Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Sep 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough host Stoke in this Championship clash at Riverside Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 30 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

A Tight Game In Store

Middlesbrough and Stoke may not score many goals between them and that means we will wager on Under 2.5. This Total Goals pick could be the best plan of action and you can secure a price of -125.

Going with our Total Goals selection? Our BetMGM review has all the details—and the promo code can add extra value to your stake.

Boro Won Previous H2H Clash

Middlesbrough played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at St. Mary's against Southampton. Rob Edwards' team had one shot on target and 45% possession, with Kaly Sene registering the goal.

Stoke City drew their previous game which was at home. The action at bet365 Stadium ended 1-1 against Norwich City. The Potters had six shots on goal and recorded 58% possession, while Sorba Thomas found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Middlesbrough have triumphed in the last two encounters against Stoke. The most recent was a 3-1 away win at bet365 Stadium after a 2-0 home victory at Riverside Stadium. We’ve seen the past 10 H2H matches feature four Middlesbrough wins, three draws and three Stoke triumphs.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Middlesbrough	7	5	2	0	12	5	7	12:5	17
3	Stoke	7	4	1	2	10	5	5	10:5	13

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Middlesbrough have had 50.6% possession and 5.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.9 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts, while being awarded 4.6 corners.

The three top scorers are Kaly Sene, Tommy Conway and Finn Azaz, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Leading assistor is Hayden Hackney with 3.

Stoke have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 50.6% possession, 5.7 corners taken and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.

Sorba Thomas has top scored with 3, while Lewis Baker, Million Manhoef and Divin Mubama are next on 2. Sorba Thomas is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Middlesbrough predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Solomon Brynn (GK), Luke Ayling, George Edmundson, Alfie Jones, Callum Brittain, Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Matthew Targett, Morgan Whittaker, Tommy Conway, David Strelec.

Stoke predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Junior Tchamadeu, Bosun Lawal, Ben Wilmot, Aaron Cresswell, Tomas Rigo, Tatsuki Seko, Million Manhoef, Joon-ho Bae, Sorba Thomas, Divin Mubama.

Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Middlesbrough vs Stoke bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the chance to wager Under 2.5 for this Championship clash. This bet offers us the chance to take odds of -125 and we think a return could definitely be on the cards.

Our Championship experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

Key Middlesbrough vs Stoke league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Middlesbrough games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Middlesbrough games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Stoke games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Stoke games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Stoke games.

Under 2.5 Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

A larger price can be obtained by selecting a different bet where Under 2.5 Goals is combined with BTTS No. This wager requires at least one team to fail to score in order for the bet to land.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Stoke

Middlesbrough can be backed at +575 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Morgan Whittaker Under 0.5 Shots On Target -147

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough) can be wagered at -147 to finish without a shot on goal. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.

Latest Morgan Whittaker Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-147

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Tommy Conway to Score +165

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough) has racked up two goals in his past five Championship matches. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +165 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Tommy Conway Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+165

First

+400

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-270

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Corners Prediction

Middlesbrough Under 5.5 Corners -104

Middlesbrough have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in five consecutive matches, with Stoke conceding under 5.5 corners in their past four games. The Middlesbrough Team Corners line looks too big and we’re happy to go under this number at odds of -104.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Middlesbrough

Total

10.10 5.50 4.60

Home

9.80 6.30 3.50

Away

9.70 4.70 5.00

Stoke

Total

9.70 5.70 4.00

Home

8.70 5.20 3.50

Away

9.50 4.70 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-141

Middlesbrough Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-110

Stoke Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+700

2

+215

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Middlesbrough vs Stoke Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Boro Favourites to Win According to Bookies

The favourites have a 52% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Middlesbrough chalked up at -109 to land a win in this Championship clash. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +285 about Stoke City.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 option is the same as a win on the 1x2 market. Middlesbrough are -109 when it comes to this selection, with their opponents Stoke +0.5 at -114 which means the draw is also included with this pick.

You’re able to bet on Under 2.5 Goals or Over 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at -122 and No at -114.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Championship match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

-109

X

+255

2

+285

Half-Time Result

1

+150

X

+120

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-417

12

-370

X2

-125

Draw No Bet

1

-244

2

+170

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-109

2 Hcp +0.5

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-125

Over 2.5

-103

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-114

Tommy Conway Heads First Goalscorer Market

There’s the chance to back Tommy Conway at +400 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

First

+165

Anytime

+400

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

First

+195

Anytime

+420

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Jamie Donley (Stoke)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

+150

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-128

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-133

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-147

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-143

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-147

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-164

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-175

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-189

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-200

Jamie Donley (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-233

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-270

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Middlesbrough Proving Hard to Beat at Home

Middlesbrough have collected seven victories, two losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Stoke have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When the teams previously met at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough defeated Stoke 2-0. The previous 8 H2H meetings at Riverside Stadium have included five wins for Middlesbrough, two triumphs for Stoke and a single draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Middlesbrough Home Stats		7-1-2	2.00	1.10	0.90	5	5	4	6
Stoke Away Stats		3-2-5	2.80	1.10	1.70	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Middlesbrough vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Middlesbrough vs Stoke team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Championship lineups and injury news right here.

Middlesbrough Team Page Stoke City Team Page