Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Dec 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Monterrey vs Toluca

Monterrey go head-to-head with Toluca at Estadio BBVA, with kick-off set for 22:10 on Wednesday 3 December.

When Monterrey meet Toluca, we will back the hosts at -149 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. With the stake split between 0 and +0.5, they look capable of landing a return by avoiding defeat.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site before jumping in.

Monterrey suffered a defeat in their last game. A 2-1 scoreline occurred on the road at Estadio de la Ciudad de los Deportes against Club América. They had 47% possession and three shots on target, with German Berterame bagging the goal.

Deportivo Toluca drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Estadio Nemesio Diez ended 0-0 against Juárez. Antonio Mohamed's team managed two shots on goal and enjoyed 55% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have claimed consecutive wins over Monterrey and both were home victories at Estadio Nemesio Diez, featuring 6-2 and 2-1 scorelines. It’s been four Toluca wins, four draws and two Monterrey victories in the past 10 H2H matches.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	3	2	1	0	4	1	3	4:1	7
3	Monterrey	3	2	0	1	7	2	5	7:2	6

View Full Table

Rayados have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts. Domenec Torrent's side have averaged 54.7% possession and 3.0 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 2.0 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 7.6 attempts and 4.1 corners.

German Berterame is the top goalscorer with 5, Sergio Canales has 4, with Fidel Ambriz and two other players on 1. Sergio Canales, German Berterame and Lucas Ocampos are the leading assists makers with 2.

Deportivo Toluca have 6 victories and 4 draws, with an average of 5.1 shots on goal, 10.5 attempts and 2.3 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 54.7% possession, 5.5 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 7.6 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal.

Paulinho is top of the team’s scoring charts with 10, while Nicolas Castro and Jesus Angulo both have 3. Alexis Vega has been top assists provider with 4 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Monterrey confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis Cardenas (GK), Ricardo Chavez, John Medina, Sergio Ramos, Gerardo Arteaga, Iker Fimbres, Fidel Ambriz, Oliver Torres, Sergio Canales, Jesus Corona, German Berterame.

Toluca confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Antonio Briseno, Federico Pereira, Everardo Del Villar, Diego Barbosa, Jesus Gallardo, Marcel Ruiz, Franco Romero, Nicolas Castro, Helinho, Paulinho.

Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for Monterrey vs Toluca with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

Monterrey look a good bet in this Liga MX clash and we can back them at -149 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Liga MX form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key Monterrey vs Toluca league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Monterrey in 11 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Monterrey in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Monterrey in 6 of their last 10 games against Toluca.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 59.9% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

The Winning Margin market allows you to bet on Rayados to record victory by a certain number of goals. It’s a different wager and a viable alternative to Asian Handicap.

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Our Match Prediction

Monterrey Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -149 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (10:08, 03 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Monterrey 2 - 1 Toluca

There are betting odds of +650 that Monterrey land a 2-1 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sergio Canales to Score +220

Sergio Canales (Monterrey) has found the net in three consecutive Liga MX games on home soil. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +220 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Sergio Canales Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-111

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Toluca To Have Most Corners +110

On average, Toluca have had 6.80 corners in the past 5 matches, with Monterrey managing an average of 2.20 corners in the last 5 games. We’re keen to take odds of +110 that Toluca are awarded the most corners.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Monterrey

Total

7.20 2.80 4.40

Home

9.30 4.00 5.30

Away

7.40 3.30 4.10

Toluca

Total

10.30 6.10 4.20

Home

9.00 5.60 3.40

Away

10.40 5.10 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-123

Monterrey Corners

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

-115

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-130

Most Corners

1

-105

X

+600

2

+110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Monterrey vs Toluca Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds are available for this Liga MX encounter and you can get +148 that Deportivo Toluca win and +155 that Monterrey triumph. Those wanting to back the draw can get +255.

Toluca and Monterrey can be backed at -127 and -116 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. BTTS Yes is available at -204 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

All of the Liga MX matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+255

2

+148

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+135

2

+185

Double Chance

1X

-222

12

-417

X2

-238

Draw No Bet

1

-116

2

-127

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-149

2 Hcp -0.25

+115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-164

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-204

No

+138

There is +123 available that João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +350.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+123

Anytime

+350

Germán Berterame (Monterrey)

First

+145

Anytime

+420

Sergio Canales (Monterrey)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Sergio Ramos (Monterrey)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Jesús Corona (Monterrey)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1700

Érick Aguirre (Monterrey)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Fidel Ambriz (Monterrey)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Oliver Torres (Monterrey)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Sergio Canales (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-111

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-189

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-192

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Germán Berterame (Monterrey)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-263

Sergio Ramos (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Jesús Corona (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-435

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-455

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-500

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Érick Aguirre (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-476

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-588

Fidel Ambriz (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-714

Oliver Torres (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Monterrey have avoided defeat in their last ten matches at Estadio BBVA. They have secured seven victories and three draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Toluca have not lost on their travels in the past six matches. Antonio Mohamed's team have racked up six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Monterrey enjoyed a 3-2 winning scoreline when last meeting Toluca at Estadio BBVA. The past 7 H2H meetings at Estadio BBVA have involved five Monterrey victories, a single draw and one Toluca win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Monterrey Home Stats		7-3-0	3.00	2.10	0.90	5	5	6	4
Toluca Away Stats		5-2-3	2.10	1.40	0.70	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Monterrey vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Rayados vs Toluca team news before wagering. Expect the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups along with timely injury updates.

Monterrey Team Page Toluca Team Page

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