Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Oct 2025

A-League Betting Preview: Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory

Newcastle Jets host Melbourne Victory in this A-League game at McDonald Jones Stadium, with kick-off set for 04:35 on Friday 24 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and confirmed lineups.

Let’s Gamble on Victory

There’s every reason to get with Melbourne Victory on the Full-Time Result betting market. It’s entirely possible that the away team will have too much for Newcastle and odds of -100 are appealing.

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1-1 Draw When Teams Last Clashed

Newcastle Jets were defeated on the road in their last game. Central Coast Mariners won 3-2 at Industree Group Stadium. Mark Milligan's team had most of the ball boasting 61% possession and five shots on target, with Alexander Badolato and Lachlan Rose scoring one goal apiece.

Melbourne Victory drew their previous game which was at home. The action at AAMI Park ended 0-0 against Auckland. The Boys in Blue had two shots on goal and 48% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Newcastle have gone unbeaten in their past three matches against Melbourne, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at AAMI Park. The past 10 H2H matches have included four Melbourne victories, three draws and three Newcastle wins.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Melb Victory	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0:0	1
10	Newcastle Jets	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	2:3	0

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. Newcastle have had 51.8% possession and 5.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.0 goals from 6.6 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.9 corners.

Eli Adams leads the way with 5 goals, while Lachlan Rose and Clayton Taylor have 4 and 2 respectively. Clayton Taylor is the top assists maker on 4.

Victory have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 10.6 attempts, 4.4 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. Arthur Diles' side average 52.9% possession, 5.2 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.

Zinedine Machach, Kasey Bos and Nikolaos Vergos have top scored with 3, while Nishan Velupillay is next on 2. Nishan Velupillay has been the top assist maker with 4 in the last 10 games.

Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips

Get set for Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re pretty bullish when it comes to Melbourne Victory winning this A-League encounter. We will wager the away team at -100 and land some nice dividends if they manage to secure a win.

The first port of call is to check out the injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory league stats:

• Victory have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Newcastle have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Newcastle have lost 7 of their last 13 games at home.

Victory to Win Probability

The top betting apps make it a 50% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Looking to bet Victory for a victory but want to get a bigger price? Why not select the larger Double Result odds for our pick to be in front at both the interval and the final whistle.

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Our Match Prediction

Victory To Win @ -100 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 0 - 1 Victory

Let’s go for Victory to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +750. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nishan Velupillay to Score +240

Nishan Velupillay (Victory) has scored three goals in his past nine A-League away matches. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +240.

Latest Nishan Velupillay Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+650

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Corners Prediction

Victory Under 5.5 Corners -102

Melbourne Victory have had under 5.5 corners in three consecutive games, with Newcastle conceding less than 5.5 corners in their past eight home matches. There are odds of -102 when it comes to this Team Corners bet and we can see Melbourne fall short of the line here.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

11.10 5.20 5.90

Home

9.50 6.10 3.40

Away

14.20 5.30 8.90

Victory

Total

9.60 5.20 4.40

Home

9.60 5.10 4.50

Away

10.50 6.00 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-139

Under 10.5

-103

Newcastle Corners

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-115

Victory Corners

Over 5.5

-147

Under 5.5

-102

Most Corners

1

+163

X

+650

2

-164

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Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest Victory Win

With a 50% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Melbourne Victory are favourites to come out on top in this A-League clash and they’re available at -100 with the bookmakers. The +210 means that Newcastle Jets are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

Melbourne are -103 when it comes to the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as backing them on the 1x2 market. If you instead want to bet on Newcastle +0.5 at -132, you also get paid out if it’s a draw.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -222.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any A-League match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+210

X

+295

2

-100

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+150

2

+145

Double Chance

1X

-143

12

-476

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+130

2

-189

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-132

2 Hcp -0.5

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+150

Over 2.5

-208

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-222

No

+155

Nikos Vergos Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Nikos Vergos can be backed to find the net anytime at +163, with +450 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

+163

Anytime

+450

Lachlan Rose (Newcastle)

First

+235

Anytime

+650

Eli Adams (Newcastle)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Jing Reec (Victory)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Ben Gibson (Newcastle)

First

+260

Anytime

+750

Matthew Grimaldi (Victory)

First

+275

Anytime

+750

Clayton Taylor (Newcastle)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Denis Genreau (Victory)

First

+295

Anytime

+800

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Alexander Badolato (Newcastle)

First

+360

Anytime

+1000

Alex Nunes (Newcastle)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Max Burgess (Newcastle)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Lachlan Bayliss (Newcastle)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Luka Kolic (Victory)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Juan Mata (Victory)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Thomas Aquilina (Newcastle)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Lucas Scicluna (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Kosta Grozos (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Daniel Wilmering (Newcastle)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Adama Traoré (Victory)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Newcastle Have Avoided Defeat in Past Three H2H McDonald Jones Stadium Games

Newcastle have finished with four defeats, three wins and three draws in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Melbourne have clocked up five wins, four defeats and one draw in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Newcastle won 3-0 when they last played Melbourne at McDonald Jones Stadium. The previous 6 H2H matches at McDonald Jones Stadium have yielded two wins apiece and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Jets Home Stats		3-3-4	3.90	2.10	1.80	8	2	7	3
Melbourne Victory Away Stats		5-1-4	3.20	1.60	1.60	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Newcastle vs Victory team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the A-League along with up-to-date injury news.

Newcastle Jets Team Page Melbourne Victory Team Page