León vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Oct 2026
León vs Toluca Predictions
León are a confident choice with a +0.5 goal start at odds of -122. They should be able to win or draw in their clash against Toluca, with this Asian Handicap prediction looking like a value bet and we expect the line to be covered.
Continue reading for our complete León vs Toluca betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
León vs Toluca Preview
León take on Toluca at Estadio Nou Camp, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Saturday 24 October.
Club León won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. It was on the road against Tigres UANL at El Volcán. Ignacio Ambriz's side ended up with just 29% possession and had five shots on target, while Ismael Diaz and Diber Cambindo each scored one goal.
Deportivo Toluca drew 2-2 in their previous game. This was at home against Club Tijuana at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Los Diablos Rojos enjoyed a mind-boggling 76% of possession and managed six shots on goal, with Federico Vinas and Helinho finding the net.
H2H: 4-1 Victory for Toluca in Last Head-to-Head
Toluca have claimed back-to-back wins over León. A 4-1 home win at Estadio Nemesio Diez came after a 4-2 victory away at Estadio Nou Camp. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen five draws, four Toluca wins and one León victory.
| Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |  Toluca |
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 28:18 | 22 |
| 5 |  León |
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 20:17 | 21 |
Club León have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts. La Fiera have averaged 47.9% possession and 3.6 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.3 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 14.8 attempts and 6.6 corners.
Jose Alvarado is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Ismael Diaz, Diber Cambindo and Daniel Arcila each have 3. Fernando Beltran and Diber Cambindo are tied for the most assists on 2.
Deportivo Toluca have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 2.2 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's team have averaged 52.2% possession, 7.8 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts.
Federico Vinas has recorded 6 goals, Helinho 4, with Paulinho and Alexis Vega both managing 3. Helinho and Nicolas Castro have both managed 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
León predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Oscar Damián García (GK), Ivan Moreno, Jhohan Romaña, Juan Guevara, Sebastian Vegas, Ismael Díaz, Edgar Guerra, Rodrigo Echeverria, Fernando Beltrán, Daniel Arcila, José Alfonso Alvarado.
Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Diego Barbosa, Federico Pereira, Everardo del Villar, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Nicolas Castro, Helinho, Jesús Angulo, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Paulinho.
Main Match Prediction
León +0.5 can deliver a return for this Liga MX clash. We’ll side with the home team on the Asian Handicap, with the stats backing up this selection which is on offer at odds of -122.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The football betting tips stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each side. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent Liga MX stats which can also act as a guide.
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 54.9% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
If you’re in search of a larger price, there are lots of options for those wanting to sell goals. The wager is riskier but will provide a bigger reward should it win.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Toluca
An exciting wager could be the game to end in a 1-1 draw at odds of +525. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca) is available to have a minimum of one shot on goal at -100. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.
Helinho (Toluca) has scored two goals in his past four Liga MX games. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +260 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average 14.40 corners in the past five Toluca matches, while the last five León games have averaged 11.00. We think it’s achievable that the sides will cover the Total Corners line and there are odds of -133 available.
León
Toluca
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up different selections in the following same-game multi: León with the +0.5 Asian Handicap, BTTS Yes and Jesus Ricardo Angulo (Toluca) to finish with one or more shots on target.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
León vs Toluca Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this Liga MX encounter, the bookmakers have Deportivo Toluca as the -109 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 52% chance of triumphing. Club León are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +245.
Toluca can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -238. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, León are +150.
There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -213 on the BTTS market.
The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Liga MX game and take your pick.
João Paulo Paulinho can be backed to find the net anytime at +125, with +390 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
Stats: Last 10 Liga MX matches only.
León have clocked up six wins and four losses in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
Toluca have finished with five defeats, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.60.
Toluca overcame León 4-2 when the sides last met at Estadio Nou Camp. The previous 9 H2H games at Estadio Nou Camp have ended in four León victories, three draws and two Toluca wins.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| León Home Stats |
6-0-4 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.60 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
| Toluca Away Stats |
3-2-5 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Liga MX: 26/04 2026 Toluca 4 León 1
- Liga MX: 05/10 2025 León 2 Toluca 4
- Liga MX: 09/02 2025 León 3 Toluca 3
- Liga MX: 03/11 2024 Toluca 2 León 2
- Liga MX: 04/02 2024 Toluca 4 León 1
- Liga MX: 22/10 2023 León 1 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 29/01 2023 Toluca 0 León 0
- Liga MX: 27/07 2022 León 0 Toluca 1
- Liga MX: 02/05 2022 León 4 Toluca 4
- Liga MX: 31/10 2021 Toluca 0 León 0
León League Stats
Toluca League Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 6.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 13.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for León this season are Daniel Arcila (4), Diber Cambindo (4), Jose Alvarado (4)
- Top Assistors for León this season are Diber Cambindo (2), Fernando Beltran (2), Daniel Arcila (1)
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León vs Toluca Lineups & Team News
León Predicted Lineup 4-1-4-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
León Predicted Lineup 4-1-4-1
Deportivo Toluca Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous León Lineups
Previous Toluca Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
León Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ignacio Ambriz
Toluca Player Stats & Squad
Liga MX Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 32:16 | 27 |
| 2 | Guadalajara | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29:22 | 23 |
| 4 | Toluca | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28:18 | 22 |
| 5 | León | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:17 | 20 |
| 8 | Querétaro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Tijuana | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 11 | Pumas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 | San Luis | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Puebla | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:17 | 16 |
| 14 | Tigres | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 15 | Atlante | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 16 | Pachuca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 18 | Juárez | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8:32 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 13 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 6 | León | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 7 | América | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 8 | Toluca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Tigres | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 10 | San Luis | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Querétaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Pumas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Atlante | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 14 | Puebla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlas | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 16 | Necaxa | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Juárez | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | 4 |
| 18 | Pachuca | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 3 |
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