Mirassol vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Apr 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Mirassol vs Bahia

Mirassol host Bahia at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Saturday 11 April.

Bahia +0.25 at -123 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against Mirassol, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.

Mirassol have lost the last five times they have played. They were recently beaten at home to Red Bull Bragantino by a 1-0 scoreline. The Little Lion had most of the ball recording 54% possession and four shots on target.

Three days ago, Mirassol landed a 1-0 win when facing Lanús at home in the Copa Libertadores.

Bahia were defeated in their previous game, losing 2-1 at home to Palmeiras. Rogerio Ceni's side enjoyed 59% possession and had six shots on goal, while David Duarte found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between Mirassol and Bahia saw the former triumph at home. It was a 5-1 scoreline.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Bahia	17	7	5	5	25	23	2	25:23	26
19	Mirassol	17	4	4	9	18	24	-6	18:24	16

View Full Table

1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. Mirassol have had 58.7% possession and 6.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.5 corners.

Top goalscorer is Igor Marques on 3 goals, while Negueba and Nathan Fogaca have both bagged 2. Alesson Batista is the top assists maker with 2.

Bahia have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.3 goals from 10.1 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal. The Salvador club average 51.7% possession, 5.4 corners in their favour and 4.9 corners against, while conceding 1.1 goals from 9.1 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Everaldo and Luciano Juba on 3, with Willian Jose getting 2. Everton Ribeiro and Jean Lucas have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Mirassol confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Walter (GK), Igor Marques, Joao Victor, Lucas Oliveira, Reinaldo, Jose Aldo, Neto, Negueba, Carlos Eduardo, Edson Carioca, Andre Luis.

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Leo Vieira (GK), Nicolas Acevedo, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Everton Ribeiro, Caio Alexandre, Jean Lucas, Cristian Olivera, Everaldo, Erick Pulga.

Mirassol vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips

This Mirassol vs Bahia betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you echo our view that Bahia can swerve defeat in this Série A encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -123. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.

The Série A experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our football betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Mirassol vs Bahia league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Bahia in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Bahia in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Mirassol in 8 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Mirassol in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Mirassol in 13 of their last 20 games.

The best betting sites make it a 55.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

There’s the option to move the line for your pick and this enables bettors to get larger prices. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Bahia Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -123 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 9, 23:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mirassol 1 - 2 Bahia

An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of Bahia at odds of +750. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Negueba to Score +290

Negueba (Mirassol) has registered two goals in his past four Série A games on home soil. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +290.

Latest Negueba Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+750

Shots

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Mirassol To Have Most Corners -143

Mirassol have won the Corner Match Bet in five straight games. Mirassol should be able to register the most corners and there’s an opportunity to land odds of -143.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Mirassol

Total

9.70 6.20 3.50

Home

11.70 6.50 5.20

Away

9.10 4.80 4.30

Bahia

Total

10.30 5.40 4.90

Home

10.00 6.70 3.30

Away

10.90 4.40 6.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-141

Mirassol Corners

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-135

Bahia Corners

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-130

Most Corners

1

-139

X

+700

2

+138

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Mirassol vs Bahia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

If you’re looking to wager Bahia to secure victory in the Série A, then the bookmakers have chalked them up at +200. Mirassol are on offer at betting odds of +132 and the draw is +235.

You can back Mirassol at -156 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Bahia are +110 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -156.

The best football betting sites cover Série A games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+132

X

+235

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+185

X

+120

2

+255

Double Chance

1X

-270

12

-313

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-156

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-100

2 Hcp +0.25

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-110

Over 2.5

-116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-156

No

+112

There is +170 available that Nathan Fogaca finds the net at any stage. He is available at +430 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Nathan Fogaca (Mirassol)

First

+170

Anytime

+430

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+200

Anytime

+550

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Carlos Eduardo Ferreira de Souza (Mirassol)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Negueba (Mirassol)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Alesson Dos Santos Batista (Mirassol)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Tiquinho Soares (Mirassol)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Reinaldo da Silva (Mirassol)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Antonio Galeano (Mirassol)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Shaylon Cardozo (Mirassol)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Denilson Alves Borges (Mirassol)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Lucas Mugni (Mirassol)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Chico Kim (Mirassol)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Nathan Fogaca (Mirassol)

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-

Carlos Eduardo Ferreira de Souza (Mirassol)

Over 2.5

-122

Under 2.5

-

Negueba (Mirassol)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Alesson Dos Santos Batista (Mirassol)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Shaylon Cardozo (Mirassol)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Antonio Galeano (Mirassol)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Reinaldo da Silva (Mirassol)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Tiquinho Soares (Mirassol)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Denilson Alves Borges (Mirassol)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Mugni (Mirassol)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Chico Kim (Mirassol)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Mirassol vs Bahia Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Mirassol vs Bahia before making your bets. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Série A lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Mirassol Team Page Bahia Team Page

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages