Philadelphia Union vs New York City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Nov 2025

MLS Betting Preview: Philadelphia Union vs New York City

Philadelphia Union clash with New York City in this MLS Cup Playoffs Eastern Conference semifinal at Subaru Park, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Sunday 23 November.

Philadelphia can deliver the goods when it comes to Full-Time Result betting and we’ll back them with confidence against New York City. The odds of -112 look attractive when it comes to the home team.

On board with Philadelphia to win? Use our exclusive BetMGM promo code and read our full site review to make your bet count.

Philadelphia Union triumphed 2–0 in their first round playoff series against Chicago Fire, sealing a 3–0 victory in Game 2 at SeatGeek Stadium. Bradley Carnell's team ended up with just 29% possession and had three shots on target, while Tai Baribo scored two goals and Bruno Damiani bagged the other.

New York City FC secured a 2–0 first-round playoff series win over Charlotte FC, earning a 3–1 victory in Game 2 on the road at Bank of America Stadium. The Pigeons had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 58% possession and seven shots on goal, with Nicolas Fernandez finding the net twice and Alonso Martinez scoring one.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between Philadelphia and City saw the former win at home. It was a 1-0 scoreline at Subaru Park. In the past 10 H2H meetings, Philly have won seven and City have triumphed in the remainder.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
18	NYCFC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
21	Philadelphia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Philadelphia have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 2.2 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. The Union have averaged 46.3% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 7.7 attempts and 4.8 corners.

Bruno Damiani is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Tai Baribo, Indiana Vassilev and Milan Iloski each have 3. Milan Iloski is the leading assists maker with 5.

City have won 6 and lost 4, averaging 4.9 shots on goal, 8.3 attempts and 2.2 goals. Pascal Jansen's men average 52.6% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 2.0 goals have been conceded from 6.5 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.

The leading scorers have been Nicolas Fernandez and Alonso Martinez with 5, while Hannes Wolf has 2. Agustin Ojeda has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Philadelphia Union confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Andre Blake (GK), Nathan Harriel, Jakob Glesnes, Olwethu Makhanya, Kai Wagner, Milan Iloski, Danley Jean Jacques, Jovan Lukic, Indiana Vassilev, Tai Baribo, Bruno Damiani.

New York City confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Thiago Martins, Justin Haak, Raul, Agustin Ojeda, Jonathan Shore, Kevin O'Toole, Hannes Wolf, Nicolas Fernandez, Maxi Moralez.

Philadelphia Union vs New York City Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Philadelphia Union vs New York City, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

We can back Philadelphia at -112 to claim a MLS victory and this looks like a standout price. The betting sites give us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.

The latest MLS injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Key Philadelphia Union vs New York City league stats:

• Philadelphia have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Philadelphia have won 12 of their last 18 games at home.
• Philadelphia have won 7 of their last 10 games against NYCFC.

According to the odds, there’s a 52.9% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are ways to squeeze more juice from backing Philly. The Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets are great alternatives and the same applies to Asian Handicap.

Why bet empty-handed? Check our up-to-date guide for the latest sign-up promos, welcome bonuses and betting offers.

Our Match Prediction

Philadelphia To Win @ -112 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Philadelphia 2 - 1 New York City

Philadelphia are available at +650 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Hannes Wolf Over 0.5 Shots On Target -123

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC) can be backed to register a minimum of one shot on goal at -123. It’s hard to turn down such attractive odds for this player when it comes to Shots on Target.

Latest Hannes Wolf Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-161

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Milan Iloski to Score +230

Milan Iloski (Philadelphia) has netted two goals in his past five MLS matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +230 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Milan Iloski Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-112

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

New York City Over 3.5 Corners -130

It’s been an average of 5.60 New York City corners in the past 5 games, while the previous four Philadelphia matches have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the City Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -130 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Philadelphia

Total

10.20 5.40 4.80

Home

12.10 7.60 4.50

Away

8.10 4.10 4.00

New York City

Total

10.00 5.10 4.90

Home

9.80 5.90 3.90

Away

9.20 3.70 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+104

Philadelphia Corners

Over 6.5

+108

Under 6.5

-154

New York City Corners

Over 3.5

-128

Under 3.5

-111

Most Corners

1

-263

X

+700

2

+250

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Philadelphia Union vs New York City Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Philadelphia Union odds are -115 which leads to them being favourites in this MLS clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 53% prospect of securing a victory. New York City FC are regarded as the least likely winner at +285.

Philadelphia are -115 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as a victory on the Full-Time Result. The alternative is to oppose the favourites and get the draw onside by going for City +0.5 at -108 instead.

The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. BTTS Yes is on offer at -137 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.

The best betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every MLS match before making a decision.

Full-Time Result

1

-115

X

+265

2

+285

Half-Time Result

1

+145

X

+128

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-370

X2

-112

Draw No Bet

1

-263

2

+170

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-115

2 Hcp +0.5

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-111

Over 2.5

-112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

-102

Favourite Tai Baribo is +380 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia)

First

+135

Anytime

+380

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

First

+145

Anytime

+400

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Milan Iloski (Philadelphia)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Mikael Uhre (Philadelphia)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+102

Milan Iloski (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-112

Mikael Uhre (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-161

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-161

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-250

Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-263

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-385

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-667

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-1000

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-1111

Philadelphia have gone unbeaten at Subaru Park in the last ten games. Bradley Carnell's team have recorded seven victories and three draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

City have secured seven victories, two defeats and one draw in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Philadelphia overcame City 1-0 when the sides last met at Subaru Park. Philadelphia have triumphed in five of the previous 9 H2H meetings at Subaru Park, with City winning the other four.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Philadelphia Union Home Stats		7-3-0	3.00	2.10	0.90	6	4	6	4
New York City Away Stats		7-1-2	3.00	1.80	1.20	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Philadelphia Union vs New York City Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Philadelphia vs City without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed MLS lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Philadelphia Union Team Page New York City Team Page

Top Football Pages