Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Sep 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

League leaders Middlesbrough host third-placed Stoke in this Championship clash at Riverside Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 30 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Middlesbrough and Stoke may not score many goals between them and that means we will wager on Under 2.5. This Total Goals pick could be the best plan of action and you can secure a price of -125.

Middlesbrough played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at St. Mary's against Southampton. Rob Edwards' team had one shot on target and 45% possession, with Kaly Sene registering the goal.

Stoke City drew their previous game which was at home. The action at bet365 Stadium ended 1-1 against Norwich City. The Potters had six shots on goal and recorded 58% possession, while Sorba Thomas found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Middlesbrough have triumphed in the last two encounters against Stoke. The most recent was a 3-1 away win at bet365 Stadium after a 2-0 home victory at Riverside Stadium. We’ve seen the past 10 H2H matches feature four Middlesbrough wins, three draws and three Stoke triumphs.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72	47	25	72:47	80
17	Stoke	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5	51:56	55

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Middlesbrough have had 50.6% possession and 5.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.9 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts, while being awarded 4.6 corners.

The three top scorers are Kaly Sene, Tommy Conway and Finn Azaz, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Leading assistor is Hayden Hackney with 3.

Stoke have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 50.6% possession, 5.7 corners taken and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.

Sorba Thomas has top scored with 3, while Lewis Baker, Million Manhoef and Divin Mubama are next on 2. Sorba Thomas is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Middlesbrough confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Solomon Brynn (GK), Luke Ayling, George Edmundson, Alfie Jones, Matt Targett, Aidan Morris, Alan Browne, Hayden Hackney, Sverre Halseth Nypan, David Strelec, Tommy Conway.

Stoke confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Bosun Lawal, Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Eric Bocat, Ben Pearson, Tatsuki Seko, Sorba Thomas, Jun-Ho Bae, Lamine Cisse, Robert Bozenik.

Middlesbrough vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Middlesbrough vs Stoke bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the chance to wager Under 2.5 for this Championship clash. This bet offers us the chance to take odds of -125 and we think a return could definitely be on the cards.

Our Championship experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

Key Middlesbrough vs Stoke league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Middlesbrough games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Middlesbrough games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Stoke games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Stoke games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Stoke games.

The best football betting sites make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

A larger price can be obtained by selecting a different bet where Under 2.5 Goals is combined with BTTS No. This wager requires at least one team to fail to score in order for the bet to land.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 28, 21:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Stoke

Middlesbrough can be backed at +575 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Morgan Whittaker Under 0.5 Shots On Target -147

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough) can be wagered at -147 to finish without a shot on goal. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.

Latest Morgan Whittaker Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-156

Shots

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

---

Tommy Conway to Score +165

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough) has racked up two goals in his past five Championship matches. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +165 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Tommy Conway Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+165

First

+400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

+155

Shots

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Middlesbrough Under 5.5 Corners -104

Middlesbrough have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in five consecutive matches, with Stoke conceding under 5.5 corners in their past four games. The Middlesbrough Team Corners line looks too big and we’re happy to go under this number at odds of -104.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Middlesbrough

Total

10.10 5.50 4.60

Home

9.80 6.30 3.50

Away

9.70 4.70 5.00

Stoke

Total

9.70 5.70 4.00

Home

8.70 5.20 3.50

Away

9.50 4.70 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+104

Middlesbrough Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-110

Stoke Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-213

X

+700

2

+230

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Middlesbrough vs Stoke Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites have a 54% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Middlesbrough chalked up at -118 to land a win in this Championship clash. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +310 about Stoke City.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 option is the same as a win on the 1x2 market. Middlesbrough are -116 when it comes to this selection, with their opponents Stoke +0.5 at -106 which means the draw is also included with this pick.

You’re able to bet on Under 2.5 Goals or Over 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -127 on the Both Teams to Score market.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Championship match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

-118

X

+255

2

+310

Half-Time Result

1

+143

X

+120

2

+330

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-370

X2

-116

Draw No Bet

1

-270

2

+188

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-116

2 Hcp +0.5

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-122

Over 2.5

-106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-127

No

-110

There’s the chance to back Tommy Conway at +400 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

First

+400

Anytime

+165

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

First

+410

Anytime

+188

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

First

+700

Anytime

+300

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

First

+800

Anytime

+340

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

First

+850

Anytime

+360

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

First

+850

Anytime

+360

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

First

+850

Anytime

+360

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

First

+900

Anytime

+370

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

First

+950

Anytime

+390

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

First

+900

Anytime

+390

Jamie Donley (Stoke)

First

+900

Anytime

+400

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

First

+900

Anytime

+400

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+1050

Anytime

+500

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

First

+1100

Anytime

+500

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

First

+1300

Anytime

+600

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

First

+1300

Anytime

+650

Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)

First

+1600

Anytime

+750

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Matt Targett (Middlesbrough)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

+155

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+135

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-147

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-154

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-159

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-156

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-167

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-182

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-217

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-217

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-200

Jamie Donley (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-270

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-500

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

-

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Jamie Donley (Stoke)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Stats: Championship matches only
Middlesbrough have collected seven victories, two losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Stoke have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When the teams previously met at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough defeated Stoke 2-0. The previous 8 H2H meetings at Riverside Stadium have included five wins for Middlesbrough, two triumphs for Stoke and a single draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Middlesbrough Home Stats		7-1-2	2.00	1.10	0.90	5	5	4	6
Stoke Away Stats		3-2-5	2.80	1.10	1.70	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Middlesbrough vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Middlesbrough vs Stoke team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Championship lineups and injury news right here.

Middlesbrough Team Page Stoke City Team Page

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