Mirassol vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Apr 2026
Série A Betting Preview: Mirassol vs Bahia
Mirassol host Bahia, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Saturday 11 April.
Bahia +0.25 at -123 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against Mirassol, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.
Mirassol have lost the last five times they have played. They were recently beaten at home to Red Bull Bragantino by a 1-0 scoreline. The Little Lion had most of the ball recording 54% possession and four shots on target.
Three days ago, Mirassol landed a 1-0 win when facing Lanús at home in the Copa Libertadores.
Bahia were defeated in their previous game, losing 2-1 at home to Palmeiras. Rogerio Ceni's side enjoyed 59% possession and had six shots on goal, while David Duarte found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last encounter between Mirassol and Bahia saw the former triumph at home. It was a 5-1 scoreline.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Bahia |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 20 |  Mirassol |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 10:14 | 6 |
1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. Mirassol have had 58.7% possession and 6.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.5 corners.
Top goalscorer is Igor Marques on 3 goals, while Negueba and Nathan Fogaca have both bagged 2. Alesson Batista is the top assists maker with 2.
Bahia have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.3 goals from 10.1 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal. The Salvador club average 51.7% possession, 5.4 corners in their favour and 4.9 corners against, while conceding 1.1 goals from 9.1 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Everaldo and Luciano Juba on 3, with Willian Jose getting 2. Everton Ribeiro and Jean Lucas have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Mirassol predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Walter (GK), Igor Formiga, João Victor, Lucas Oliveira, Reinaldo, Neto Moura, Jose Aldo, Negueba, Eduardo, Alesson, André Luis.
Bahia predicted lineup (4-3-3): Léo Vieira (GK), Nicolás Acevedo, David Duarte, Santi Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba, Caio Alexandre, Everton Ribeiro, Jean Lucas, Cristian Olivera, Everaldo, Erick Pulga.
Mirassol vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips
This Mirassol vs Bahia betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.
Match Prediction
If you echo our view that Bahia can swerve defeat in this Série A encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -123. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.
The Série A experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our football betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.
Key Mirassol vs Bahia league stats:
The best betting sites make it a 55.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
There’s the option to move the line for your pick and this enables bettors to get larger prices. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.
Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
Bahia
An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of Bahia at odds of +750. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Negueba (Mirassol) has registered two goals in his past four Série A games on home soil. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +290.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Mirassol have won the Corner Match Bet in five straight games. Mirassol should be able to register the most corners and there’s an opportunity to land odds of -143.
Mirassol
Bahia
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this bet builder including Bahia with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, at least three goals to be scored merged with Mirassol to win the Corners bet.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Mirassol vs Bahia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a roughly 43% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their +130 betting odds for Mirassol winning this Série A clash. If you’re searching for a different slant, Bahia are available at +200.
You can back Mirassol at -156 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Bahia are +110 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.
The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -156.
The best football betting sites cover Série A games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.
There is +170 available that Nathan Fogaca finds the net at any stage. He is available at +440 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Mirassol League Stats
Bahia League Stats
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 6.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 58.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Mirassol this season are Igor Marques (3), Nathan Fogaca (2), Negueba (2)
- Top Assistors for Mirassol this season are Alesson Batista (2), Gabriel Pires (1), Joao Victor (1)
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Mirassol vs Bahia Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Mirassol vs Bahia before making your bets. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Série A lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Mirassol Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bahia Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Mirassol Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bahia Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Mirassol Lineups
Previous Bahia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Mirassol Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Rafael Guanaes
Bahia Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 25 |
| 2 | São Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | 12 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco da Gama | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitória | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 6 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 15 |
| 3 | São Paulo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Athletico PR | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Grêmio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Atlético MG | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Flamengo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 8 | Vasco da Gama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Vitória | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 10 | Bahia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 11 | Santos | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Chapecoense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 18 | Coritiba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 19 | Internacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 20 | Corinthians | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
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