León vs Necaxa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026
Liga MX Betting Preview: León vs Necaxa
León meet Necaxa at Estadio Nou Camp, with kick-off set for 20:06 on Saturday 28 February.
Necaxa +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against León the aim at betting odds of -116.
Club León were winners in their last game. A 2-1 scoreline was enjoyed at home to Santos Laguna at Estadio Nou Camp. Ignacio Ambriz's side had 49% of possession and four shots on target, while Daniel Arcila and Diber Cambindo each scored one goal.
Club Necaxa were beaten 3-0 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Deportivo Toluca at Estadio Victoria. The Aguascalientes outfit recorded five shots on goal and had 42% possession.
Head-to-Head Statistics
León overcame Necaxa away when the sides last clashed. It was a 1-0 scoreline at Estadio Victoria. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in six León wins, two draws and two Necaxa successes.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | León |
14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16:24 | 19 |
| 12 | Necaxa |
14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 17:20 | 16 |
2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts. Club León have had 51.9% possession and 4.5 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts, while being awarded 5.5 corners.
Top scorer Diber Cambindo has found the net 3 times, with Daniel Arcila, Rogelio Funes Mori, Ismael Diaz and Bryan Colula getting 1 goals each. Fernando Beltran and Ivan Moreno are tied for the most assists on 2.
Club Necaxa have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.8 goals from 8.3 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. Martin Varini's team average 50.7% possession, 5.9 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 7.3 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.
Tomas Badaloni has landed 4 goals, Julian Carranza 3, with Ricardo Monreal and two others scoring 2. Look no further than Franco Rossano for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
León confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Oscar Garcia (GK), Jose David Ramirez, Jaine Barreiro, Sebastian Vegas, Salvador Reyes, Ivan Moreno, Rodrigo Echeverria, Daniel Arcila, Ismael Diaz, Diber Cambindo, Nicolas Vallejo.
Necaxa confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Ezequiel Unsain (GK), Raul Martinez, Alexis Pena, Agustin Oliveros, Israel Tello, Danny Leyva, Lorenzo Faravelli, Cristian Calderon, Ricardo Monreal, Agustin Almendra, Tomas Badaloni.
León vs Necaxa Prediction & Betting Tips
Be fully equipped for León vs Necaxa with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, valuable corners advice, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
We’ll divide our stake by wagering Necaxa +0.25 at odds of -116 for this Asian Handicap wager. We’re expecting to see a quality performance from the away team in this Liga MX showdown.
The latest Liga MX injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.
Key León vs Necaxa league stats:
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 53.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
The bookmakers give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.
Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
Necaxa are available at +800 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.
Player Prop Picks
Julián Carranza (Necaxa) has scored three goals in his past six Liga MX matches. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +280 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in three consecutive León home matches, while there has been an average of 8.80 corners in the previous five games involving Necaxa. There are odds of +102 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.
León
Necaxa
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a same-game multi, have a play on Necaxa on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, both teams to score No as well as less than 9.5 corners to be taken.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
León vs Necaxa Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Club León are the +112 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 47% chance of winning this Liga MX encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Club Necaxa are trading at +215.
León and Necaxa can be backed at -192 and +125 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. BTTS Yes is on offer at -167 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Liga MX games, with the best football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
Diber Armando Cambindo is available at +150 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +420 to find the net first.
León have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.70.
Necaxa have collected six defeats, three wins and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 2.50.
The last meeting at Estadio Nou Camp saw León and Necaxa draw 1-1. We’ve seen five of 7 H2H meetings at Estadio Nou Camp go the way of León, with two draws also taking place.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
León Home Stats |
3-3-4 | 3.30 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 1 | |
Necaxa Away Stats |
3-1-6 | 4.10 | 1.60 | 2.50 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 16/08 2025 Necaxa 0 León 1
- Liga MX: 15/03 2025 Necaxa 2 León 1
- Liga MX: 22/07 2024 León 1 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 01/04 2024 Necaxa 1 León 2
- Liga MX: 03/09 2023 León 1 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 17/01 2023 León 2 Necaxa 1
- Liga MX: 03/09 2022 Necaxa 3 León 2
- Liga MX: 26/02 2022 Necaxa 0 León 1
- Liga MX: 07/11 2021 León 3 Necaxa 0
- Liga MX: 16/03 2021 León 3 Necaxa 1
León League Stats
Necaxa League Stats
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 50.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for León this season are Ismael Diaz (5), James Rodriguez (3), Jose Alvarado (2)
- Top Assistors for León this season are Ivan Moreno (2), James Rodriguez (2), Ismael Diaz (1)
León vs Necaxa Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the León vs Rayos team news beforehand. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups along with the latest injury developments.
León Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Necaxa Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
León Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Necaxa Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
León Substitutes
- 1Jordan Garcia
- 2Valentin Gauthier
- 6Fernando Beltran
- 8Juan Dominguez
- 16Jordi Cortizo
- 18Rogelio Funes Mori
- 19Jose Alvarado
- 24Angel Estrada
- 29Jose Rodriguez
- 185Christopher Mora
Necaxa Substitutes
- 5Kevin Gutierrez
- 7Kevin Rosero
- 12Luis Jimenez
- 17Rogelio Cortez
- 20Francisco Mendez
- 24Franco Rossano
- 26Emilio Lara
- 35Javier Ruiz
- 197Arath Moreno
- 198Bryan Casas
Previous León Lineups
Previous Necaxa Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
León Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ignacio Ambriz
Necaxa Player Stats & Squad
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:18 | 37 |
| 2 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35:16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 32:20 | 35 |
| 4 | América | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | 34 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 33:29 | 31 |
| 6 | Guadalajara | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 7 | Tijuana | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 29:23 | 24 |
| 8 | Juárez | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:28 | 23 |
| 9 | Pachuca | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:21 | 22 |
| 10 | Pumas | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 24:25 | 21 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 22:28 | 20 |
| 12 | Querétaro | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:29 | 20 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24:32 | 17 |
| 14 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24:35 | 17 |
| 15 | San Luis | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 25:29 | 16 |
| 16 | Mazatlán | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | 14 |
| 17 | León | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14:31 | 13 |
| 18 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21:42 | 12 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 28 |
| 4 | Pumas | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:15 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:9 | 27 |
| 6 | Tigres | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 20 |
| 7 | América | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | 19 |
| 9 | León | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | 19 |
| 10 | Tijuana | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 11 | Juárez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | 16 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | 16 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:17 | 15 |
| 14 | San Luis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | 15 |
| 15 | Querétaro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlán | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:35 | 9 |
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