello, Agustin Almendra, Julián Carranza.

León vs Necaxa Prediction & Betting Tips

Be fully equipped for León vs Necaxa with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, valuable corners advice, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We’ll divide our stake by wagering Necaxa +0.25 at odds of -116 for this Asian Handicap wager. We’re expecting to see a quality performance from the away team in this Liga MX showdown.

The latest Liga MX injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Key León vs Necaxa league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Necaxa in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Necaxa in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by León in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by León in 16 of their last 20 games.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 53.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

The bookmakers give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.

Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Necaxa Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -116 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 02:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

León 0 - 1 Necaxa

Necaxa are available at +800 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Julián Carranza to Score +280

Julián Carranza (Necaxa) has scored three goals in his past six Liga MX matches. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +280 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Julián Carranza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+750

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners +102

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in three consecutive León home matches, while there has been an average of 8.80 corners in the previous five games involving Necaxa. There are odds of +102 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

León

Total

10.00 4.50 5.50

Home

9.80 4.50 5.30

Away

9.80 5.10 4.70

Necaxa

Total

11.10 5.90 5.20

Home

10.30 5.60 4.70

Away

9.60 4.70 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-103

León Corners

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-167

Necaxa Corners

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-135

Most Corners

1

-128

X

+650

2

+130

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

León vs Necaxa Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Club León are the +117 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 46% chance of winning this Liga MX encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Club Necaxa are trading at +205.

León and Necaxa can be backed at -179 and +116 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. BTTS Yes is on offer at -172 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Liga MX games, with the best football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

+117

X

+250

2

+205

Half-Time Result

1

+163

X

+120

2

+245

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-400

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-179

2

+116

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-114

2 Hcp +0.25

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-135

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+120

Diber Armando Cambindo is available at +165 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +450 to find the net first.

Diber Armando Cambindo (León)

First

+165

Anytime

+450

Ismael Díaz (León)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Rogelio Funes Mori (León)

First

+210

Anytime

+540

Julián Carranza (Necaxa)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Tomás Badaloni (Necaxa)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Rodrigo Echeverría (León)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Jordi Cortizo de la Piedra (León)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Danny Leyva (Necaxa)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Ángel Estrada (León)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Fernando Beltrán (León)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Ricardo Monreal (Necaxa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Kevin Rosero (Necaxa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Juan Domínguez (León)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Kevin Gutiérrez (Necaxa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Bryan Colula (León)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Rogelio Cortéz (Necaxa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Iván Moreno (León)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Salvador Reyes (León)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Lorenzo Faravelli (Necaxa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Stiven Barreiro (León)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Emilio Lara (Necaxa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

León have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

Necaxa have collected six defeats, three wins and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 2.50.

The last meeting at Estadio Nou Camp saw León and Necaxa draw 1-1. We’ve seen five of 7 H2H meetings at Estadio Nou Camp go the way of León, with two draws also taking place.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
León Home Stats		3-3-4	3.30	1.60	1.70	8	2	9	1
Necaxa Away Stats		3-1-6	4.10	1.60	2.50	8	2	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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León vs Necaxa Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the León vs Rayos team news beforehand. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups along with the latest injury developments.

León Team Page Club Necaxa Team Page

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