Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Liverpool vs Burnley
Liverpool welcome Burnley to Anfield, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 17 January.
Burnley +1.75 at -100 stand out when they go up against Liverpool, with half our Asian Handicap money going on +1.5 and the other half placed at +2.0. The underdogs can deliver a solid performance.
Liverpool drew on the road in their last Premier League game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Arsenal at Emirates Stadium. The Reds enjoyed 52% of possession but failed to have a shot on target.
Five days ago, Liverpool hosted Barnsley in the FA Cup and won 4-1.
Burnley hosted Manchester United in their previous Premier League game, ending in a 2-2 draw at Turf Moor. The Lancashire side were restricted to just 35% possession and one shot on goal, while Ayden Heaven (own goal) and Jaidon Anthony were both on target.
In the last outing, Burnley landed a 5-1 win at home to Millwall in the FA Cup.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Liverpool have six straight wins against Burnley. In the last clash, away side Liverpool landed a 1-0 victory at Turf Moor. The past 10 H2H games have involved eight Liverpool victories, a single draw and one Burnley win.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool |
28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 47:37 | 48 |
| 19 | Burnley |
28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32:56 | 19 |
Liverpool have 4 wins, 1 loss and 5 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts. Arne Slot's team have averaged 61.3% possession, 579.1 passes and 5.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.1 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 10.1 attempts and 3.8 corners.
Top goalscorer Hugo Ekitike has found the net 5 times, with Cody Gakpo, Florian Wirtz and Alexander Isak scoring 2 each. Leading assistor is Joseph Gomez with 2, while goalkeeper Alisson Becker has 4 clean sheets.
Burnley have 7 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 2.7 shots on goal, 9.7 attempts and 0.8 goals. The Clarets average 44.5% possession, 401.2 passes, 4.8 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 14.9 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.
Zian Flemming has scored 2 goals, followed by Jaidon Anthony, Josh Laurent, Armando Broja and Oliver Sonne on 1. Marcus Edwards has had 2 assists, with Martin Dubravka notching one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Liverpool confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker (GK), Jeremie Frimpong, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Curtis Jones, Cody Gakpo, Hugo Ekitike.
Burnley confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Martin Dubravka (GK), Axel Tuanzebe, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino, Lucas Pires, Marcus Edwards, Armando Broja, Jaidon Anthony.
Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips
Be fully equipped for Liverpool vs Burnley with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, valuable corners advice, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
We expect Burnley to play well as outsiders and you can back them at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -100. This looks like a value selection when it comes to this Premier League encounter.
The formbook always proves to be helpful when it comes to providing football betting tips. The latest Premier League team news is also vital, with the stats helping to shape our opinion too.
Key Liverpool vs Burnley league stats:
According to the latest odds, there’s a 50% likelihood of our pick winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you’re looking for a good alternative to backing Burnley on the Asian Handicap, then consider the Winning Margin market. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.
Start your betting journey with value. Our guide features the best free bets and sign-up bonuses available today.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Liverpool. You can secure odds of +600 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
Player Prop Picks
Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in five straight Premier League games on home soil. There is value if you want to go under the Shots on Target line and this is now available at +125.
Florian Wirtz (Liverpool) has netted two goals in his past five Premier League games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +210 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 2.5 corners line has been covered by Burnley in seven consecutive away matches, with Liverpool conceding over 2.5 corners in their past four games. The Burnley Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -130.
Liverpool
Burnley
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this same-game multi including Burnley with the +1.75 Asian Handicap, BTTS No and Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) failing to record a shot on target.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Liverpool vs Burnley Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Liverpool have been priced up as the overwhelming -500 favourites for this Premier League clash. This means the bookies give them a 83% chance of claiming victory. Burnley are the +1300 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
You can back Liverpool at -167 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Burnley are +800 and the draw is chalked up at +188.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. As long as one team or more fails to score, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market will pay out at -147.
There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
Hugo Ekitike is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +260. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is -125.
Liverpool have not lost at Anfield in the past five matches. The Reds have finished with five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
Burnley have not won in the past five away matches. The Lancashire side have clocked up eight losses, one win and one draw in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 2.60.
The past meeting at Anfield saw Liverpool defeat Burnley 3-1. In the previous 5 H2H meetings at Anfield, we have seen three Liverpool triumphs, one Burnley win and one draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liverpool Home Stats |
5-2-3 | 2.60 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
Burnley Away Stats |
1-1-8 | 3.80 | 1.20 | 2.60 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 14/09 2025 Burnley 0 Liverpool 1
- Premier League: 10/02 2024 Liverpool 3 Burnley 1
- Premier League: 26/12 2023 Burnley 0 Liverpool 2
- Premier League: 13/02 2022 Burnley 0 Liverpool 1
- Premier League: 21/08 2021 Liverpool 2 Burnley 0
- Premier League: 19/05 2021 Burnley 0 Liverpool 3
- Premier League: 21/01 2021 Liverpool 0 Burnley 1
- Premier League: 11/07 2020 Liverpool 1 Burnley 1
- Premier League: 31/08 2019 Burnley 0 Liverpool 3
- Premier League: 10/03 2019 Liverpool 4 Burnley 2
Liverpool League Stats
Burnley League Stats
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 2.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 6.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 61.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 61.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 40.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Liverpool this season are Hugo Ekitike (8), Cody Gakpo (5), Mohamed Salah (4)
- Top Assistors for Liverpool this season are Cody Gakpo (3), Mohamed Salah (3), Alexis Mac Allister (2)
Liverpool vs Burnley Lineups & Team News
Stay informed and review the Liverpool vs Burnley team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League together with updated injury news.
Liverpool Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Liverpool Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Liverpool Substitutes
- 2Joseph Gomez
- 3Wataru Endo
- 10Alexis Mac Allister
- 14Federico Chiesa
- 25Giorgi Mamardashvili
- 26Andrew Robertson
- 42Trey Nyoni
- 47Calvin Ramsay
- 73Rio Ngumoha
Burnley Substitutes
- 3Quilindschy Hartman
- 7Jacob Bruun Larsen
- 9Lyle Foster
- 13Max Weiss
- 17Loum Tchaouna
- 18Hjalmar Ekdal
- 28Hannibal Mejbri
- 29Josh Laurent
- 35Ashley Barnes
Previous Liverpool Lineups
Previous Burnley Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Liverpool Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Arne Slot
Burnley Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 58:22 | 64 |
| 2 | Man City | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 57:25 | 59 |
| 3 | Man United | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 50:38 | 51 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 38:30 | 51 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 47:37 | 48 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 49:33 | 45 |
| 7 | Brentford | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 44:40 | 43 |
| 8 | Everton | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 32:33 | 40 |
| 9 | Fulham | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40:42 | 40 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 44:46 | 39 |
| 11 | Brighton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 37 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 29:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40:42 | 36 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:34 | 35 |
| 15 | Leeds | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 37:47 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 38:43 | 29 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26:41 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:54 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32:56 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 29 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20:51 | 13 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33:9 | 35 |
| 3 | Man United | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:16 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 29 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:16 | 27 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:13 | 26 |
| 7 | Fulham | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Brentford | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Brighton | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 22:15 | 24 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:16 | 23 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26:23 | 23 |
| 13 | Leeds | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:19 | 22 |
| 14 | Everton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:19 | 16 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:19 | 13 |
| 17 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 19 | Burnley | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | 9 |
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