Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 14 Oct 2025

Liga 1 Betting Preview: Melgar vs Alianza Universidad

Melgar host Alianza Universidad in this Peruvian Liga 1 game, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Tuesday 14 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Over 2.5 Has to Be The Way Forward

It’s hard to ignore odds of -141 when it comes to betting Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Melgar and Alianza Universidad will produce a combined three goals and we’ll confidently play this selection.

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Most Recent H2H Clash Ended 1-1

Melgar played Atlético Grau on their travels in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw.

Alianza Universidad have back-to-back Liga 1 losses away from home. Their previous league match was at home where they recorded a 2-1 win over Alianza Lima.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Melgar are unbeaten when it comes to the past three games against Alianza UDH, with a 1-1 draw occurring in the last clash. The previous 5 H2H meetings have involved three Melgar wins, a single draw and one Alianza UDH victory.

Liga 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Melgar	13	4	6	3	18	13	5	18:13	18
14	Alianza UDH	12	4	1	7	14	24	-10	14:24	13

View Full Table

Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Melgar vs Alianza Universidad betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s value available when it comes to betting the -141 that there are Over 2.5 Goals. The sides should combine to find the net at least three times during this Liga 1 encounter in order to land a return.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Liga 1 form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Melgar vs Alianza Universidad league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Melgar games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Alianza UDH games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Alianza UDH games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Alianza UDH games.

Over 2.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 58.5% likelihood of our pick winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Want an alternative to Over 2.5 Goals? Why not consider the Both Teams to Score market, with bettors needing both sides to find the net in order for the wager to land a return.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -141 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Melgar 2 - 1 Alianza UDH

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Melgar to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +600, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cristian Bordacahar To Score +180

Cristian Bordacahar (Melgar) can be wagered at +180 to be among the goals. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Cristian Bordacahar Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+180

First

+450

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Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make Melgar Big Favourites

Melgar are the overwhelming -270 favourites to win this Liga 1 clash which means a 73% probability of claiming a victory according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. For those wanting to back Alianza Universidad, you will find +650 about the outsider.

Melgar are -123 when it comes to -1.25 on the Asian Handicap. A full payout happens if they beat Alianza UDH by at least two, while a one-goal victory means a half stake refund.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. If you’re anticipating that one team or more will draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is chalked up at -139.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Liga 1 match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-270

X

+375

2

+650

Half-Time Result

1

-112

X

+150

2

+550

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-667

X2

+175

Draw No Bet

1

-833

2

+425

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-123

2 Hcp +1.25

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+106

Over 2.5

-141

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-102

No

-139

Johnny Vidales Heads First Goalscorer Market

Johnny Vidales is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +290. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +116.

Johnny Vidales (Melgar)

First

+116

Anytime

+290

Cristian Bordacahar (Melgar)

First

+180

Anytime

+450

José Ryu Yabiku Sánchez (Melgar)

First

+180

Anytime

+450

Percy Liza (Melgar)

First

+195

Anytime

+475

Gregorio Rodríguez (Melgar)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Mariano Barreda (Melgar)

First

+215

Anytime

+525

Tomas Martinez (Melgar)

First

+265

Anytime

+650

Gian García (Melgar)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Jhamir D'Arrigo (Melgar)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Alexis Arias (Melgar)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Yorleys Mena (Alianza UDH)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Andersson Pumacajia (Melgar)

First

+410

Anytime

+1000

Cesar Adriano Doy (Melgar)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Pier Barrios (Melgar)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Marcos Lliuya (Alianza UDH)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Nelson Cabanillas (Melgar)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Horacio Orzán (Melgar)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Walter Tandazo (Melgar)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Alec Deneumostier (Melgar)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Diego Rodríguez (Melgar)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Jeremy Canela (Alianza UDH)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Nilton Ramirez (Alianza UDH)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Ray Gómez (Alianza UDH)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Rick Campodónico (Alianza UDH)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Alejandro Ramos (Melgar)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

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Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Melgar vs Alianza UDH team news before betting. We’ll update you on the confirmed Liga 1 lineups as well as all recent injury developments.

Melgar Team Page Alianza Universidad Team Page