Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Mar 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Manchester United

Newcastle square off against high-flying Manchester United at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Wednesday 4 March.

If you agree with our view that Man United can perform well against Newcastle, then you can bet the Red Devils with a +0.25 goal start at -147. This means our Asian Handicap stake is divided equally between 0 and +0.5.

Newcastle United, who sit 13th in the Premier League standings, were beaten 3-2 at St James' Park in their last game. This defeat to Everton was their third consecutive home loss. The Tyneside club enjoyed 66% possession and managed six shots on target, while Jacob Ramsey and Jacob Murphy each scored one goal.

Third-placed Manchester United claimed a home win in their previous Premier League match. A 2-1 triumph against Crystal Palace at Old Trafford made it back-to-back league victories. Michael Carrick's team boasted 61% possession and recorded eleven shots on goal, with Bruno Fernandes and Benjamin Sesko on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last clash between Man United and Newcastle saw the former triumph at home. It was a 1-0 scoreline at Old Trafford. Newcastle have landed victory in five of the past 10 H2H games, with Man United securing three wins along with two draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Man United	28	14	9	5	50	38	12	50:38	51
13	Newcastle	28	10	6	12	40	42	-2	40:42	36

View Full Table

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 15.4 attempts. Newcastle have had 55.7% possession and 7.7 corners per game. On average, the Magpies have conceded 1.9 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.1 corners.

Top scorer Bruno Guimaraes has found the net 4 times, with Jacob Ramsey, Malick Thiaw, Joelinton and Harvey Barnes getting 2 goals each. Bruno Guimaraes has the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Nick Pope has 2 clean sheets.

Man United have won 6 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.8 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 15.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 53.6% possession, 501.2 passes, 4.2 corners taken and 5.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.

Benjamin Sesko has top scored with 6, while Bryan Mbeumo and Matheus Cunha are next best on 3. Bruno Fernandes has managed 6 assists in the last 10 games, while Senne Lammens has 3 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Nick Pope (GK), Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Daniel Burn, Lewis Hall, Jacob Ramsey, Sandro Tonali, Anthony Elanga, Nick Woltemade, Joelinton, Anthony Gordon.

Manchester United predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens (GK), Diogo Dalot, Leny Yoro, Harry Maguire, Luke Shaw, Casemiro, Kobbie Mainoo, Bryan Mbeumo, Bruno Fernandes, Matheus Cunha, Benjamin Sesko.

Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips

Be ready for Newcastle vs Manchester United with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best corners advice, player props to watch and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wager on Man United +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -147 for this Premier League game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the Premier League form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.

Key Newcastle vs Manchester United league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Man United in 11 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Man United in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 3 consecutive games at home.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 59.5% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are several alternatives to the Asian Handicap and we particularly like the Winning Margin market. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

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Our Match Prediction

Man United Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -147 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 2, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 1 - 2 Man United

There could be merit in backing Man United to win 2-1. Odds of +750 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Joelinton Over 1.5 Shots +120

Joelinton (Newcastle) has had over 1.5 shots in back-to-back Premier League matches. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the +120 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.

Latest Joelinton Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+1000

Shots

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

---

Benjamin Sesko to Score +190

Benjamin Sesko (Man United) has scored in three consecutive Premier League matches. We’ll throw a dart at +190 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Benjamin Sesko Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+525

Shots

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Newcastle Over 5.5 Corners +102

The 5.5 corners line has been covered by Newcastle in their past eight home games, while Manchester United have conceded 6.40 corners on average in their last 5 away matches. We think it’s achievable that Newcastle will cover the Team Corners line and odds of +102 can be landed.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

11.80 7.70 4.10

Home

12.60 7.30 5.30

Away

11.80 7.10 4.70

Man United

Total

9.20 4.20 5.00

Home

9.50 4.90 4.60

Away

9.70 4.20 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-123

Newcastle Corners

Over 5.5

-114

Under 5.5

-125

Man United Corners

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-115

Most Corners

1

-135

X

+700

2

+135

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Newcastle vs Manchester United Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

This Premier League encounter sees Newcastle United available at +150 and Manchester United priced at +155 for the victory. If you want to back the game to finish level, the bookies have odds of +275 about the draw.

There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Man United are -118 here. However, if you want to back favourites Newcastle, then -120 is on offer.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -233.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Premier League matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+150

X

+275

2

+155

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+145

2

+200

Double Chance

1X

-204

12

-370

X2

-200

Draw No Bet

1

-120

2

-118

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+118

2 Hcp +0.25

-147

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+150

Over 2.5

-189

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-233

No

+170

You will find favourite Bryan Mbeumo at +525 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +165 that he finds the net any time.

Bryan Mbeumo (Man United)

First

+165

Anytime

+525

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+175

Anytime

+525

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+180

Anytime

+525

Matheus Cunha (Man United)

First

+180

Anytime

+525

Benjamin Sesko (Man United)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Bruno Fernandes (Man United)

First

+220

Anytime

+700

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Joshua Zirkzee (Man United)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Amad Diallo (Man United)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Mason Mount (Man United)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Carlos Casemiro (Man United)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Bryan Mbeumo (Man United)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Cunha (Man United)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Benjamin Sesko (Man United)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Casemiro (Man United)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Amad Diallo (Man United)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Joshua Zirkzee (Man United)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-217

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Fernandes (Man United)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Newcastle have recorded four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Manchester United are unbeaten in the last five games on their travels. The Red Devils have five draws, four wins and one defeat in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

The past meeting at St James' Park saw Newcastle defeat Man United 4-1. In the previous 7 H2H meetings at St James' Park, there have been four Newcastle wins, two Man United victories and a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Home Stats		4-2-4	3.90	2.00	1.90	7	3	6	4
Manchester United Away Stats		4-5-1	3.30	1.90	1.40	7	3	9	1

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Newcastle vs Manchester United Lineups & Team News

The latest Newcastle vs Man United team news could impact your bets — review it first. Expect the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups along with timely injury updates.

Newcastle Team Page Manchester United Team Page

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