Philadelphia Union vs New York City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Nov 2025
MLS Betting Preview: Philadelphia Union vs New York City
Philadelphia Union clash with New York City in this MLS Cup Playoffs Eastern Conference semifinal at Subaru Park, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Sunday 23 November.
Philadelphia can deliver the goods when it comes to Full-Time Result betting and we’ll back them with confidence against New York City. The odds of -112 look attractive when it comes to the home team.
On board with Philadelphia to win? Use our exclusive BetMGM promo code and read our full site review to make your bet count.
Philadelphia Union triumphed 2–0 in their first round playoff series against Chicago Fire, sealing a 3–0 victory in Game 2 at SeatGeek Stadium. Bradley Carnell's team ended up with just 29% possession and had three shots on target, while Tai Baribo scored two goals and Bruno Damiani bagged the other.
New York City FC secured a 2–0 first-round playoff series win over Charlotte FC, earning a 3–1 victory in Game 2 on the road at Bank of America Stadium. The Pigeons had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 58% possession and seven shots on goal, with Nicolas Fernandez finding the net twice and Alonso Martinez scoring one.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last encounter between Philadelphia and City saw the former win at home. It was a 1-0 scoreline at Subaru Park. In the past 10 H2H meetings, Philly have won seven and City have triumphed in the remainder.
| MLS | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Philadelphia |
34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 57:35 | 66 |
| 9 |  NYCFC |
34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 50:44 | 56 |
Philadelphia have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 2.2 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. The Union have averaged 46.3% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 7.7 attempts and 4.8 corners.
Bruno Damiani is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Tai Baribo, Indiana Vassilev and Milan Iloski each have 3. Milan Iloski is the leading assists maker with 5.
City have won 6 and lost 4, averaging 4.9 shots on goal, 8.3 attempts and 2.2 goals. Pascal Jansen's men average 52.6% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 2.0 goals have been conceded from 6.5 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.
The leading scorers have been Nicolas Fernandez and Alonso Martinez with 5, while Hannes Wolf has 2. Agustin Ojeda has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Philadelphia Union predicted lineup (4-4-2): Andre Blake (GK), Nathan Harriel, Jakob Glesnes, Olwethu Makhanya, Kai Wagner, Frankie Westfield, Jovan Lukic, Danley Jean Jacques, Milan Iloski, Tai Baribo, Bruno Damiani.
New York City predicted lineup (5-4-1): Matt Freese (GK), Hannes Wolf, Tayvon Gray, Justin Haak, Thiago Martins, Kevin OToole, Maxi Moralez, Aiden O'Neill, Andrés Perea, Nicolas Fernandez Mercau, Alonso Martínez.
Philadelphia Union vs New York City Prediction & Betting Tips
Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Philadelphia Union vs New York City, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.
Match Prediction
We can back Philadelphia at -112 to claim a MLS victory and this looks like a standout price. The betting sites give us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.
The latest MLS injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.
Key Philadelphia Union vs New York City league stats:
According to the odds, there’s a 52.9% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
There are ways to squeeze more juice from backing Philly. The Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets are great alternatives and the same applies to Asian Handicap.
Why bet empty-handed? Check our up-to-date guide for the latest sign-up promos, welcome bonuses and betting offers.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
New York City
Philadelphia are available at +650 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Hannes Wolf (NYCFC) can be backed to register a minimum of one shot on goal at -123. It’s hard to turn down such attractive odds for this player when it comes to Shots on Target.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Milan Iloski (Philadelphia) has netted two goals in his past five MLS matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +230 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
It’s been an average of 5.60 New York City corners in the past 5 games, while the previous four Philadelphia matches have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the City Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -130 available.
Philadelphia
New York City
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is compiled of the following: Philadelphia to triumph, more than two goals to be scored along with Hannes Wolf (NYCFC) to record a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Philadelphia Union vs New York City Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The latest Philadelphia Union odds are -112 which leads to them being favourites in this MLS clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 53% prospect of securing a victory. New York City FC are regarded as the least likely winner at +270.
Philadelphia are -112 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as a victory on the Full-Time Result. The alternative is to oppose the favourites and get the draw onside by going for City +0.5 at -111 instead.
For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. BTTS Yes is on offer at -154 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
The best betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every MLS match before making a decision.
Favourite Tai Baribo is +380 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Philadelphia have gone unbeaten at Subaru Park in the last ten games. Bradley Carnell's team have recorded seven victories and three draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 0.90.
City have secured seven victories, two defeats and one draw in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Philadelphia overcame City 1-0 when the sides last met at Subaru Park. Philadelphia have triumphed in five of the previous 9 H2H meetings at Subaru Park, with City winning the other four.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union Home Stats |
7-3-0 | 3.00 | 2.10 | 0.90 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
| New York City Away Stats |
7-1-2 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- MLS: 05/10 2025 Philadelphia 1 New York City 0
- MLS: 13/04 2025 New York City 1 Philadelphia 0
- MLS: 19/09 2024 New York City 1 Philadelphia 5
- MLS: 16/05 2024 Philadelphia 1 New York City 2
- MLS: 16/07 2023 Philadelphia 2 New York City 1
- MLS: 28/05 2023 New York City 1 Philadelphia 3
- MLS: 31/10 2022 Philadelphia 3 New York City 1
- MLS: 27/06 2022 Philadelphia 2 New York City 1
- MLS: 19/03 2022 New York City 0 Philadelphia 2
- MLS: 05/12 2021 Philadelphia 1 New York City 2
Philadelphia Union League Stats
New York City League Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Philadelphia Union this season are Tai Baribo (16), Milan Iloski (12), Bruno Damiani (7)
- Top Assistors for Philadelphia Union this season are Kai Wagner (10), Mikael Uhre (6), Quinn Sullivan (6)
Philadelphia Union vs New York City Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Philadelphia vs City without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed MLS lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Philadelphia Union Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
New York City Predicted Lineup 5-4-1
Philadelphia Union Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
New York City Predicted Lineup 5-4-1
Previous Philadelphia Union Lineups
Previous New York City Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
MLS Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 57:35 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 52:40 | 65 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 81:55 | 65 |
| 4 | San Diego | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 64:41 | 63 |
| 5 | Vancouver | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 66:38 | 63 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 65:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 55:46 | 59 |
| 8 | Minnesota Utd | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56:39 | 58 |
| 9 | NYCFC | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:44 | 56 |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58:48 | 55 |
| 11 | Nashville SC | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58:45 | 54 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 55:51 | 54 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:60 | 53 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 63:51 | 53 |
| 15 | Austin FC | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37:45 | 47 |
| 16 | FC Dallas | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:55 | 44 |
| 17 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 41:48 | 44 |
| 18 | NY Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 48:47 | 43 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 38:49 | 41 |
| 20 | SJ Earthquakes | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 60:63 | 41 |
| 21 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:56 | 41 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:56 | 37 |
| 23 | NE Revolution | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:51 | 36 |
| 24 | St. Louis | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 44:58 | 32 |
| 25 | Toronto FC | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37:44 | 32 |
| 26 | LA Galaxy | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 46:66 | 30 |
| 27 | Sporting KC | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 46:70 | 28 |
| 28 | CF Montréal | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 34:60 | 28 |
| 29 | Atlanta United | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 38:63 | 28 |
| 30 | D.C. United | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 30:66 | 26 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 33:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36:17 | 36 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 44:26 | 36 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 38:20 | 36 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 31:13 | 35 |
| 7 | Vancouver | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 42:20 | 34 |
| 8 | NY Red Bulls | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36:23 | 33 |
| 9 | NYCFC | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 28:21 | 33 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29:20 | 32 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 30 |
| 12 | Orlando City | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 36:26 | 28 |
| 13 | Minnesota Utd | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25:21 | 28 |
| 15 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 23:21 | 28 |
| 16 | Austin FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 18:16 | 28 |
| 17 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:26 | 27 |
| 18 | San Diego | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 19 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25:25 | 24 |
| 20 | LA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 27:28 | 23 |
| 21 | SJ Earthquakes | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 37:32 | 21 |
| 22 | FC Dallas | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25:25 | 21 |
| 23 | Atlanta United | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 29:29 | 20 |
| 24 | St. Louis | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 23:28 | 18 |
| 25 | Houston Dynamo | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:30 | 18 |
| 26 | Sporting KC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 27 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17:19 | 16 |
| 28 | NE Revolution | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | 16 |
| 29 | D.C. United | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13:31 | 13 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14:33 | 12 |
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