Porto vs Moreirense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Mar 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Porto vs Moreirense

Porto go head-to-head with Moreirense at Estadio do Dragao, with kick-off set for 16:30 on Sunday 15 March.

Moreirense could punch above their weight against Porto and we’ll take the underdogs at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap. We can secure odds of -114 where our money is divided between +1.5 and +2.0.

Porto played Benfica on their travels in their last Primeira Liga game. It was a 2-2 draw at Estadio da Luz. The Dragons recorded 41% possession and had six shots on target, while Victor Froholdt and Oskar Pietuszewski scored one goal each.

On Thursday night, Porto triumphed 2-1 away to Stuttgart in the Europa League.

Moreirense played Nacional at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. The Moreira de Cónegos club had 46% possession and recorded two shots on goal, with Luis Semedo finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Porto have seven successive wins against Moreirense. In the last clash, away side Porto landed a 2-1 victory at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. The past 10 H2H matches have included nine Porto wins along with a single draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Porto	25	21	3	1	49	10	39	49:10	66
7	Moreirense	25	10	5	10	31	35	-4	31:35	35

View Full Table

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts. Porto have had 55.7% possession, 435.0 passes and 6.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.6 goals from 2.4 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts, while being awarded 3.4 corners.

Top goalscorer Samuel Aghehowa has found the net 4 times, with Victor Froholdt, Oskar Pietuszewski and William Gomes scoring 2 each. Pepe and Gabriel Veiga are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Diogo Costa has kept 5 clean sheets.

Moreirense have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 51.2% possession, 446.4 passes, 3.4 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts.

The top scorers have been Rodri, Diogo Travassos and Maracas, with 2 goals apiece. Diogo Travassos is top assists provider with 3, while Andre Ferreira and Caio Secco have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Porto predicted lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Thiago Silva, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Martim Fernandes, Victor Froholdt, Alan Varela, Gabriel Veiga, Pepê, Deniz Gül, Oskar Pietuszewski.

Moreirense predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): André Ferreira (GK), Leandro Santos, Maracás, Gilberto Batista, Kiko, Rodrigo Alonso, Mateja Stjepanovic, Diogo Martins Travassos, Alanzinho, Kiko Bondoso, Luis Semedo.

Porto vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick and a builder tailored for value — our Porto vs Moreirense betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

Let’s back the outsiders to deliver the goods, with Moreirense providing lots of appeal at +1.75. There are attractive odds of -114 for this Primeira Liga game and we’re optimistic about a payout.

Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest Primeira Liga stats when making our football predictions.

Key Porto vs Moreirense league stats:

• The +1.75 line has been covered by Moreirense in 10 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Moreirense in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Moreirense in 14 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Porto in 7 of their last 10 games.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you want to secure a larger possible pay out on your bet, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Moreirense Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 13, 22:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Porto 1 - 0 Moreirense

One bet that has caught our eye is Porto to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +450 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Corners Prediction

Porto Under 7.5 Corners -135

It’s been an average of 5.20 corners for Porto in their past 5 matches, with Moreirense conceding under 7.5 corners in the last ten away games. We’re anticipating Porto to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners wager available at -135.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Porto

Total

9.60 6.20 3.40

Home

8.10 5.30 2.80

Away

8.80 5.20 3.60

Moreirense

Total

8.10 3.40 4.70

Home

9.50 4.10 5.40

Away

7.30 3.80 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-122

Under 9.5

-119

Porto Corners

Over 7.5

-104

Under 7.5

-135

Moreirense Corners

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

+123

Most Corners

1

-1429

X

+1150

2

+800

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Porto vs Moreirense Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Porto are convincing -526 favourites to land the spoils in this Primeira Liga encounter, which means a 84% likelihood of securing a victory according to the current betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, the underdogs Moreirense are trading at +1300.

As the name suggests, the Half-Time Result market is settled at the break. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Porto at -167, Moreirense at +900 or the draw at +165.

If you’re anticipating a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -200 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.

The recommended betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Primeira Liga game before making a decision.

Full-Time Result

1

-526

X

+480

2

+1300

Half-Time Result

1

-167

X

+165

2

+900

Draw No Bet

1

-10000

2

+900

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-125

2 Hcp +1.75

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+107

Over 2.5

-152

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+138

No

-200

There’s the chance to back Samu Omorodion at +250 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Samu Omorodion (Porto)

First

-108

Anytime

+250

Terem Moffi (Porto)

First

+123

Anytime

+300

Luuk de Jong (Porto)

First

+138

Anytime

+350

Deniz Gul (Porto)

First

+143

Anytime

+350

Borja Sainz (Porto)

First

+165

Anytime

+430

Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa "Pepe" (Porto)

First

+185

Anytime

+475

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

First

+205

Anytime

+525

Oskar Pietuszewski (Porto)

First

+215

Anytime

+550

Gabriel Veiga (Porto)

First

+245

Anytime

+650

Seko Fofana (Porto)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Viktor Froholdt (Porto)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa (Moreirense)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Alan Varela (Porto)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Alberto Costa (Porto)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Thiago Silva (Porto)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Pablo Rosario (Porto)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Martim Fernandes (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Francisco Moura (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Jakub Kiwior (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Jan Bednarek (Porto)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Nehuén Pérez (Porto)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Zaidu Sanusi (Porto)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Cedric Teguia (Moreirense)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Porto have gone unbeaten at Estadio do Dragao in the last ten games. The Dragons have nine wins and one draw in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.50.

Moreirense have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Porto were 3-1 victors against Moreirense last time out at Estadio do Dragao. In the previous 5 H2H games at Estadio do Dragao, Porto have a 100% win rate.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Porto Home Stats		9-1-0	2.70	2.20	0.50	6	4	5	5
Moreirense Away Stats		3-3-4	2.70	1.40	1.30	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Porto vs Moreirense Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Porto vs Moreirense before making your bets. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga, along with current injury news.

FC Porto Team Page Moreirense Team Page

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